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Have Democrats Lost Wedge Issues to Use Against GOP?

June 28, 2015 at 9:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 66 Comments

“A cascade of events suggests that 2015 could be remembered as a Liberal Spring: the moment when deeply divisive and consuming questions of race, sexuality and broadened access to health care were settled in quick succession, and social tolerance was cemented as a cornerstone of American public life,” the New York Times reports.

“Yet what appears, in headlines and celebrations across the country, to represent an unalloyed victory for Democrats, in which lawmakers and judges alike seemed to give in to the leftward shift of public opinion, may contain an opening for the Republican Party to move beyond losing battles and seemingly lost causes.”

Washington Post: “This uneven terrain is now a key battlefield in the 2016 campaign, unnerving red America and fueling intense debate within the Republican Party about how to navigate such changes — or whether to adapt to the mainstream at all.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Liberal Is No Longer a Bad Word

June 21, 2015 at 5:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 25 Comments

Politico: “Democrats have been running away from the ‘liberal’ label for a long time, but recent polling shows that rank-and-file Democrats are increasingly happy to pin the scarlet ‘L’ on themselves. It may seem counterintuitive, but the rise in liberal pride is crucial to liberals building a long-lasting relationship with moderates and cementing a post-Obama leftward trajectory.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Inside the Quiet Effort to Change the Democrats’ Message

June 16, 2015 at 5:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 21 Comments

Morning Consult: “In the months since their party took another electoral beating and lost the Senate to Republicans, senior Democratic strategists have launched a major effort to rebrand the party, after concluding their message no longer inspires voters who turned out to elect President Obama but sat on their hands during midterm elections.”

“The rebranding project is being led by Rep. Steve Israel (D-N.Y.), chairman of the House Democratic Policy and Communications Committee, with help from Jefrey Pollock, one of the party’s most trusted pollsters. Their goal, several people involved in the effort say, is to make it clear that Democrats understand voters still have a deep well of anxiety about their economic safety, years after the end of the great recession.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Are Democrats Now More Extreme Than Republicans?

May 27, 2015 at 8:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 94 Comments

Peter Wehner: “Among liberals, it’s almost universally assumed that of the two major parties, it’s the Republicans who have become more extreme over the years. That’s a self-flattering but false narrative.”

“This is not to say the Republican Party hasn’t become a more conservative party. It has. But in the last two decades the Democratic Party has moved substantially further to the left than the Republican Party has shifted to the right. On most major issues the Republican Party hasn’t moved very much from where it was during the Gingrich era in the mid-1990s.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

May 21, 2015 at 1:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 77 Comments

“The modern Democratic Party has become so radical, so extreme, that they have determined that their devotion to mandatory gay marriage in all 50 states trumps any allegiance to religious liberty under the First Amendment. We’ve got an obligation, as this conference recognizes, to be watchmen on the wall.”

— Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), quoted by Time.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Democrats Tagged With: Ted Cruz

The Democrats Are a Mess Too

May 13, 2015 at 10:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 139 Comments

New York Times Magazine: “For all the much-discussed ailments of the Republican Party — its failure to win the popular vote in five of the last six presidential elections; the corrosive bickering between its mainstream and its Tea Party stalwarts; and the plummeting number of Americans who identify themselves as Republicans — the inescapable reality is that the Democrats have fallen into a ditch arguably as deep and dismal as the one Republicans have dug for themselves.”

“The Democrats lost their majority in the Senate last November; to regain it, they will need to pick up five additional seats (or four if there’s a Democratic vice president who can cast the tiebreaking vote), and nonpartisan analysts do not rate their chances as good. The party’s situation in the House is far more dire. Only 188 of the lower chamber’s 435 seats are held by Democrats. Owing in part to the aggressiveness of Republican-controlled State Legislatures that redrew numerous congressional districts following the 2010 census, few believe that the Democratic Party is likely to retake power until after the next census in 2020, and even then, the respected political analyst Charles Cook rates the chances of the Democrats’ winning the House majority by 2022 as a long shot at best.”

“Things get even worse for the Democrats further down the political totem pole. Only 18 of the country’s 50 governors are Democrats. The party controls both houses in only 11 State Legislatures. Not since the Hoover Administration has the Democratic Party’s overall power been so low.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Democrats Will Have Six Debates

May 5, 2015 at 5:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 24 Comments

The DNC “announced that the party’s primary election season will feature six officially-sanctioned debates, a light schedule for a thin Democratic field — one that stands in striking contrast to the lineup for the already-crowded race for the GOP nomination,” the Washington Post reports.

“The four earliest voting states — Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada — will each host a debate starting this fall, in conjunction with the national party, local groups, local media and national media.”

The Fix: “This is good news for Hillary Clinton. What better way to show that she is willing to fight for the every vote than to stand on a debate stage six times with the other candidates? That leveling process is a net good thing for Clinton in a way it wouldn’t be for virtually any other candidate. While this would be seen as ‘punching down’ for most well-known candidates, Clinton badly needs to avoid the appearance of a coronation, and a bunch of debates is a very good way to do that.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Democrats

Republicans and Democrats Don’t Agree on Top Issues

May 4, 2015 at 8:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 13 Comments

Mark Murray: “When asked in the new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll which issue should be the top priority for the federal government to address, Republican primary voters’ leading response was national security and terrorism (27 percent said it was their first choice). That’s followed by the deficit and government spending (24 percent), job creation and economic growth (21 percent) and religious and moral values (12 percent).”

“By comparison, the top priority for Democrats in the poll was job creation and economic growth (37 percent) — followed by health care (17 percent), climate change (15 percent) and national security and terrorism (13 percent).”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Democrats, Republicans

Can Politics Be Unbundled from the Parties?

April 27, 2015 at 9:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 26 Comments

My column in The Week: “Everywhere you look, the world is being unbundled… This unbundling trend gives consumers more choices at lower cost. And it raises an intriguing question: What if our politics could also be unbundled?”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Quote of the Day

April 26, 2015 at 7:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 8 Comments

“I’m not sure we’re a party of enough new ideas. I think both parties kind of are married to their constituencies and their powerful interests, and they’re unwilling to challenge them in the way I did as mayor.”

– Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D), quoted by the Los Angeles Times.

Filed Under: Democrats Tagged With: Antonio Villaraigosa

The Case for Picking a Political Party

April 25, 2015 at 2:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 13 Comments

Wonk Wire: The irrelevance of independents

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Why Political Parties Don’t Try to Inspire Voters

April 24, 2015 at 1:37 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 14 Comments

A new research paper by Alan Abramowitz and Steven Webster looked at a variety of political characteristics to see what best predicts party loyalty.

The key determinant was fear of the other party: “Regardless of the strength of their attachment to their own party, the more voters dislike the opposing party, the greater the probability that they will vote consistently for their own party’s candidates.”

Ezra Klein: “It’s worth saying that a bit more clearly: you’re more likely to vote Democratic if you hate Republicans than if you love Democrats, and vice versa. What parties need to do to keep you loyal isn’t make you inspired. Rather, they need to make you scared.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Partisans Treat Politics Like Sports Rivalries

April 21, 2015 at 1:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 43 Comments

A new Political Research Quarterly study finds that many Americans who identify with one of the major parties base their voting decisions more like a sports fan than an informed voter concerned about issues.

Co-author Patrick Miller said that what motivates partisans to vote is “not high-minded, good-government, issue-based goals.” Instead, they think, “I hate the other party. I’m going to go out, and we’re going to beat them.”

Interestingly, when it came to uncivil attitudes, 38% of partisans agreed that their parties should use any tactics necessary to “win elections and issue debates.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

A Deep Dive Into Party Affiliation

April 7, 2015 at 3:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 29 Comments

Pew Research: “Democrats hold advantages in party identification among blacks, Asians, Hispanics, well-educated adults and Millennials. Republicans have leads among whites – particularly white men, those with less education and evangelical Protestants – as well as members of the Silent Generation.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

No One Has An Edge in the Culture Wars

April 6, 2015 at 12:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 6 Comments

Wonk Wire: Democrats are just as divided as Republicans in the “culture wars”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Democrats Develop Rift with Jewish Voters

April 4, 2015 at 8:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 99 Comments

“Many U.S. Jewish leaders are unnerved both by the new Iran nuclear agreement and the public falling out between President Barack Obama and his Israeli counterpart, developments that are creating a rift in the durable alliance between Jews and the Democratic Party in the run-up to the 2016 elections,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Worried that Iran might still develop a nuclear weapon despite the accord announced Thursday, the Jewish leaders say they feel torn between an Obama administration that has pressed hard for a deal and an Israeli government that has repeatedly warned that Iran is a grave threat to the Jewish state and can’t be trusted to abandon its nuclear ambitions.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Bonus Quote of the Day

March 20, 2015 at 3:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 51 Comments

“I think there’ll be a lot of Democrats there paying good money to see me get beaten up.”

— Mitt Romney, quoted by MSNBC, on his charity boxing match against former heavyweight champion Evander Holyfield.

Filed Under: Democrats Tagged With: Mitt Romney

Three Takeaways on the DNC’s Autopsy Report

February 23, 2015 at 11:05 am EST By Taegan Goddard 70 Comments

First Read: “One, the chief shortcoming the DNC highlighted was message… Two, this nine-page ‘preliminary’ report pales in comparison to the big report the RNC did after its losses in 2012. And three, the DNC omitted what is perhaps the organization’s biggest shortcoming in the Obama Era: Obama’s OFA (in many ways) has become a separate party organization that has diverted resources and attention away from the DNC. That’s a real problem as the party moves away from the Obama years. “

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign, Democrats

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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