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GOP Midterm Election Autopsy Doesn’t Mention Trump

April 26, 2023 at 3:46 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A draft Republican Party autopsy report on the 2022 midterm elections examining why the GOP failed to win the U.S. Senate and posted smaller-than-expected gains in the House does not mention Donald Trump or his role as the de facto leader of the party,” the Washington Post reports.

“GOP leaders are avoiding Trump in part because RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel has vowed to be neutral in the 2024 Republican primary as the former president seeks a second term. Comments praising or criticizing Trump would break that vow, some of the people involved in the report said.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Republicans

McCarthy Blames Candidate Quality for Poor Showing

February 24, 2023 at 12:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) is privately telling big-dollar donors that bad candidates for governor and Senate were a top reason the GOP didn’t win more House seats in 2022, emphasizing that quality candidates matter up and down the ticket,” Axios reports.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Supreme Court Won’t Hear Challenge to Maryland Election

February 21, 2023 at 9:53 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Tuesday declined to take up former Maryland gubernatorial candidate Dan Cox’s (R) challenge to the timing of officials’ tabulation of mail-in ballots in his election,” The Hill reports.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign


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Kari Lake Loses Appeal of Election Loss

February 16, 2023 at 8:18 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An Arizona appeals court has rejected Republican Kari Lake’s challenge of her defeat in the Arizona governor’s race to Democrat Katie Hobbs, denying her request to throw out election results in the state’s most populous county and hold the election again,” the AP reports.

“In a ruling on Thursday, the Arizona Court of Appeals wrote Lake, who claimed problems with ballot printers at some police places on Election Day were the result of intentional misconduct, presented no evidence that voters whose ballots were unreadable by tabulators at polling places were not able to vote.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Election-Denying Republicans Underperformed in 2022

February 16, 2023 at 3:44 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Stanford Business School study finds that election-denying Republicans in statewide races outperformed their co-partisans in the GOP primary by roughly 2%, while they underperformed in the general election by about 2.3%.

Key takeaway: “The general-election penalty is larger than the margin of victory in battleground states in recent close presidential elections, suggesting that nominating election-denying candidates in 2024 could be a damaging electoral strategy for Republicans.”

“At the same time, it is small enough to suggest that only a relatively small group of voters changed their vote in response to having an election-denying candidate on the ballot.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Kari Lake’s Lawyers Hit with Bar Complaints

February 16, 2023 at 8:23 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A legal group plans to file bar complaints Thursday against four lawyers representing Kari Lake in voter fraud litigation, NBC News reports.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Kari Lake Brings Election Denialism to Iowa

February 13, 2023 at 6:53 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For two days, Kari Lake traversed this state with a clear message. She falsely claimed the 2020 election was stolen from Donald Trump. She baselessly insisted that votes were rigged against her in her run for Arizona governor last year. And she warned without evidence that future races will be compromised,” the Washington Post reports.

Said Lake: “If you lose, lose with dignity. You shake the other person’s hand and walk away. I didn’t lose, so I’m not doing that.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Jeffrey Katzenberg Made the Mayoral Race His Priority

February 6, 2023 at 7:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Early last year, the Hollywood mogul Jeffrey Katzenberg sat for lunch with Rick Caruso, a billionaire mall tycoon who was preparing his run for Los Angeles mayor,” Politico reports.

“Katzenberg told Caruso he understood why he was running. He made clear his support for Congresswoman Karen Bass in the race.”

“And then came the warning: If Caruso took the high road, Katzenberg said that he would, too. But, ‘If you take the low road,’ a person familiar with the conversation recounted, ‘I’m going lower.'”

“The threat was a quintessential demonstration of political power from Katzenberg — one of the country’s premier Democratic donors, and for decades a kingmaker for aspiring politicians. But it also illustrates the nuance with which the former Walt Disney Studios chairman and DreamWorks co-founder was now using his influence.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Kari Lake Accused of Campaign Violations

January 30, 2023 at 10:40 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Arizona’s top election official has asked the attorney general to investigate Kari Lake, the Republican candidate who lost her bid for governor in 2022, over potential campaign violations involving the disclosure of voter signatures,” the Washington Post reports.

“The complaint could set up a legal showdown in the battleground state between a prominent conservative election denier backed by Donald Trump and two newly elected Democrats who campaigned with messages of strengthening public trust in elections.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign Tagged With: AZ-Gov

Steve Bannon Ramps Up Election Denialism

January 29, 2023 at 5:11 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Steve Bannon took election denialism to an unhinged level on his podcast this week, when he didn’t just indulge in the baseless claims of election fraud favored by former President Donald Trump, but went so far as to tell Kari Lake ‘you’re the frickin’ governor of Arizona,’” Mediaite reports.

For those grounded in reality, Lake is not the governor of Arizona.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

The Democrats’ Senate Map of Doom

January 26, 2023 at 1:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Amanda Carpenter: “In 2024, nearly half of the Democratic caucus—23 senators—is up for re-election. Of those, eight are considered vulnerable: five in battleground states (Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Virginia) and the other three in solidly red states (Ohio, Montana, West Virginia). Republicans, on the other hand, have only 11 senators up for re-election in the 2024 cycle, and all of them represent states Trump won in 2020…”

“So even though it’s early and elections are unpredictable, the map math is hard to deny: Republicans stand a much better shot of taking control of the Senate than Democrats do of keeping it in 2024.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Bonus Quote of the Day

January 24, 2023 at 12:06 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“There’s not a darn reason we should’ve lost.”

— Kari Lake (R), on Steve Bannon’s podcast, coming close to finally admitting she lost the race for governor in Arizona.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign Tagged With: AZ-Gov

GOP Officials Knew of Candidate’s Background

January 23, 2023 at 2:41 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Republican officials in New Mexico knew that Solomon Peña, the man police accused last week of orchestrating shootings into the homes of four Albuquerque Democrats, had served nearly seven years in prison for his role in smash-and-grab thefts before he lost his bid as the GOP nominee for a state House seat.”

“They also knew that Peña was a fervent proponent of the view that the 2020 presidential election was rigged. Authorities said Peña was persuaded that his own election in November had been stolen — despite being defeated by nearly 50 points — and targeted the homes of officials who refused to entertain demands that his loss be reversed.”

“After Peña’s arrest, Republican leaders condemned the attacks, which included a spray of bullets into a 10-year-old’s bedroom, and acknowledged that the former candidate’s criminal history should have been a red flag. There was far less apparent interest in a reckoning over Peña’s beliefs in widespread voter fraud, a false theory pushed relentlessly by former president Donald Trump and his supporters.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

‘All I Had Was the American Dream’

January 23, 2023 at 11:21 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) launched his U.S. Senate campaign this morning with an extraordinary video.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign Tagged With: AZ-Sen

Kari Lake Ran a Terrible Campaign

January 23, 2023 at 9:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When Kari Lake lost the Arizona governor’s race in November, political experts generally agreed it was because she alienated Republican-leaning voters. A new analysis puts hard numbers on that phenomenon, showing Maricopa County voters who backed GOP candidates in less prominent races shunned Lake,” the Arizona Republic reports.

“Those decisions made a profound difference: Democrat Katie Hobbs picked up the support of 33,000 Maricopa County voters who cast ballots for Republicans in six down-ballot races, such as state treasurer and county attorney. Adding to Lake’s deficit were another nearly 6,000 Republican-leaning voters who opted to skip the race altogether or wrote in a candidate, the analysis found.”

“If those voters had stuck with the GOP ticket, Lake would have won. She lost by 17,117 votes statewide.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign Tagged With: AZ-Gov

GOP Lawmaker Blames Abortion for Narrow Majority

January 22, 2023 at 5:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) said she thinks abortion is the reason why Republicans did not pick up a larger majority in the House, urging lawmakers to find middle ground on the issue, The Hill reports.

Said Mace: “It’s the reason we didn’t get more of a majority. We should have had a dozen or two dozen seat majority this legislative session but we don’t because this is one of the issues that was top of mind for swing voters.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Abortion

What Voters Thought In the 2022 Midterms

January 20, 2023 at 8:32 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The 2022 Collaborative Midterm Survey from Cornell University — a poll of nearly 20,000 U.S. adults with large oversamples in California, Florida, and Wisconsin — was just published.

An interactive feature allows you to really dig into the results. Highly recommended.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Polling

Loeffler Post-Election Report Ignores Herschel Walker

January 17, 2023 at 9:02 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) “wasn’t on any ballot in 2022, but she was deeply involved in the election anyway through a series of new organizations, millions in GOP-focused donations, and today, a 30-page after-action report on what she says worked for Republicans in Georgia and what didn’t,” the Atlanta Journal Constitution reports.

“Key to Republican wins in 2022, the report says, were a Loeffler-sponsored year-round registration and mobilization effort, messaging about Georgia Republicans’ election law overhaul through Senate Bill 202, and having Gov. Brian Kemp at the top of the GOP ticket.”

“Not mentioned in the report at all is Herschel Walker’s campaign, the lone statewide loss for the GOP.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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