Brat Trails In Re-Election Race In Virginia

A new Monmouth poll finds Abigail Spanberger (D) holds a narrow lead over Rep. Dave Brat (R-VA) in Virginia’s 7th congressional district, 47% to 42% among registered voters.

“The Democrat’s lead narrows when applying two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model shows a tie at 47% for Spanberger and 47% for Brat. A model that projects a possible turnout surge in Democratic precincts gives Spanberger a slight lead of 48% to 45%. The margin of the lead in these voter models is not statistically significant.”