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Utah Judge Denies GOP-Passed Map

November 11, 2025 at 6:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A Utah judge on Monday rejected a Republican-passed redistricting plan that created two more-competitive districts in the state — a win for Democrats who thought the map did not go far enough,” Politico reports.

“In denying the new map, the judge put in place one of two options offered by plaintiffs that creates a solidly-Democratic district that covers Salt Lake City, giving the party its second win in the redistricting wars that have swept the nation ahead of the midterms.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

Democrats Ramp Up Pressure on States to Redistrict

November 5, 2025 at 7:35 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Democrats’ thumping victories Tuesday are piling new pressure on blue states to redraw their congressional maps to strengthen the party’s position ahead of the 2026 elections,” Politico reports.

“Already, several states are forging ahead.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

California Republicans to Sue Over New Map

November 5, 2025 at 12:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“California state Republicans are planning to take legal action after voters on Tuesday approved Democratic-drawn maps for the next three elections, alleging racism in the way the now-approved districts were redone,” KCRA reports.

Filed Under: Redistricting


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California’s New Map Tilts Back Balance of Power

November 5, 2025 at 11:18 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Following the passage of Proposition 50 in California, we are making a dozen House rating changes, all but one in favor of Democrats.”

“The changes come fairly close to restoring the status quo prior to the start of redistricting, but there are many more dominoes to fall on the gerrymandering front.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

A State-by-State Guide to the Gerrymandering Fight

November 5, 2025 at 10:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times runs through the states that might join the early redistricting battle ahead of the midterm elections.

  • High probability: Virginia
  • Medium probability: Maryland, Indiana, Florida
  • Low probability: Illinois, Nebraska, New Hampshire

Filed Under: Redistricting

A Good Night for Gavin Newsom

November 5, 2025 at 8:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “California’s Proposition 50 appears passed after Newsom and other top Democrats convinced voters that temporarily redrawing congressional maps was the best way to counter Trump. No Democrat has clashed more with the president during Trump’s second term than Newsom, who is considering a run for president in 2028. This victory gives him some momentum as he attempts to claim the party’s leadership mantle.”

“The new maps will likely eliminate five GOP-held congressional seats, a direct response to Texas redrawing its maps in an effort to gain five Republican seats of their own. Other GOP states have followed suit and some Democratic leaders have said they will too.”

Filed Under: 2025 Campaign, Redistricting

California Voters Approve Early Redistricting

November 4, 2025 at 11:01 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“California voters approved Proposition 50, a measure that temporarily redraws the state’s congressional maps to put Democrats in a position to flip several seats in the 2026 midterm election,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The proposal, pushed by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom, is intended to counter President Trump’s effort to draw new congressional maps in other states to increase the number of Republican House seats.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

Kansas Republicans Drop Early Redistricting

November 4, 2025 at 8:33 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Kansas’ Republican House leader on Tuesday dropped efforts to force a redraw of U.S. House districts that would have thrust the state into a widening national battle for partisan advantage in the 2026 elections,” the AP reports.

Filed Under: Redistricting

Quote of the Day

November 4, 2025 at 10:38 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The honest answer is they could. And that’s why they’re doing it. Because I think that’s the only way they can. I think otherwise we’ll have a 2018 election.”

— Rep. Steny Hoyer (D-MD), quoted by Punchbowl News, on whether Republicans could keep their House majority solely because of newly drawn maps.

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign, Redistricting

Ohio Democrats Get a Better Map than Expected

November 3, 2025 at 12:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Ohio surprisingly approved a new congressional map late last week in a bipartisan vote.”

“While the map does get better for Republicans, it’s not nearly as bad for Democrats as it could have been, and Democrats still have a path to come out of this election with as many seats as they currently hold in the state.”

“Reps. Marcy Kaptur (D-OH) and Greg Landsman (D-OH) see their districts get less Democratic, while Rep. Emilia Sykes (D-OH) sees her district get bluer.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

Trump Fuels a Nationwide Scramble for Power

November 3, 2025 at 6:19 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Redrawing congressional maps ahead of a midterm election to eke out more safe seats before any votes are cast is not part of the ordinary run-up to the midterms. At such a national scale, it is a historic break from decades of settled norms regarding when and how legislative lines are drawn.”

“Yet this midcycle redistricting effort is at the center of Mr. Trump’s strategy to win the midterms and prevent Democratic control of the House of Representatives, which would give Democrats the power to open investigations and thwart the president’s agenda. What began over the summer in Texas, with the drawing of five new Republican-favored seats at Mr. Trump’s behest, has spiraled into a nationwide redistricting arms race.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

Ohio Approves New Map to Help Republicans in Two Seats

October 31, 2025 at 11:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Amid a national redistricting fight, Ohio officials agreed Friday to a new electoral map that boosts Republican odds of winning two more House seats that could help the party retain power in Washington in next year’s congressional elections,” the Washington Post reports.

“The compromise map — crafted by a bipartisan commission — won support from Democrats by granting them a reprieve in one additional House seat that had been under consideration. Because the map received bipartisan support from the commission, it does not need the approval of the Republican-dominated legislature.”

Politico: Republicans notch redistricting win in Ohio — but it could have been worse for Democrats.

Filed Under: Redistricting

Newsom Trounces Republicans With Campaign Haul

October 31, 2025 at 9:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“California Governor Gavin Newsom is betting his political future on a controversial ballot measure that would redraw the state’s congressional maps to favor Democrats. A coalition of super wealthy and working people is giving him a big financial advantage,” Bloomberg reports.

“Over the past 11 weeks, Newsom and his allies brought in more than $120 million for Proposition 50, about three times the total raised by the proposal’s opponents.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

Wes Moore May Push Redistricting in Maryland

October 30, 2025 at 9:58 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Gov. Wes Moore (D) hinted that he may move ahead with plans to redraw the state’s eight congressional districts, and to call a possible special session, despite opposition from a key lawmaker,” Maryland Matters reports.

“Senate President Bill Ferguson (D), in a letter to Senate Democrats Tuesday, said he opposed mid-cycle redistricting, which he called “too risky” for Democrats who could end up losing a seat in their efforts to redraw congressional districts to gain one.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

Ohio Republicans Cut Redistricting Deal with Democrats

October 30, 2025 at 9:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “This compromise is a shocking development. Ohio’s constitution mandates a complicated redistricting process that includes the commission and the state legislature. The Buckeye State is required to redraw its map for 2026 because it passed in 2021 without bipartisan support.”

“Both parties expected the commission to reach a stalemate and that redistricting would revert back the state’s GOP-controlled legislature.”

“But Democrats were able to successfully leverage the prospect of a referendum campaign. For their part, Republicans dangled the threat of pushing through a less favorable map if Democrats rejected their offer.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

Top Maryland Democrat Rejects Early Redistricting

October 28, 2025 at 11:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Democratic leader of the Maryland Senate on Tuesday sent a letter to dozens of state lawmakers rejecting the party’s effort to redistrict in the state, bucking Democrats’ national effort to redraw congressional lines,” Politico reports.

Filed Under: Redistricting

Newsom Tells Redistricting Donors to Stop Sending Money

October 28, 2025 at 10:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Gov. Gavin Newsom signed onto his regular Zoom call with his political brain trust last Friday as they ticked through the latest developments in the high-stakes redistricting measure headed for a vote next week,” the New York Times reports.

“They were far ahead in the polls. The opposition was mostly off the airwaves. And there was plenty of money in the bank.”

“Then, according to two participants in the call who shared details of the private discussion on condition of anonymity, his senior advisers presented the California governor with a peculiar idea: Stop fund-raising from small donors altogether in the final stretch.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

Lawsuit Pushes New York Into Gerrymandering Fight

October 27, 2025 at 12:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A lawsuit filed on Monday on behalf of four New Yorkers charges that the state’s congressional map unconstitutionally dilutes Black and Latino votes in a district that covers Staten Island and part of southern Brooklyn,” the New York Times reports.

“The case marked New York’s official entrance into the national gerrymandering arms race. Rewriting the state’s existing congressional districts represents one of Democrats’ best hopes of improving their chances in the 2026 midterm elections.”

Filed Under: Redistricting

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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