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Archives for December 2015

Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 191

Blue Wave Update

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 191: Blue Wave Update

Could Donald Trump Break the Republican Party?

December 20, 2015 · 12:30 pm ET · 39 Comments

Jeff Greenfield: “The most striking examples of party fissure in American politics have come when a party breaks with a long pattern of accommodating different factions, and moves decisively toward one side. It has happened with the Democrats twice, both over civil rights… In 1948, the party’s embrace of a stronger civil rights plank led Southern delegations to walk out of the convention… Twenty years later, Alabama Gov. George Wallace led a similar anti-civil rights third party movement that won five Southern states.”

“In two other cases, a dramatic shift in intra-party power led to significant defections on the losing side. In 1964, when Republican conservatives succeeded in nominating a divisive champion of their cause in Barry Goldwater, liberal Republicans (there were such things back then) like New York Gov. Rockefeller, Michigan Gov. (George) Romney, and others refused to endorse the nominee… Eight years later, when a deeply divided Democratic Party nominated anti-war hero George McGovern, George Meany led the AFL-CIO to a position of neutrality between McGovern and Nixon—the first time labor had refused to back a Democrat for President.”

“Would a Trump nomination be another example of such a power shift? Yes, although not a shift in an ideological sense. It would represent a more radical kind of shift, with power moving from party officials and office-holders to deeply alienated voters and to their media tribunes.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Paul Says Polls Aren’t Accurate

December 20, 2015 · 11:22 am ET · 30 Comments

Sen. Rand Paul said it’s “deeply disturbing” that Donald Trump is still the race’s front-runner and predicted his rival would be “wiped out in a general election,” The Hill reports.

Said Paul: “We’ve all let the polls consume us too much. I don’t think the polls are very accurate.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump, Rand Paul

Trump Quote of the Day

December 20, 2015 · 11:10 am ET · 35 Comments

“Nobody has proven that he’s killed anyone.”

— Donald Trump, quoted by the Washington Post, on Russian President Vladimir Putin.

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Trump and Cruz Hold Big Leads

December 20, 2015 · 11:04 am ET · 33 Comments

A set of new CBS News/YouGov polls in the early voting states show Donald Trump and Ted Cruz with big leads.

Iowa: Cruz 40%, Trump 31%, Rubio 12%, Carson 6%

New Hampshire: Trump 32%, Cruz 14%, Rubio 13%, Christie 11%, Kasich 8%, Bush 6%, Paul 5%

South Carolina: Trump 38%, Cruz 23%, Rubio 12%, Carson 9%, Bush 7%

“The backdrop to all this is a mood of anxiety – both economic and personal security – pervading the GOP electorate in these early states. Nine in ten in all states feel the country is now a more dangerous and insecure place, including 95% of Iowa GOP voters who say that, and nine in ten feel the nation’s economic system is one that hurts them instead of benefits them.”

2016 Campaign

Sanders Struggles to Appear Presidential

December 20, 2015 · 10:58 am ET · 43 Comments

New York Times: “Most candidates evolve: Barack Obama and George W. Bush became better at communicating and campaigning during their first presidential races, and their agendas developed overarching themes. Mr. Sanders, by contrast, was repeating old talking points on Saturday night — like breaking up big banks and increasing taxes on the rich — without convincingly saying how he would achieve those goals or presenting them in powerful new language. As the debate demonstrated, he has yet to grow from a movement messiah into a national candidate whom many people can imagine as president.”

2016 Campaign Bernie Sanders

Cruz Calls Top Fundraisers to Meeting

December 20, 2015 · 10:52 am ET · 2 Comments

“Ted Cruz, enjoying more momentum than he ever has before, is summoning his top fundraisers to Houston on Sunday to plan for the final sprint before the Iowa caucuses,” CNN reports.

“The top bundlers are headed to Cruz’s hometown Sunday for a two-day powwow… The retreat in Houston, featuring a Christmas thank-you party Monday, comes as Cruz is expected to post another strong fundraising quarter as he wins fresh looks from donors drawn to a new presidential front-runner.”

2016 Campaign Ted Cruz

Trump Wants to Boot Some from Race

December 20, 2015 · 10:07 am ET · 16 Comments

Donald Trump said unpopular candidates are “wasting a lot of time” and “ought to get out” of the race, The Hill reports.

Said Trump: “Now, if I were running the party, I’d say, ‘Excuse me, if you can’t win the state of X, a major state, if you can’t win Virginia because you’re not allowed to go in, or if you can’t win South Carolina or you can’t win this one or that one, because you didn’t file, that means it’s taken off your list, you’re not allowed to be in the debate anymore.'”

2016 Campaign

Bill Clinton to Hit Campaign Trail

December 20, 2015 · 8:35 am ET · 15 Comments

Former President Bill Clinton will start campaigning for Hillary Clinton in January, she told supporters at a party after the third Democratic presidential debate, Bloomberg reports.

Said Mrs. Clinton: “Starting in January, I’ll have my not-so-secret weapon.”

2016 Campaign Bill Clinton

Quote of the Day

December 20, 2015 · 8:32 am ET · 35 Comments

“Thank you, good night and may the force be with you.”

— Hillary Clinton, quoted by the Wall Street Journal, at last night’s Democratic presidential debate.

2016 Campaign

Clinton Ignores Democratic Rivals in Debate

December 20, 2015 · 8:28 am ET · 19 Comments

Hillary Clinton “largely looked past her Democratic rivals in Saturday night’s debate, instead repeatedly assailing the Republican field, led by Donald Trump,” the New York Times reports.

“Deflecting persistent attacks from Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont and former Gov. Martin O’Malley of Maryland over gun control, Wall Street and foreign military entanglements, she accused Mr. Trump of undermining the fight against terrorism.”

Wall Street Journal: “Clinton reserved her sharpest criticism for the Republican candidates she might face in a general election next fall, notably front-runner Donald Trump. She mentioned Mr. Trump repeatedly in the two-hour debate and accused him of stirring up anti-U. S. sentiment in Muslim countries whose cooperation is needed to foil terrorist plots.”

2016 Campaign

SNL on the GOP Debate

December 20, 2015 · 8:23 am ET · 10 Comments

Saturday Night Live opened with the Republican presidential debate.

2016 Campaign, Political Jokes

Why Rubio May Not Be the Establishment Favorite

December 19, 2015 · 11:29 pm ET · 3 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

With several good debate performances, many have picked Sen. Marco Rubio as the favorite in the “establishment” lane of the Republican presidential primary. He’s been helped along by a series of under-performing more seasoned candidates. Jeb Bush, Chris Christie and John Kasich were all expected to do much better.

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2016 Campaign, Members Marco Rubio

Sanders Apologizes for Data Breach

December 19, 2015 · 10:04 pm ET · 36 Comments

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders “put aside the hard feelings over his campaign’s breach of her voter data in the third Democratic presidential debate on Saturday night, opting to stick to the civil discourse that has marked the race,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Sanders explained what he knew about the data breach and offered an apology to Mrs. Clinton and to his supporters for letting them down… Mrs. Clinton said that she accepted the apology and that she also wanted to move forward.”

Politico: “The kind words came after a nasty hurling of accusations among the Sanders campaign, the Clinton campaign and the Democratic National Committee… But on Saturday night the Democratic candidates seemed eager to unite the party, painting Republicans as out of touch and dangerous.”

2016 Campaign Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton

Sanders Raises $1 Million After DNC Fight

December 19, 2015 · 6:46 pm ET · 14 Comments

Bernie Sanders “has seen an uptick in fundraising, bringing in more than $1 million on Friday alone, amid his campaign’s dust-up with the Democratic National Committee,” the Washington Post reports.

“The campaign said it did not send out any solicitations Friday directly asking for money, although an email was blasted to supporters urging them to sign a petition protesting the DNC’s punishment. That email contained a ‘donate’ button at the bottom that allowed supporters to make contributions.”

2016 Campaign Bernie Sanders

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

December 19, 2015 · 6:42 pm ET · 18 Comments

“Donald Trump is a jerk.”

— Jeb Bush, quoted by the New York Times.

2016 Campaign Donald Trump, Jeb Bush

Trump Says Rivals are ‘Jealous’ of Putin’s Praise

December 19, 2015 · 6:30 pm ET · 18 Comments

Donald Trump said that anyone who criticizes the warm compliments he has swapped with Russian President Vladimir Putin is simply “jealous as hell,” the Washington Post reports.

Said Trump: “You know, he feels good about me. I feel, frankly, good about him. I think that we can do things with Russia that are to our advantage… It’s a mutual advantage. Now, they’re jealous as hell because he’s not mentioning these people. He’s not going to mention them, so they’re jealous as hell.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin

Expect a Fight at Tonight’s Democratic Debate

December 19, 2015 · 4:51 pm ET · 39 Comments

“Sanders will come out swinging. Clinton will punch back, maybe harder. That much is clear,” Politico reports.

“The underdog’s aides are open about the fact that Sanders sees his brawl — and lawsuit in federal court — with the DNC as an opportunity to fire up his loyal backers and to persuade any liberals who are still uncertain about Clinton. The front-runner has the DNC’s leadership — including chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz — in her pocket, Sanders will say, and their relationship endangers the integrity of the party.”

“Clinton, meanwhile, won’t shy from the fight: her allies are saying that the data stolen by Sanders staffers was worth millions of dollars, and members of her political team were genuinely shaken by the revelation on Friday. Look for the former secretary of state — backed by almost the entire Democratic establishment — to lay into Sanders and what her staff sees as his dishonesty, and his campaign’s theft. His team went way too far, she will likely say, and now the senator is trying to distract from that.”

2016 Campaign Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton

Bonus Quote of the Day

December 19, 2015 · 9:44 am ET · 43 Comments

“I’m sorry, there is no one on the balcony, and there’s no one throwing bottles off the balcony. And if they were, it was about six hours ago.”

— New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez (R), on a phone call after police were called to her hotel room.

State House Susana Martinez

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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