Democrats’ House Polling Lead Is Remarkably Steady

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “President Trump’s approval rating is not the only big-picture national indicator that has not changed much over the course of his presidency.”

“The national House generic ballot has also been very consistent for the three-plus years he’s been in the White House. Democrats have led almost every single one of the nearly 400 House generic ballot national polls released since Trump took office, as compiled in the 2018 and 2020 RealClearPolitics averages.”

Bottom line: “Democrats remain favored to hold their House majority.”