What It Would Take for a Democratic Wave to Happen

“Redistricting has helped House Republicans build a seawall that can withstand a roughly 5-point Democratic wave,” Axios reports.

“Early readings are pointing to something twice that size — enough to wash away the GOP House majority.”

“Democrats have been running roughly 10 points ahead of their 2024 presidential performance in special elections this year.”

“A swing of that magnitude would produce a comfortable 230-205 Democratic majority.”