FiveThirtyEight launched its polling averages for the 2020 Democratic primaries, showing Joe Biden leading nationally with 26.2%, followed by Bernie Sanders at 17%, Elizabeth Warren at 14.9% and Pete Buttigieg at 9.6%.
However, the polling averages in the early states are quite different: Buttigieg leads in Iowa by 1.1% and in New Hampshire by .8%, while Biden leads in Nevada by 6.7% and in South Carolina by 21.6%.


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