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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Democrats Lead by 26 Points Among ‘Double Haters’

July 14, 2026 · 6:55 am ET · Leave a Comment

G. Elliot Morris: “In our June Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll, we asked 2,000 Americans to rate both parties on a 0-to-100 ‘feeling thermometer’ scale (where 0 represents ‘cold’ and 100 ‘warm’ toward a figure/party), and about one in five registered voters put both parties below 50.”

“This is the group we’ll call the ‘double haters’ for the midterms, though note it’s slightly different from the 2016/2020/2024 definitions that compare favorability of presidential candidates, not parties…”

“Our poll shows double haters favor Democrats for 2026 by 26 points, 55% to 29%, while everyone else splits about evenly: Democrats lead by 2 among voters who like at least one party. If you do the math on the generic ballot, currently around D+7 in our poll, this means that double haters are responsible for about 80% of the party’s national margin.”

2026 Campaign, Polling

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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