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Poll Closings at 7 p.m. ET

November 8, 2022 at 7:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are where the polls are closing this hour:

7 p.m. – Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia

7:30 p.m. – North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia

Leave your reactions in the comments as results come in.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Judge Keeps Polls Open in Pennsylvania County

November 8, 2022 at 6:22 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A judge in Luzerne County, Pennsylvania, ordered polls in the county to stay open until 10 p.m. ET after voters reported some polling locations running out of paper for voting machines,” Fox News reports.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Nevada Democrats Count on the Reid Machine

November 8, 2022 at 5:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) has trailed her challenger, Adam Laxalt (R), in recent polls and Gov. Steve Sisolak (D) is also trailing his challenger, Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, the Los Angeles Times reports.

“But in Las Vegas, the Democrats may have an ace up their sleeve: They have the backing of the highly motivated and influential Culinary Workers Union Local 226, a 60,000-member organization of Las Vegas hotel staff that has a strong history of canvassing and turning elections in their favor.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign Tagged With: NV-Gov, NV-Sen


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A Few Thoughts Before the Results Come In

November 8, 2022 at 2:29 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

One of the great secrets of political journalism is that not much actually happens on the Election Day. The real action is tonight when the first polls close at 6 p.m. ET.

But while we wait, here are some things to note:

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Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members

11 States That Count Votes Slowly

November 8, 2022 at 12:55 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

HuffPost: “At least 11 states with highly competitive races will likely take 24 hours or more to report enough of their vote totals to declare winners. The races in Alaska, Arizona, California, Georgia, Illinois, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin include four marquee Senate races and 33 competitive House races.”

“That means that it’s highly unlikely we’ll know right away which party will control both chambers in Congress.”

CNBC: Here are the states where recounts are more likely.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Election Administration

Georgia County Extends Deadline for 1,036 Voters

November 8, 2022 at 12:40 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A key Georgia county has extended the deadline for over 1,036 absentee ballots to be received through November 14, nearly a week after Election Day,” CNN reports.

“Cobb County election officials failed to send out the ballots after they say procedural errors were made on at least two days in October, when absentee ballots were requested but not created and mailed.”

If the Senate race is as close as some predict, those votes could decide it.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Empty Debate Stages Become the Norm

November 8, 2022 at 11:47 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The run-up to Election Day has long come with a few rites of passage for candidates, but one of them — showing up on the debate stage to take questions and square off against an opponent — seems to be fading from the list of prerequisites,” NBC News reports.

“An analysis of debate schedules by NBC News confirms what many political observers have speculated: The number of debates in competitive 2022 Senate races has hit a new low since 2008.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

DeSantis Blocks Election Monitors

November 8, 2022 at 11:23 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The DeSantis administration is attempting to block Department of Justice election monitors from gaining access to polling places in South Florida, saying in a letter that the federal government’s involvement would be ‘counterproductive’ and in violation of state law,” the Washington Post reports.

“On Monday, the Justice Department announced that it would send federal monitors to 64 jurisdictions nationwide to monitor how elections are being conducted. Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties were all slated to receive federal monitors from the Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Election Administration

Putin Insiders Pray for GOP Election Sweep

November 8, 2022 at 10:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Daily Beast: “Russian state media is following the midterm elections in the United States with great interest, but the mood in Moscow’s studios had noticeably soured in comparison to the fun-filled episodes of the years preceding Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. While the experts and the hosts are still rooting for the Republicans, they stop short of promising the audience total salvation even with the GOP back in charge.”

“Even the most seasoned propagandists can’t hide the fact that Russia’s war against Ukraine—and the global fallout that followed—is only going from bad to worse.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Foreign Affairs

Beware ‘Spoiler’ House Candidates

November 8, 2022 at 10:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Wasserman previews the five House races where “spoiler” candidates might change the outcome tonight.

“The freakiest situation is in Minnesota’s 2nd CD, where for the second straight cycle, the Legal Marijuana Now party nominee has died less than six weeks before the election. But as in 2020, the late candidate’s name will still appear on the ballot, potentially draining progressive votes from Democratic Rep. Angie Craig and boosting GOP Marine veteran Tyler Kistner two years after Craig eked out a 48%-46% victory.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

It Won’t Be Over Tonight

November 8, 2022 at 9:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Charlie Sykes: “Yes, it could be a blowout and we could all go to bed by 10 o’clock, but it’s also quite likely that we won’t know the outcome of some key races until tomorrow, maybe not for days. Legal challenges in key states could go on for weeks. And, remember, Georgia’s senate race (which could decide who controls the upper body) will be headed for a run-off if no one gets 50 percent of the vote.)”

“Because some states — looking at you Wisconsin and Pennsylvania — intentionally delay the counting of mail-in votes, there may a “red mirage” again, followed by a surge of late-breaking Democratic votes. And you know what that means.”

Charles Mahtesian: “It’s time to talk about it out loud: This year’s election is going to be a train wreck. Not just Election Day, but the weeks and perhaps even months to come.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Three Most Likely Scenarios

November 8, 2022 at 9:17 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Amy Walter offers three possible scenarios for tonight’s midterm election results.

1. The Classic “Tsunami” Election: “We can put the 1994/2006/2010 midterms into this category. In this scenario, the bottom drops out for the party in the White House. Not only do the closest races tip to Republicans, but the GOP picks up seats in unexpected places.”

2. A “Wavey” Election: “The closest historical example would be the 2018 midterms. In this scenario, turnout is roughly even to slightly better for Republicans. Independent voters, however, break decisively for Republicans (say by 10-12 points). The closest races break for Republicans, but there are fewer ‘surprise’ pick-ups.”

3. A Red Ripple: “We don’t have an analog in recent years for this type of midterm election. In this scenario, Democratic and Republican turnout is basically equal — with both sides able to juice their base. Instead of breaking decisively for Republicans, independent voters give Republicans a small advantage.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

The Forecast Is More Or Less Back Where It Started

November 8, 2022 at 9:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver: “When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance of taking over the Senate from Democrats, and an 87 percent chance of taking over the House.”

“We could almost have turned our servers off and let that forecast stand. Today, in our final forecast of the cycle, Republicans have a 59 percent chance of winning the Senate and an 84 percent chance of winning the House.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Quote of the Day

November 8, 2022 at 8:51 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If we lose the House and Senate, it’s going to be a horrible two years.”

— President Biden, quoted by CNN.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Democrats Sound Alarm About ‘Red Mirage’ Redux

November 8, 2022 at 8:48 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Democrats running the party’s national campaign arm held a private call with allies and stakeholders Monday night to discuss “urgent messaging” if a flurry of GOP candidates claim victory prematurely, Axios reports.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Philadelphia Vote Count Will Take Longer

November 8, 2022 at 8:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Counting Philadelphia’s votes will take longer than expected this election,” the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

“City officials voted Tuesday morning — as polling places opened and the vote count began for the midterm elections — to reinstate a time consuming and labor-intensive process for catching double votes that will slow how quickly they can report results.”

“If Pennsylvania’s high-stakes U.S. Senate race is as close as expected, a wait for results out of the state’s largest city is sure to shine a national spotlight on Philadelphia, similar to after the 2020 presidential election.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

Hour-by-Hour Poll Closing Times

November 8, 2022 at 8:43 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here is an hour-by-hour guide to watching the midterm election returns tonight.

As I noted earlier, some races in the the earlier states which may be good indicators for what to expect nationally.

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Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members

Vulnerable Democratic Lawmaker Embraces Biden

November 8, 2022 at 6:48 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Mike Levin (D-CA) “welcomed Biden to a pair of events late last week — one of the few personal appearances Biden has made for any vulnerable House Democrat,” Bloomberg reports.

Said Levin: “He was a terrific messenger for all the accomplishments of these past two years. … The pros so overwhelmingly outweighed the cons, in terms of getting out to vote, turning out Democrats that historically may or may not vote in the midterm but vote in a presidential election.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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