Iranian Revolutionary Guards gunboats fired on a tanker traveling through the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, CNN reports.
Trump Says Gas Prices Are ‘Not Very High’
“President Donald Trump on Thursday brushed aside concerns about much higher gas prices because of the Iran war, even as a new poll showed that most U.S. voters blame him for the pump price spike,” CNBC reports.
Said Trump: “Well, they are not very high.”
European Airlines Face Fuel Shortages Within Weeks
“The war in Iran has forced airlines to raise prices and cut flights. But soon, some of them, particularly in Europe, could struggle to find enough jet fuel to put planes in the sky,” the New York Times reports.
“Ryanair, the low-cost airline that dominates flying within Europe, said this week that its suppliers could guarantee it enough jet fuel only through most of May. The airline said fuel could be in short supply if ships laden with energy did not soon begin passing through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway on Iran’s southern coast.”
Trump Overwhelmingly Blamed for High Gas Prices
A new Quinnipiac poll finds 38% of voters approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president, while 55% disapprove.
Key takeaway: A stunning 65% say they blame Trump for higher gas prices, while 34% blame him not much (11%) or not at all (23%).
Extra Bonus Quote of the Day
“Just because it looks like we’re going in the wrong direction doesn’t mean that’s the direction we are going.”
— Energy Secretary Chris Wright, on Fox News.
Soaring Power Bills Threaten to Swing Elections
Bloomberg: “Across the U.S., soaring electricity costs are burdening consumers and stirring voter anger. The rapid build-out of artificial intelligence data centers, along with tariffs and upgrades to an aging grid, has raised power prices at rates unseen in decades. The war in Iran is throwing global energy markets into upheaval, adding a surge in gasoline prices to affordability concerns.”
“The energy strains have propelled the once-mundane utility bill to the center of US politics, a place it hasn’t occupied since electricity became a staple of American life. After a 2024 election in which voter concerns over inflation and the economy helped send Donald Trump back to the White House, the outcome of this year’s midterms stands to be as much about the price of power as the price of groceries.”
Iran Enjoyed an Oil Windfall as It Was Being Bombed
Bloomberg: “Tehran must surely have assumed its oil exports would be halted during a war with the US, especially if it closed the Strait of Hormuz. But seven weeks into the war, and despite having closed the waterway, Iran has enjoyed a windfall instead of economic pain.”
“During more than 40 days of fighting, Washington has let Tehran load as many oil tankers as it wished, profiting from rising prices. An even bigger gift was the White House temporarily lifting sanctions on Iranian barrels; rather than having to sell crude at a discount, the Islamic Republic was able to charge a premium.”
Trump’s Blockade of Hormuz is a Dangerous Gamble
The Economist: “When America and Israel began their war on February 28th, it was widely expected that Iran would choke off shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Few would have predicted that, less than two months later, Donald Trump would impose a blockade of his own, targeting traffic to and from Iranian ports and coastal areas. It went into effect on April 13th.”
“Mr. Trump hopes economic strangulation might force Iran to open the strait where bombardment has failed. It is a dangerous gamble that could compound the global energy crisis and lead to fresh escalation.”
Oil Prices Surge on Trump’s Blockade Threat
“Oil prices jumped over 7% to well over $100 per barrel when markets opened Sunday evening and remained high into Monday,” Axios reports.
“The latest surge shows that traders don’t see last week’s U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal reviving large-scale tanker transit through the Strait of Hormuz — and it undoes a large amount of the price drop that followed the pause in hostilities.”
Trump Says Gas Prices Might Not Drop By Midterms
“President Trump suggested on Sunday that elevated gasoline prices in the United States might not fall before the November midterm elections, a prediction that continued his mixed messaging and underscored potential political headwinds facing Republicans in the fall,” the New York Times reports.
Two Supertankers Make a U-Turn in Strait of Hormuz
“Two empty supertankers attempted to make their way through the Strait of Hormuz and into the Persian Gulf on Sunday, only to make a last-minute U-turn just as peace negotiations between the US and Iran broke down, threatening a fragile ceasefire,” Bloomberg reports.
U.S. Claims Iran Unable to Find Mines It Planted
“Iran has been unable to open the Strait of Hormuz to more shipping traffic because it cannot locate all of the mines it laid in the waterway and lacks the capability to remove them, according to U.S. officials,” the New York Times reports.
“The development is one reason Iran has not been able to quickly comply with the Trump administration’s admonitions to let more traffic pass through the strait. It is also potentially a complicating factor as Iranian negotiators and a U.S. delegation led by Vice President JD Vance meet in Pakistan this weekend for peace talks.”
Iran War Drives Deeper Oil Shock Than Prices Reveal
New York Times: “Google the price of oil, and you’ll most likely find two widely quoted prices for the commodity, one in the United States, the other in Europe.”
“These prices, which are constantly changing on electronic markets, suggest that although the war with Iran has made energy a lot more expensive, things are not nearly as bad as they were four years ago, after Russia invaded Ukraine.”
“But if you needed an actual tanker full of oil — and quickly — it would cost you dearly.”
Inflation Spiked Last Month
CNBC: “Consumer prices spiked in March as the Iran war sent energy costs soaring and took the Federal Reserve further from its inflation target, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. Underlying inflation, however, was relatively tame.”
“The consumer price index increased a seasonally adjusted 0.9% for the month, putting the annual inflation rate at 3.3%, pushed by a 10.9% surge in energy costs.”
Oil Prices Climb Again Over $100 a Barrell
CNBC: “Oil prices were higher on Friday amid persistent tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, with the vital shipping lane still largely closed despite a ceasefire deal between the U.S. and Iran.”
Strait of Hormuz Remains Closed
“Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained blocked Thursday, limited to a handful of Iran-linked ships, another sign that a fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran has yet to improve flows through the world’s key energy chokepoint,” Bloomberg reports.
“Just seven vessels, all of which have either called at Iranian ports or were carrying Iranian cargo, were observed making the voyage out of the Persian Gulf on Wednesday and into Thursday morning. Normal transits in both directions are more like 135 a day.”
CNBC: “The Strait of Hormuz has not opened to ship traffic after the U.S. and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire.”
Oil Prices Will Remain Higher Even If Strait Is Opened
Oil prices will remain 20% higher than before the Iran war, even if the Strait of Hormuz were to reopen at full capacity, Axios reports.
Oil Prices Fall After Ceasefire Announced
“Oil plunged toward $90 a barrel after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire that’s expected to halt the American-Israeli military campaign in exchange for Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz,” Bloomberg reports.
CNBC: Oil prices plunge below $100 after Iran agrees to safe passage through Strait of Hormuz during ceasefire.
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