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Val Demings Open to Running for Higher Office

February 4, 2021 at 1:47 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Val Demings (D-FL) told the Washington Post she is open to the possibility of running for Florida governor or U.S. Senate in 2022.

Said Demings: “I certainly would not talk about any private conversations that I’m having. But as I said, there’s plenty of work to do in the House right now. If that would take me to another campaign, then I’m keeping that door open.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Gov, FL-Sen

Gaetz Won’t Challenge Rubio In 2022

January 20, 2021 at 9:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) has “no interest” in mounting a primary challenge to Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) in 2022, the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen

Ivanka’s Political Future Comes Into Sharper Focus

January 16, 2021 at 10:44 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “The senior White House adviser is set to decamp to Florida after her father’s presidency comes to a close. And though talk of her launching a primary challenge to Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) has given off the faint whiff of political [fan-fic], in reality, Trump officials say, there have been machinations behind the scenes.”

One person in contact with the president said that Jared Kushner is viewed as “working single-mindedly to protect and promote his wife’s ‘political career.'”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen


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Rubio Will Run for Re-Election

December 8, 2020 at 12:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) told Florida Politics he will run for reelection in 2022 and that he thinks Donald Trump will clear the field if he runs for president in 2024.

Said Rubio: “If he decides to run, I think what it means is that Donald Trump will be the next Republican nominee… I still have work to do in the U.S. Senate… I have every intention of being on that ballot in November of 2022.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen

Jolly Eyes Higher Office But Not as Republican

July 27, 2020 at 12:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Rep. David Jolly (R-FL) indicated that he’s considering a run for Florida Governor or the U.S. Senate in 2022, but not as a Republican, Florida Politics reports.

Said Jolly: “I left the GOP and am not returning.”

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: FL-Gov, FL-Sen

Scott Will No Longer Keep Assets In Blind Trust

February 11, 2019 at 12:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) “will no longer keep his vast wealth in a blind trust, like he did during his eight years as Florida’s governor,” the Tampa Bay Times reports.

“Instead, Scott said he will report his assets to the public in annual financial disclosure forms required of all members of Congress. He didn’t elaborate further.”

Filed Under: Senate Tagged With: FL-Sen, Rick Scott

Bad Ballot Design May Have Cost Bill Nelson Votes

November 19, 2018 at 8:09 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Florida Playbook: “A telltale sign of bad ballot design in Broward (where the Senate race was tucked below the instructions in the lower left-hand corner) was how Broward’s undervote rate in the Senate race was so much bigger than in any other Florida county. Unlike Miami-Dade to its north and Palm Beach to its south, Broward County had fewer votes for the top of the ticket Senate race than governor (as well as the three Florida Cabinet posts). Thousands of people just undervoted the race because they probably didn’t see it on the ballot.”

“If we assume the Senate race would have had as many total votes as the governor’s race in Broward and if Nelson’s and Gov. Scott’s vote-share remained the same, Nelson would have netted an additional 9,746 votes in the county. And that would have dropped Scott’s statewide lead of 10,033 to just 287 votes. Still, that’s a win for Scott.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen

Nearly 3,000 Votes Disappeared From Florida’s Recount

November 17, 2018 at 8:53 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Nearly 3,000 votes effectively disappeared during the machine recount of Florida’s midterm races, according to election records, calling into question whether officials relied on a flawed process to settle the outcome of three statewide contests,” the New York Times reports.

Filed Under: Election Administration Tagged With: FL-Sen, Florida

Nelson Didn’t Get the Machine Error He Needed

November 17, 2018 at 11:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News: “To have a chance at overcoming Gov. Rick Scott’s 12,603-vote lead in their Senate race, incumbent Bill Nelson (D-FL) desperately needed a manual statewide recount to show that tens of thousands of votes here in Democrat-heavy Broward County had been misread by scanners.”

“That didn’t happen. And Nelson’s chances of holding his Senate seat went from very slim to virtually nonexistent.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Election Administration Tagged With: FL-Sen

Florida Orders Hand Recount

November 15, 2018 at 5:35 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An unprecedented statewide hand recount is now under way in the Sunshine State, further extending a high-stakes, partisan battle over every last vote in Florida’s crucial U.S. Senate race,” the Miami Herald reports.

“Following a five-day machine recount of the more than 8.3 million votes cast in the Nov. 6 elections, Secretary of State Ken Detzner ordered hand recounts Thursday afternoon in the race between Sen Bill Nelson (D) and Gov. Rick Scott (R).”

“The order gives canvassing boards in the state’s 67 counties three days to pore over thousands of ballots that were rejected by machines because of ‘overvotes’ — a voter appears to have chosen more than one candidate in a race — or ‘undervotes,’ in which a voter appears to have skipped a race altogether.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen

Judge Calls Florida the ‘Laughing Stock of the World’

November 15, 2018 at 11:41 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A federal judge slammed Florida on Thursday for repeatedly failing to anticipate election problems, and said the state law on recounts appears to violate the U.S. Supreme Court ruling that decided the presidency in 2000,” the AP reports.

Said U.S. District Judge Mark Walker: “We have we have been the laughing stock of the world, election after election, and we chose not to fix this.”

Filed Under: Election Administration Tagged With: FL-Sen

Odds Are Against Bill Nelson In Florida Recount

November 15, 2018 at 8:19 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN: “Scott holds a little more than a 12,000 vote lead over Nelson. That amounts to an advantage of about 0.15 percentage points, which is well within the 0.25 point margin needed for a manual recount required by Florida law. This margin may seem small, but for recount purposes, it is actually quite large.”

“According to a FairVote database of statewide recounts from 2000 to 2015, the average recount moves the margin by 0.02 points. Nelson needs the margin to move by nearly eight times as much.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen

Judge Gives Florida Voters Time to Fix Ballots

November 15, 2018 at 8:08 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Florida’s historic recount was thrown once more into uncertainty Thursday when a federal judge ruled that at least 4,000 voters whose mail-in and provisional ballots were rejected because of issues with their signatures may be given two days to resolve the problem and have their votes counted,” the Washington Post reports.

“The decision by Judge Mark Walker of the U.S. District Court in Tallahassee came hours ahead of the Thursday afternoon deadline for elections officials to complete a machine recount… It was not clear how the judge’s decision would affect the timing of recount, which was expected to move to a manual canvass Friday in the too-close-to-call Senate race, in which Gov. Rick Scott (R) leads Sen. Bill Nelson (D) by fewer than 13,000 votes.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen

Sloppy Signatures May Disqualify Thousands of Florida Votes

November 14, 2018 at 10:59 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “At least 5,000 ballots from all voters — and perhaps twice that many — were left uncounted across Florida as a result of signature mismatches, according to various estimates from the Florida secretary of state and analysts examining the latest data.”

“The signature battle touches on constitutional questions of equal protection and free speech. But it is rooted in larger societal trends that are rapidly rendering an individual’s handwriting an unreliable electoral hallmark.”

Filed Under: Election Administration Tagged With: FL-Sen

Palm Beach Voting Machines Overheat

November 14, 2018 at 8:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Palm Beach County elections supervisor says aging equipment has overheated, causing mismatched results in the recount of ballots in Florida’s U.S. Senate race,” the AP reports.

“The 11-year-old machines began having problems on Monday as early voting ballots were being counted. When the numbers were crunched on Tuesday, they didn’t match.”

Filed Under: Election Administration Tagged With: FL-Sen

Will the Florida Recounts Change Anything?

November 12, 2018 at 1:42 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tampa Bay Times: “According to an analysis by the nonpartisan group FairVote, which advocates for electoral reforms that make it easier to vote, out of 4,687 statewide general elections between 2000 and 2016, just 26 went to a recount.”

“Of those 26, just three recounts wound up changing the initial result of the race: The 2004 Washington governor’s race, the 2006 Vermont state auditor’s race and the 2008 Minnesota U.S. Senate race. The average swing in those three elections after the recounts? About 311 votes. … Essentially, Nelson — and to a greater extent, Gillum — would need a systematic error to be discovered during their recounts if their results are to be reversed.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Gov, FL-Sen

Florida Judge Sees No Evidence of Voter Fraud

November 12, 2018 at 1:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Florida judge said he’s seen no evidence of wrongdoing in the vote-counting in Broward County and urged all sides to “ramp down the rhetoric,” the AP reports.

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Election Administration Tagged With: FL-Sen

Trump Calls for Halting Florida Recount

November 12, 2018 at 8:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump “called for halting the just-launched recounts in the Florida races for Senate and governor, alleging without evidence that many ballots were missing and forged and that a valid tally was no longer possible,” the Washington Post reports.

Said Trump: “The Florida Election should be called in favor of Rick Scott and Ron DeSantis in that large numbers of new ballots showed up out of nowhere, and many ballots are missing or forged. An honest vote count is no longer possible-ballots massively infected. Must go with Election Night!”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Election Administration Tagged With: FL-Gov, FL-Sen

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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