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Democrats Have Edge in Four Pennsylvania House Races

October 25, 2026 · 6:00 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new New York Times/Siena College poll in Pennsylvania’s 8th District finds Paige Cognetti (D) leading Rob Bresnahan (R) in the U.S. House race, 51% to 46%.

Pennsylvania 8th District House Race
Paige Cognetti (D) 51%
 
Rob Bresnahan (R) 46%
 
New York Times/Siena College poll · likely voters

The same poll in Pennsylvania’s 7th District finds Bob Brooks (D) leading Ryan Mackenzie (R) in the U.S. House race, 49% to 44%.

Pennsylvania 7th District House Race
Bob Brooks (D) 49%
 
Ryan Mackenzie (R) 44%
 
New York Times/Siena College poll · likely voters

The same poll in Pennsylvania’s 10th District finds Scott Perry (R) and Janelle Stelson (D) tied in the U.S. House race, 48% to 48%.

Pennsylvania 10th District House Race
Scott Perry (R) 48%
 
Janelle Stelson (D) 48%
 
New York Times/Siena College poll · likely voters

The same poll in Pennsylvania’s 1st District finds Bob Harvie (D) leading Brian Fitzpatrick (R) in the U.S. House race, 48% to 46%.

Pennsylvania 1st District House Race
Bob Harvie (D) 48%
 
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 46%
 
New York Times/Siena College poll · likely voters

New York Times: “The four seats in Pennsylvania are seen as critical examples of some of the fights playing out nationwide. The districts include working-class communities in the state’s northeastern corner, growing towns with large Hispanic populations, a swing Philadelphia suburb and some more conservative parts of the center of the state.”

2026 Campaign, Polling

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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