GOP Candidate Gains In West Virginia

A new Monmouth poll in West Virginia’s 3rd congressional district finds Carol Miller (R) has overtaken Richard Ojeda (D), 48% to 45%.

“Other turnout models show similar results, with 48% to 46% leads for Miller using either a model that incorporates a turnout surge in Democratic precincts or a model that projects lower turnout overall.  In June, Ojeda actually held a lead of between 6 and 9 points in Monmouth’s poll – 47% to 41% in the standard model, 48% to 39% in the Democratic surge model, and 47% to 40% in the low turnout model. While there has been a significant increase in Miller’s vote share, her current lead is within the poll’s margin of error for all three likely voter models.”

The Cook Political Report has the race as Lean Republican.