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Archives for May 2016

Trump Wanted the Housing Crash to Happen

May 24, 2016 at 9:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 56 Comments

A new video from the Clinton campaign links Donald Trump to the housing market collapse in 2008.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Financial Markets Tagged With: Donald Trump

Quote of the Day

May 24, 2016 at 9:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 30 Comments

“Very fishy.”

— Donald Trump, quoted by the Washington Post, describing the 1993 death of former Clinton White House aide Vincent Foster.

Filed Under: Clinton Legacy Tagged With: Donald Trump, Vincent Foster

Obama Approval Will Help Clinton

May 24, 2016 at 9:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 24 Comments

First Read: “There are plenty of storylines and new numbers from our latest national NBC/WSJ poll, but here’s maybe the most important number of all: 51% — as in President Obama’s approval rating, which is his highest mark in the poll since his second inauguration. Why is it important? Because it means that Obama will be an asset to Hillary Clinton on the campaign trail unlike he was in the 2014 midterms, when his approval rating was in the low 40s.”

“Of course, an incumbent president with a 50%-plus job-approval rating isn’t a guarantee for a party keeping the White House — see 2000. But it’s certainly better than what Republicans experienced in 2008, when George W. Bush’s rating was 27% in our April 2008 NBC/WSJ poll. Our current poll found only 39% saying they would consider voting for Obama if he could run for a third term, but it’s higher than the 34% who said this about Bill Clinton in Sept. 2000. And 78% of African Americans, 72% of Democrats, 62% of Latinos, and 50% of those ages 18-34 said they would consider voting for Obama again if they could.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, White House Tagged With: Barack Obama

Most Want Trump to Release His Tax Returns

May 24, 2016 at 8:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 31 Comments

A new Morning Consult survey finds that 67% of registered voters believe presidential candidates should be required to release their federal tax returns, including 60% of Republicans.

For members: The Perfect Wedge Issue to Use Against Trump

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Clinton and Trump Tied In Virginia

May 24, 2016 at 7:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 41 Comments

A new Roanoke College poll in Virginia finds Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied at 38% among likely voters, with 11% undecided and 11% saying they’ll vote for someone else.

Both candidates are significantly “under water” with regard to favorable/unfavorable opinions.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Virginia

RNC Building Campaign for Trump

May 24, 2016 at 7:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 18 Comments

Washington Examiner: “The presumptive GOP nominee enters the general election with an organization even thinner than Mitt Romney’s four years ago. Trump won the primary by dominating media coverage. He didn’t bother to develop a ground game or data analytics program, believing those modern tools overrated.”

“The Republican National Committee is filling the void. The party invested more than $100 million, and counting, since 2012 to construct and refine cutting edge voter turnout and digital operations after being outclassed by President Obama. The plan was to create a turnkey operation for the 2016 nominee that could compete with the Democrats.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Clinton Will Hit Trump on Housing Crisis

May 24, 2016 at 7:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 11 Comments

“An army of Hillary Clinton’s surrogates in battleground states will blast Donald Trump on Tuesday over his past statements about the housing market and his business record,” the Washington Post reports.

“The coordinated push is the first of their efforts to frame the likely Republican nominee in the minds of swing voters… About a dozen surrogates and local elected officials in Ohio, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Florida, New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado, Nevada and elsewhere will host calls, events and release statements focused on Trump’s response to the housing crisis that precipitated the economic recession.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Financial Markets Tagged With: Donald Trump

Clinton Won’t Debate Sanders Again

May 24, 2016 at 7:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 97 Comments

“Hillary Clinton has declined an invitation from Fox News to participate in a debate with rival Bernie Sanders in California before that state’s June 7 primary,” the AP reports.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton

Durbin Won’t Rule Out Run for Governor

May 24, 2016 at 7:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 16 Comments

Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL) did not entirely shoot down rumors he might run for governor in 2018, but did say he has no aspirations for any other job beyond his current position as Illinois’ senior U.S. senator, WTTW reports.

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: Dick Durbin, IL-Gov

Martinez Will Skip Trump Rally

May 24, 2016 at 6:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 15 Comments

Sante Fe New Mexican: “The Republican Party of New Mexico, which has come out in support of Trump, announced plans for a private reception with Trump prior to the rally. The party said the price to attend that event is $10,000 per person.”

“However, Gov. Susana Martinez (R), who heads the Republican Governors Association and campaigned for Florida Sen. Marco Rubio shortly before he dropped out of the presidential race, won’t be joining Trump in Albuquerque, a spokesman for the governor confirmed Monday.”

Said Martinez: “I’m really busy.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Susana Martinez

When Elections Aren’t About the Economy

May 24, 2016 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 8 Comments

The Upshot: “Growth is lukewarm, but it has been consistent enough to create hundreds of thousands of new jobs. Wages have not risen by much, and the uneven recovery has left segments of the population behind. But the overall unemployment rate is down to 5 percent. That’s unusual for a presidential election season — it has been at 5 percent or lower in only three of the 14 contests that have taken place since 1960.”

“Indeed, the lack of stark economic problems may have allowed Mr. Trump to push unconventional policies. If the economy were repeating the plunge of 2008, fewer voters might be prepared to support a candidate whose policies would disrupt world trade and whose tax cuts would almost certainly lead to a far bigger budget deficit.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Economy

Trump Escalates Attacks on Bill Clinton

May 23, 2016 at 9:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 162 Comments

“Donald Trump is reviving some of the ugliest political chapters of the 1990s with escalating personal attacks on Bill Clinton’s character — centered on past accusations of sexual assault — amid a concerted effort to smother Hillary Clinton’s campaign message with the weight of decades of controversy,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump’s latest shot came Monday when he released an incendiary Instagram video that includes the voices of two women who accused the former president of sexual assault, underscoring the presumptive Republican nominee’s willingness to go far beyond political norms in his critique of his likely Democratic rival.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Clinton Legacy Tagged With: Donald Trump

Sanders Predicts Democratic Convention Will Be ‘Messy’

May 23, 2016 at 9:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 204 Comments

Sen. Bernie Sanders told the Associated Press that the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia could be “messy” as he pushed the party to adopt his progressive agenda.

He added: “Democracy is not always nice and quiet and gentle.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Bernie Sanders

The Undemocratic Part of the Democratic Process

May 23, 2016 at 9:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

John Oliver discusses our convoluted system for choosing presidential nominees.

Filed Under: Election Administration

Obama Hits Second Term High Approval

May 23, 2016 at 6:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 45 Comments

President Obama has hit his highest approval rating since his second inauguration, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows.

“Fifty-one percent of registered voters say they approve of the job Obama is doing as president, compared to 46 percent who disapprove. The last time more than half of the electorate gave Obama a thumbs up in the poll was in January 2013, when Obama took the oath of office after his successful re-election campaign against Republican Mitt Romney.”

Filed Under: White House

Gingrich Rips Romney as ‘Pathetic’

May 23, 2016 at 5:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 64 Comments

Newt Gingrich lambasted Mitt Romney for his failed drive to derail Donald Trump, calling his actions “pathetic” and his effort “not particularly effective,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Said Gingrich: “It’s pathetic… I don’t know what happened to Mitt, but it is weird; it is bizarre. Having a guy like that go berserk in public makes you wonder what his problems are.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich

McAuliffe Under Federal Investigation

May 23, 2016 at 5:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 57 Comments

Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) “is the subject of an ongoing investigation by the FBI and prosecutors from the Justice Department’s public integrity unit,” CNN reports.

“The investigation dates to at least last year and has focused, at least in part, on whether donations to his gubernatorial campaign violated the law.”

Filed Under: Corruption Tagged With: Terry McAuliffe, VA-Gov

Clinton Way Ahead of Sanders In California

May 23, 2016 at 5:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 141 Comments

A new SurveyUSA poll in California finds Hillary Clinton way ahead of Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary, 57% to 39%.

The results of the poll showed that Sanders continues to lead among the youngest voters, while Clinton leads by 12 points among voters age 35 to 49.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: California

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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