A new New York Times/Stanford University poll finds that Hispanics “are far more likely than whites to view global warming as a problem that affects them personally. It also found that they are far more likely to support policies, such as taxes and regulations on greenhouse gas pollution, aimed at curbing it.”
Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192
November Surprises
Most Americans Want Action on Climate Change
A new New York Times/Stanford University poll finds an overwhelming majority of the American public, including nearly half of Republicans, support government action to curb global warming.
“In a finding that could have implications for the 2016 presidential campaign, the poll also found that two-thirds of Americans say they are more likely to vote for political candidates who campaign on fighting climate change. They are less likely to vote for candidates who question or deny the science of human-caused global warming.”
Republicans Avoid Democratic Trap on Climate Change
“Senate Republicans head-faked Democrats on climate change Wednesday, agreeing in a floor vote that the planet’s climate was changing, but blocking language that would have blamed human activity,” Politico reports.
“In a complicated maneuver that was the first politically perilous test for Senate Republicans, the new majority party split up the votes that Democrats had hoped would force the GOP into an awkward roll call on whether they believed in the science behind climate change — just hours after President Barack Obama slammed Republicans in his State of the Union address for dodging the issue.”
Senate Votes That Climate Change is Real
The U.S. Senate voted 98-1 in favor of a an amendment stating that “climate change is real and is not a hoax,” The Hill reports.
“The provision offered by Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) to put Republicans on record about climate change ahead of the 2016 election passed with near unanimous support, with only Sen. Roger Wicker (R-MS), the chairman of the campaign committee for Senate Republicans, voting no. In a surprise, one of the Senate’s staunchest climate change skeptics, Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK), voted in favor of the amendment.”
Pope Francis Angers Conservatives on Climate Change
“Conservative distrust of Pope Francis, which has been building in the U.S. throughout his pontificate, is reaching a boiling point over his plan to urge action on climate change — and to do so through a document traditionally used for the most important papal teachings,” the AP reports.
“For months, Francis has been drafting an encyclical on the environment and global warming which he hopes to release by June or July. Encyclicals are written with the help of a small group of advisers working under strict secrecy. But in a news conference as he traveled last week to the Philippines, Francis gave his strongest signal yet of the direction he’ll take. He said global warming was ‘mostly’ man-made. And he said he wanted his encyclical out in plenty of time to be absorbed before the next round of U.N. climate change talks in Paris in November after the last round in Lima, Peru, failed to reach an agreement.”
Big Majority Think Climate Change is Caused by People
A new Munich Re survey finds 83% of Americans now believe the climate is changing and 60% say the climate is changing due to man-made causes.
the survey findings “indicate that national sentiment over whether or not climatic changes are occurring has finally reached a tipping point.”
Wonk Wire: Former Secretary of State George Schultz is pushing Republicans for action on climate change.
Obama Builds Environmental Legacy Without New Laws
“President Obama could leave office with the most aggressive, far-reaching environmental legacy of any occupant of the White House. Yet it is very possible that not a single major environmental law will have passed during his two terms in Washington,” the New York Times reports.
“Instead, Mr. Obama has turned to the vast reach of the Clean Air Act of 1970, which some legal experts call the most powerful environmental law in the world. Faced with a Congress that has shut down his attempts to push through an environmental agenda, Mr. Obama is using the authority of the act passed at the birth of the environmental movement to issue a series of landmark regulations on air pollution, from soot to smog, to mercury and planet-warming carbon dioxide.”
Obama to Unveil Sweeping Controls on Ozone Emissions
“The Obama administration is expected to release on Wednesday a contentious and long-delayed environmental regulation to curb emissions of ozone, a smog-causing pollutant linked to asthma, heart disease and premature death,” the New York Times reports.
“The sweeping regulation, which would aim at smog from power plants and factories across the country, particularly in the Midwest, would be the latest in a series of Environmental Protection Agency controls on air pollution that wafts from smokestacks and tailpipes. Such regulations, released under the authority of the Clean Air Act, have become a hallmark of President Obama’s administration.”
Wonk Wire: Some climate change impacts are unavoidable.
[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]Obama doesn’t seem to realize he’s a lame duck.[/speech_bubble]
Stockman Seeks to Brand Climate Change Denial
In his last days in office, Rep. Steve Stockman (R-TX) “appears to be trying to cement his legacy by naming a scientific theory charging climate change is natural after himself,” National Journal reports.
“Stockman, who did not seek re-election this year, introduced a bill last week to ‘study the effect of the Earth’s magnetic field on the weather.’ The bill doesn’t explicitly mention global warming, but would put Congress on record as saying that a ‘decrease in magnetic fields could impact global temperatures’ and instructs the director of the National Science Foundation to commission a study on the impact a shift in the Earth’s magnetic field could have on the weather. That bill’s name? The ‘Stockman Effect Act.'”
“Here’s the thing: the ‘Stockman Effect’ isn’t the name of the theory the Congressman is proposing to study. Scientists contacted by National Journal said they weren’t aware of a ‘Stockman Effect’ related to geophysics or climate change.”
[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]I’ll bet readers can come up with alternative definitions of the “Stockman Effect” [/speech_bubble]
Inside Mary Landrieu’s Final Keystone Push
The New York Times reports that “despite cajoling and browbeating her colleagues during a private lunch — which one attendee described as ‘civilized but pretty contentious’ — Ms. Landrieu, who has so often bulldozed her way to success, was not able to produce that elusive final vote.”
“At the lunch, Ms. Landrieu made an ‘impassioned plea’ that at moments verged on tears, according to a Democrat. Ms. Landrieu, according to the Democrat, focused part of her pitch on how the legislation would help her back home, though at one point she argued that Democrats should send the bill to Mr. Obama’s desk because it would help him politically by giving him something to veto.”
Bloomberg: “Landrieu had hoped the vote would prove to Louisiana voters that her clout and seniority still matters in Washington. Instead it showed the opposite: Her Democratic colleagues risked no political capital of their own to bail her out, and her Republican opponent, Representative Bill Cassidy, wasted no time rubbing it in.”
McConnell Suddenly Believes in Science
Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) regularly deflects questions about climate change by saying he is “not a scientist,” the New Republic reports.
“But apparently McConnell will make an exception when it comes to the Keystone XL pipeline. In remarks on the Senate floor, hours before a vote on a bill that fast-tracks construction of the pipeline, McConnell pointed to the ‘science’ supporting the legislation.”
Said McConnell: “Those who took a serious look at the science and the potential benefits reached the conclusion long ago. They understand that the whole drama over Keystone has been as protracted as it is unnecessary. We hope to turn the page on all of that today.”
Bonus Quote of the Day
“I think there will be a political problem for the Republican Party going into 2016 if we don’t define what we are for on the environment. I don’t know what the environmental policy of the Republican Party is.”
— Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), quoted by Roll Call.
The Greening of Barack Obama
“During his earlier years in office, Obama never pushed the environment to the forefront of the national agenda. The economy took precedence. Then health care. At one point, toward the end of Obama’s first term, environmentalists counted the months between presidential uses of the term ‘climate change,'” Politico reports.
“But now, Obama is aiming to make global reduction of greenhouse-gas emissions one of the signature achievements of his presidency — with his “historic agreement” with China last week just the start of a series of administrative actions aimed at combating climate change. What changed, according to political and environmental sources close to the president, was Obama’s awareness that the environment is one of the few areas where a president can act unilaterally and to broad effect.”
Wonk Wire: How green is your state?
White House Hints at Veto of Keystone XL Legislation
The White House has begun hinting that President Obama would veto legislation that mandates approval of the Keystone XL oil-sands pipeline, National Journal reports.
“While a Keystone bill may not be able to clear the lame-duck Senate, the legislation will very likely have more than the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster when Republicans take over the chamber next year. But it’s unclear whether the new Senate could muster the 67 votes necessary to override a presidential veto.”
Wonk Wire: Using Keystone XL to save Mary Landrieu
Obama May Set Climate Change as 2016 Campaign Theme
“President Obama’s landmark agreement with China to cut greenhouse gas pollution is a bet by the president and Democrats that on the issue of climate change, American voters are far ahead of Washington’s warring factions and that the environment will be a winning cause in the 2016 presidential campaign,” the New York Times reports.
“A variety of polls show that a majority of American voters now believe that climate change is occurring, are worried about it, and support candidates who back policies to stop it… But Republicans are betting that despite the polls, they can make the case that regulations to cut greenhouse pollution will result in the loss of jobs and hurt the economy.”
Will Climate Change be Obama’s 2nd Term Legacy?
First Read: “President Obama’s second term in office has been lacking in big achievements. Background checks for gun purchases didn’t make it through the Senate. Immigration reform isn’t becoming law this Congress, though the president is expected to take executive action on this front. And just last week, Obama’s party took a major drubbing in the midterm elections. But there is one potential second-term achievement that’s taking more and more shape — on climate change.”
“Remember, Obama made combating climate change a big part of his second inaugural address… Of course, it came after he disappointed supporters in his first term (no cap-and-trade bill through the Senate). And it’s important to point out that Obama’s second-term actions on the climate — the EPA rules, the deal with China — are unilateral actions that can be undone by another president. But make no mistake: This is Obama’s pet issue of his second term.”
Wonk Wire: How to sell a (carbon) tax to Republicans
Republicans Vow to Fight EPA Rules and Approve Pipeline
“The new Republican Congress is headed for a clash with the White House over two ambitious Environmental Protection Agency regulations that are the heart of President Obama’s climate change agenda,” the New York Times reports.
“Senator Mitch McConnell, the next majority leader, has already vowed to fight the rules, which could curb planet-warming carbon pollution but ultimately shut down coal-fired power plants in his native Kentucky. Mr. McConnell and other Republicans are, in the meantime, stepping up their demands that the president approve construction of the Keystone XL pipeline to carry petroleum from Canadian oil sands to refineries on the Gulf Coast.”
“At this point, Republicans do not have the votes to repeal the E.P.A. regulations, which will have far more impact on curbing carbon emissions than stopping the pipeline, but they say they will use their new powers to delay, defund and otherwise undermine them.”
A Terrible Election for Environmentalists
“The urgency with which activists (and scientists and the United Nations) view the threat of climate change is not matched on Capitol Hill. 2014 was meant to be change that, with environmental groups and one particular billionaire investing heavily in demonstrating that climate was an electoral winner. Instead, 2015 will arrive with environmentalists in a much worse position than they were even a year ago,” the Washington Post reports.
Wonk Wire: A dismal outlook for climate policy
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