Forecast Strongly Favors Democrats to Win House

“Democrats have an 8 in 10 chance of securing a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives this fall, according to Cornell political scientists whose model has correctly predicted winners of the previous 14 congressional elections,” the Cornell Chronicle reports.

Said professor Peter Enns: “These forecasts aren’t deterministic – there is uncertainty. But given our model’s impressive historical accuracy, if Republicans hold the House, it likely means either everything has gone their way or something unprecedented has happened.”