The FiveThirtyEight polling average in Virginia shows Glenn Youngkin (R) overtaking Terry McAuliffe (D) for the first time, 47.5% to 46.9%.
Glenn Youngkin Campaigns Alone
“Terry McAuliffe has brought in the biggest names in Democratic politics to come to his aid in Virginia’s hotly contested gubernatorial race: Obama, Harris, Abrams, Biden (both Joe and Jill),” the AP reports.
“Glenn Youngkin, meanwhile, is campaigning with… Glenn Youngkin.”
“That decision to go solo is a deliberate strategy by his team to keep voters’ focus on state, rather than national, issues. But it’s also an acknowledgment that a parade of GOP visitors would only undermine Youngkin’s attempt to keep his party — and its leader, former President Donald Trump — at arm’s length.”
Republicans Ready Trump Playbook for Virginia
Just days ahead of the vote in the race for Virginia governor, conservative radio host Mark Levin is sharing a conspiracy theory that Terry McAuliffe (D) is plotting to “steal the election,” Mediaite reports.
How Glenn Youngkin Could Win
Politico: “Republicans started the year watching the Senate slip away in Georgia — and fretting that Donald Trump’s takeover of the party was so complete that the base wouldn’t show up for them without Trump himself on the ballot. Now, those fears have largely evaporated.”
“Republicans hold an enormous edge in enthusiasm that could make the difference in the upcoming Virginia governor’s race, according to both public and private polling. What’s most notable in Virginia is that it’s Glenn Youngkin — a candidate who accepted Trump’s endorsement but has held the former president at arm’s length during the campaign — who stands to benefit from the electrified GOP base, which is instead animated by President Joe Biden’s sagging ratings and Democrats’ total control in Washington and Richmond.”
Emails Reveal McAuliffe Effort to ‘Kill’ Fox News Story
“Terry McAuliffe’s campaign raised eyebrows by spending nearly $60,000 to hire a high-profile attorney known for masterminding election-related legal challenges,” Fox News reports.
“When Fox News sent the campaign a request for comment, the McAuliffe campaign scrambled to ‘kill’ the story, according to emails mistakenly sent to Fox News.”
Bernie Sanders Stumps for Phil Murphy
NJ Advance Media: “He energized the crowd with his trademark call to revamp government to better help the young and working-class — a message that has long drawn him a devoted following among college-age Americans.”
“And while Sanders was the clearly main attraction, the former presidential candidate repeatedly championed Murphy as a vessel for that message and urged the audience to help vote the Democratic governor into a second term Tuesday.”
Race for Virginia Governor Is a Toss Up
A new Washington Post-Schar School poll in Virginia finds Terry McAuliffe (D) just ahead of Glenn Youngkin (R) in the race for governor among likely voters, 49% to 48%.
“Youngkin is fueled by an 18-point advantage among independent likely voters, up from an eight-point advantage last month — a significant swing in a group that could determine the election’s outcome.”
Glenn Youngkin’s Path to Culture Warrior
“For months as he campaigned for governor of Virginia, Glenn Youngkin tried to sound a lot like the kind of Republican who dominated the party back in 2009 — the last time a Republican was elected to statewide office,” the New York Times reports.
“He avoided discussion of divisive social issues in favor of praise of free markets and job creators, and conservative activists knew very little about him or what he believed as a result.”
“In the final days before the election on Tuesday, many Republicans say they still have no idea what Mr. Youngkin really believes. But they have cheered him on regardless, after he took a hard-right turn and began promoting the causes that are animating conservatives and supporters of the former president, from the debate over teaching the impact of racism to transgender rights in schools.”
Pence Wades Into School Debate Roiling Virginia Race
“Former Vice President Mike Pence on Thursday hailed activist parents who are decrying school curriculums as un-American, equating instruction on the effects of institutional racism with ‘state-sponsored racism’ and warning that such efforts might ‘indoctrinate’ children,” the AP reports.
“The fight over schools has become a flashpoint in the Virginia governor’s race, where polls show a dead heat between Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin ahead of Election Day on Tuesday.”
Youngkin Takes Lead In Virginia
A new Fox News poll in Virginia shows Glenn Youngkin (R) leading Terry McAuliffe (D) in the race for governor among likely voters, 53% to 46%.
That’s a big shift from two weeks ago, when McAuliffe was ahead, 51% to 46%.
Among the larger poll of registered voters, Youngkin leads 48% to 47%.
Trump Plans Monday Tele-Rally for Youngkin
“Donald Trump plans to hold a tele-rally for Republican Glenn Youngkin on Monday night, a day before the Virginia gubernatorial election,” Bloomberg reports.
“The former president on Wednesday teased the possibility that he would campaign in Virginia before the election, but will do the tele-rally, typically a call with supporters to generate support for the candidate.”
It Could Take Days to Count Virginia Votes
“Recent polls have the high-stakes Virginia governor’s race as a neck-and-neck contest between Terry McAuliffe and Glenn Youngkin — and that means it could take days to determine the winner,” Politico reports.
Washington Post: An army of poll watchers — many driven by the GOP’s “election integrity” push — turns out across Virginia.
A Sign Democrats Are Sticking By Biden
“The last time Virginia and New Jersey elected governors in 2017, then-President Donald Trump was nowhere to be found. With his approval rating below 40 percent, neither GOP nominee wanted him anywhere near their campaigns,” Politico reports.
“Fast forward four years and Joe Biden’s poll numbers aren’t much better. Yet Democrats have welcomed Biden on the campaign trail. Virginia Democrat Terry McAuliffe and New Jersey Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy both appeared on stage with him this week.”
Will Trump Campaign In Virginia?
Former President Donald Trump teased a possible visit to Virginia in a cryptic statement.
Murphy Maintains His Lead In New Jersey
A new Monmouth poll in New Jersey finds Gov. Phil Murphy (D) leading challenger Jack Ciattarelli (R), 50% to 39%.
A range of probabilistic electorate models show Murphy with a lead between 8 and 14 points depending on the scenario.
Biden Ties Virginia Governor’s Race to Trump
New York Post: “Biden mentioned Trump by name 24 times during a brisk, 17-minute speech in a park near the Pentagon in northern Virginia, attempting to use his predecessor’s legacy to bash Republican Glenn Youngkin, who is tied with McAuliffe in polls in a state Biden won by 10 points just a year ago.”
Each Party Has One Big Advantage In Virginia
First Read: “For McAuliffe, that edge has been the state’s incredibly long early-voting period, which began back on Sept. 17. In a state where Biden voters outnumber Trump voters by 450,000 Virginians, having nearly two months to know which voters have already cast ballots — and which ones haven’t — is a big asset for Democrats and the McAuliffe campaign.”
“For Youngkin, his big potential advantage is left-leaning third-party candidate Princess Blanding, who sits at 1 percent in that Wason Center poll. The potential 30,000 or so votes she gets could end up deciding who wins and loses in this close race.”
Final New York Mayoral Debate Descends Into Insults
“There was talk of schmoozing with murderous gang members, and accusations of hiding money to evade paying child support. Pagliacci, the tortured clown of the 19th-century opera, was name-checked. So was Miley Cyrus,” the New York Times reports.
“All of this came up Tuesday night in an explosive second and final New York City mayoral debate between Eric Adams, the Democratic nominee, and Curtis Sliwa, the Republican.”
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