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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 194

What Just Happened?

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 194: What Just Happened?

Trump’s Base Grows Disillusioned

August 3, 2026 · 10:27 am ET · Leave a Comment

Don Moynihan: “The MAGA base appears to be shrinking. This does not mean that people are rejecting the movement overall, but that they are becoming disillusioned with its leader and his lack of responsiveness to their concerns. Thomas Shull at the UnPopulist wrote about this trend.”

“The key takeaway is the proportion of people who see themselves as Trump loyalists is declining by about a third. Across a variety of data points, fewer Trump voters still believe he is on their side”

“A caution here is that Trump voters are not necessarily moderating their views. They still dislike elites, but are now more likely to put Trump in that category.”

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Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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