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What Bloomberg on the Debate Stage Means

February 18, 2020 at 8:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read looks at what having Mike Bloomberg at the debate this week will mean:

  • It could suck the oxygen from some of the candidates trying to compete with Bernie Sanders — like Pete Buttigieg (who won Iowa) or Amy Klobuchar (who finished a surprising third in New Hampshire).
  • It gives Sanders and Warren the billionaire foil for their policies and worldview.
  • And it means that plenty of scrutiny is probably coming Bloomberg’s way. That could hurt him. Or he could survive and thrive — like Donald Trump did in 2015-2016.

Wall Street Journal: “The billionaire hasn’t held a public event since Saturday evening and has been preparing for the debate in recent days, according to people familiar with his planning.”

Does Sanders Have a Ceiling on His Support?

February 18, 2020 at 8:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver: “I shudder to ask the question in part because of bad memories from four years ago, when theories about Donald Trump having a ceiling were a big reason that people like me initially dismissed his chances in the primaries.”

“In Trump’s case, though, there was at least some polling-driven evidence of a ceiling. He tended to lose ground in polls that asked about hypothetical head-to-head matchups against other Republicans, for instance. And his favorability ratings among Republican voters were quite low for someone who was leading the field.”

“There isn’t much evidence of this for Sanders. On the contrary, his favorability ratings are roughly as good as any other Democrat’s — and often the best in the field, depending on which poll you look at.”

Coronavirus’ Economic Impact Could Be Much Worse

February 18, 2020 at 8:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Worries are growing that the economic impact from the novel coronavirus outbreak will be worse than expected and that markets are being too complacent in factoring it in as a risk,” Axios reports.

“The number of confirmed cases has already far outpaced expectations and even those reports are being viewed through a lens of suspicion that the Chinese government is underreporting the figures.”

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Trump Waives Contracting Laws for Border Wall

February 18, 2020 at 8:09 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration said Tuesday that it will waive federal contracting laws to speed construction of a wall at the U.S.-Mexico border,” the AP reports.

“The Department of Homeland Security said waiving procurement regulations will allow 177 miles (283 kilometers) of wall to be built more quickly in California, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas. The 10 waived laws include requirements for having open competition, justifying selections and receiving all bonding from a contractor before any work can begin.”

Graham Tells Esper He Could ‘Make Your Life Hell’

February 18, 2020 at 7:57 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and a bipartisan group of lawmakers, uniting against a Trump administration idea to withdraw U.S. troops from part of Africa, pushed back during a fiery exchange with Defense Secretary Mark Esper here over the weekend,” NBC News reports.

At one point, Graham warned Esper that there would be consequences if the Pentagon withdrew all troops from the region. Graham told Esper that he could “make your life hell.”

Wide Open In South Carolina

February 18, 2020 at 7:17 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Trav Robertson, the state Democratic Party chairman, has been working in South Carolina politics for 20 years and said the race is the most fluid he has seen.”

Said Robertson: “This race is wide open here. Joe Biden has some work to do in order to close the deal and win South Carolina.”

How Bloomberg Prepped for This Week’s Debate

February 18, 2020 at 7:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Howard Wolfson, the veteran Democratic strategist who joined Bloomberg’s orbit in 2009 after working on Hillary Clinton’s 2008 presidential race, is playing the role of Bernie Sanders; Julie Wood, Bloomberg’s national press secretary, is depicting Elizabeth Warren; and senior advisers Marc La Vorgna and Marcia Hale are stand-ins for Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar, respectively.”

“Bloomberg is trying to hone a crisp and energetic appeal to voters that will contrast with Biden — another white, male septuagenarian on stage, according to advisers.”

‘Leadership That Makes a Difference’

February 18, 2020 at 7:02 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Bloomberg is airing another national television ad tying himself to closely Barack Obama.

Sanders Leads Nationally as Bloomberg Surges

February 18, 2020 at 6:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NPR/PBS/Marist poll finds Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic presidential field nationally with 31%, followed by Mike Bloomberg at 19%, Joe Biden at 15%, Elizabeth Warren at 12%, Amy Klobuchar at 9%, and Pete Buttigieg at 8%

This poll allows Bloomberg to qualify for tomorrow’s debate.

Bloomberg campaign manager Kevin Sheekey confirmed in a statement tomthe Washington Post that Bloomberg would attend the debate.

Bloomberg and Sanders Lead In Virginia

February 18, 2020 at 6:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in Virginia, which votes on Super Tuesday March 3, finds Michael Bloomberg and Bernie Sanders tied at 22% each, followed by Joe Biden at 18%, Pete Buttigieg at 11%, Amy Klobuchar at 9% and Elizabeth Warren at 5%.

Another 11% of likely primary voters remain undecided and do not lean toward any candidate at this time.

Bloomberg Has Spent 10 Times Rivals for Super Tuesday

February 18, 2020 at 6:12 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Los Angeles Times: “Michael Bloomberg has spent more than $124 million on advertising in the 14 Super Tuesday states, well over 10 times what his top rivals have put into the contests that yield the biggest trove of delegates in a single day. The only other candidate to advertise across most of those states so far is Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who has spent just under $10 million on ads for the March 3 primaries.”

Bolton Hints at Further Revelations

February 17, 2020 at 9:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Bolton, the former national security adviser to President Trump, suggested that his unpublished book contained far more revelations than just the campaign to pressure Ukraine for help with domestic politics but said he was fighting “censorship” by the White House, the New York Times reports.

Said Bolton: “I hope it’s not suppressed.”

Bloomberg Opens First Attack on Democratic Rival

February 17, 2020 at 8:44 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Michael Bloomberg’s presidential campaign, which has largely focused its attacks on President Trump, mounted a frontal offensive against one of his Democratic rivals for the first time, comparing Sen. Bernie Sanders’s campaign tactics with those employed by the president,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Sanders struck back at a campaign rally later in the afternoon, drawing comparisons between Mr. Bloomberg and Mr. Trump. But Mr. Bloomberg was not alone in targeting the Vermont liberal: Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., in a television interview, called on Mr. Sanders to disavow attacks by some of his supporters on officials at a Nevada labor union, behavior that Mr. Biden said was ‘Trump-like.'”

Federal Judges Group Calls Emergency Meeting

February 17, 2020 at 7:11 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A national association of federal judges has called an emergency meeting Tuesday to address growing concerns about the intervention of Justice Department officials and President Trump in politically sensitive cases, USA Today reports.

Buttigieg’s Plan If Trump Won’t Leave

February 17, 2020 at 7:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Pete Buttigieg says if President Trump refuses to leave the White House after losing his reelection bid in November, he could stay and “do chores,” The Hill reports.

Said Buttigieg: “I mean if he won’t leave, I guess if he’s willing to do chores, I guess we could work something out.”

Sanders Holds Wide Lead In Nevada

February 17, 2020 at 6:54 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Data for Progress poll in Nevada finds Bernie Sanders leading with 35%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 16%, Pete Buttigieg at 15%, Joe Biden at 14% and Amy Klobuchar at 9%.

Jon Ralston: “My one caveat is that polls are only as good as their turnout model, and this turnout is very much in flux.”

Exchange of the Day

February 17, 2020 at 5:27 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jeff Weaver, campaign manager for Bernie Sanders was interviewed by Brooke Baldwin on CNN:

BALDWIN: If Senator Sanders ends up being the nominee — and we know Mike Bloomberg has pledged to donate as much as one billion dollars in an effort to defeat President Trump — would you accept his money?

WEAVER: No.

Bolton to Break Silence

February 17, 2020 at 3:42 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Bolton is due to make his first public speech since the impeachment inquiry into Trump wrapped up, even as his lawyers continue to wrangle with the White House over the contents of his highly anticipated book, CNN reports.

Bolton’s speech tonight at Duke University, the first of two public appearances this week, isn’t expected to directly address the issue of impeachment or the ongoing conflict over the contents of his manuscript though he is due to take questions.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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