Pennsylvania Governor Shifts To Solid Democrat

Cook Political Report: “In the race for Pennsylvania’s governorship, the most significant development is what hasn’t come to pass.”

“Despite landing their preferred recruit against Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro, Republicans look no closer to ousting the moderate incumbent than they were a year ago. Shapiro has an approval rating consistently around 60%, a gargantuan cash-on-hand advantage and a decisive polling lead over GOP state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, making it almost impossible to see him coming up short in his quest for a second term.”

“This contest shifts from Likely Democrat to Solid Democrat as a result, taking the sole statewide race in the nation’s quintessential bellwether off the 2026 playing field.”