Cook Political Report: “Sinema’s change in alignment comes just as the 2024 Senate map — already brutal for Democrats — is coming into focus. She was already going to face a bruising primary where she was the underdog to win re-nomination, given how many times she’s infuriated her now-former caucus and the more liberal wing of the party, many of whom helped her in 2018 turn Arizona’s Senate seat blue for the first time in more than 40 years.”
“However, her odds for re-election were already bleak, with Rep. Ruben Gallego vocally exploring a primary challenge where he would have been the favorite over the incumbent. And now the prospect of running as an independent gives her an equally hard path to victory. Polls have shown her underwater across party identification.”

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