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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 193

The Magnificent Seven

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 193: The Magnificent Seven

Did Texas Republicans Overplay Their Hand?

December 10, 2025 · 9:29 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“When Texas Republicans redrew the state’s congressional map over the summer, they aimed to flip five districts held by Democrats and were guided by the 2024 presidential election results, which showed voters moving to the right,” the New York Times reports.

“But winning all five of those seats under the new map is far from a lock for Republicans next November.”

“With Hispanic voters showing signs of souring on President Trump in special elections this year and concerns mounting over the cost of living, Democrats believe they could hold on to as many as three of the redrawn seats in Texas, two in the Rio Grande Valley and possibly a third centered in and around San Antonio. The party is also looking at flipping a Republican seat in the Valley, little changed in its partisan makeup by the new map, where a popular Tejano music star is running as a moderate Democrat.”

Redistricting

Indiana Redistricting Bill Heads for Final Vote

December 8, 2025 · 7:58 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Indiana’s redistricting bill passed the Senate’s elections committee, clearing its first hurdle in the chamber that has been reticent to take up the issue,” the Indianapolis Star reports.

“The bill now heads to the Senate floor, where the full chamber is poised to vote on it before the end of the week.”

Redistricting

Indiana House Passes New Map

December 5, 2025 · 2:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Indiana’s mid-decade redistricting bill has cleared its first chamber, passing the House by a 57-41 vote,” the Indianapolis Star reports.

“It’s a significant milestone for the new congressional map proposal, drawn in direct response to a request from President Donald Trump after months of pressure, both direct and indirect. A dozen Republicans joined with Democrats in voting against the proposal.”

“The map proposal now goes to the Indiana Senate, where its fate is far less certain.”

Redistricting

Trump-Allied PACs Target Indiana Republicans

December 5, 2025 · 12:26 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A group of Trump-aligned super PACs will attempt to oust Indiana Republicans who have opposed redistricting,” Politico reports.

Redistricting

Supreme Court Allows Texas to Use New Map

December 4, 2025 · 6:05 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Thursday allowed Texas to use a congressional map that will boost President Donald Trump’s effort to keep Republicans in control of Congress, blocking a lower court decision that found the new boundaries were likely unconstitutional because they were drawn based on race,” CNN reports.

“The decision could have significant consequences for next year’s midterm elections, which will determine control of the House for the final two years of Trump’s presidency. Had Texas been blocked from using its new map, it would have upended Trump’s nationwide push to avoid a Democratic House majority.”

Redistricting

Redistricting Battle Heats Up in Missouri

December 4, 2025 · 2:01 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Politico: “Republicans and Democrats are quietly pouring millions of dollars into a fight trying to block Missouri’s new gerrymandered congressional map.”

“But unlike in many other states, Democrats have a clearer path to try to block the map, at least for next year’s midterms. They’ve now launched an effort that operatives in the state say is attracting an unprecedented amount of money — and legal fights.”

Redistricting

New Jersey May Redistrict in Time for 2028

December 3, 2025 · 7:55 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Mid-decade redistricting is on the table in New Jersey, a top adviser to Democratic Gov.-elect Mikie Sherrill said on Tuesday. Just don’t expect it to happen before the midterms,” Politico reports.

Redistricting

Why the Redistricting Battle in Indiana Is a Big Deal

December 2, 2025 · 12:17 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Aaron Blake: “Amid growing signs that even some Republicans are starting to view Donald Trump as something of a lame duck, the president and his allies have apparently chosen Indiana to reassert his dominance of the party.”

“They’ve picked a fight over redistricting in the Hoosier State as the battleground to prove that Trump can still bend GOP politicians to his will. They want to force those lawmakers to pass a map that they’ve previously opposed that would give Republicans more winnable US House seats.”

“It’s a risky bet for Trump and a hugely symbolic clash.”

Redistricting, White House

GOP Lawmaker Warns Redistricting Can Backfire

December 2, 2025 · 10:22 am ET · Leave a Comment

Rep. Tim Burchett (R-TN) said today’s special election in Tennessee’ 7th congressional district — which was redistricted after the 2020 census — should serve as a cautionary tale on how redrawing political maps can backfire, the Washington Post reports.

Redistricting

DeSantis to Call Special Session on Redistricting

December 1, 2025 · 6:12 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) announced his intention to call a special legislative session on congressional redistricting in the spring of 2026, the Floridian reports.

Said DeSantis: “Yeah, yeah, so we’re going to redistrict. The issue is that there is a Supreme Court decision that we are waiting on – the argument in October about Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act that impacts Florida’s maps, so we’re going to do it next Spring.”

Redistricting

Nine Indiana Republicans Targeted in Swatting Attacks

December 1, 2025 · 2:26 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“At least nine elected Republicans in Indiana have been the target of swatting attacks in the weeks since President Donald Trump publicly pressured state lawmakers to pass new congressional maps that would benefit Republicans,” NBC News reports.

Redistricting

Proposed Indiana Map Would Net Republicans Two Seats

December 1, 2025 · 11:15 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Indiana state House Republicans have released a draft congressional map that would give the GOP an edge in all nine of the state’s congressional districts — potentially netting the party two seats in the Hoosier State — though the map’s passage is still far from certain,” Politico reports.

“The biggest changes in the proposed map come in the state’s two Democratic-leaning districts, held by Reps. Frank Mrvan and André Carson. Mapmakers split Marion County — home to Indianapolis — into four different districts, essentially diluting the Democrats’ strength in the area.”

Redistricting

Texas Awaits Supreme Court’s Ruling on Redistricting

November 30, 2025 · 5:50 am ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “More than a dozen candidates, as well as hundreds of state and county election officials across Texas, are watching and waiting for the Supreme Court to decide which congressional map will be used in Texas races in 2026, the old one drawn by Republicans in 2021 or the new one drawn by Republicans this summer.”

“The decision, which may come within days, could shift the outcome in several congressional races, and possibly impact which party controls the House. Regardless, it’s affecting the candidates.”

Judiciary, Redistricting

Lawmaker Opposes Redistricting After Trump Uses Slur

November 28, 2025 · 10:18 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Indiana state Sen. Mike Bohacek (R) said he would oppose President Trump’s overtures to redraw the state’s congressional district lines after the president used a slur often made against people with disabilities, the Indianapolis Star reports.

Trump referred to Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) as “seriously retarded” in a Thanksgiving social media post.

Redistricting

Judges Won’t Block North Carolina Map

November 27, 2025 · 11:01 am ET · Leave a Comment

“North Carolina’s new congressional map can be used for the 2026 elections, a panel of federal judges ruled Wednesday — a win for Republicans in a nationally watched case at the center of a nationwide redistricting battle, WRAL reports.

Redistricting

Welcome to the Gerrymandering Apocalypse

November 26, 2025 · 10:00 am ET · Leave a Comment

Marc Novicoff: “America is quickly moving toward a system in which tens of millions of blue-state Republicans and red-state Democrats effectively have no congressional representation at all.”

Redistricting

‘I’d Rather My House Not Get Firebombed’

November 26, 2025 · 8:38 am ET · Leave a Comment

Russell Berman: “On Monday I spoke with a Republican member of Indiana’s legislature who opposes President Donald Trump’s push for the state to redraw its congressional map to gain two GOP seats and help the party hold its House majority in next year’s midterm elections. Trump, with support from Indiana’s Republican governor, Mike Braun, has vowed to back primary challengers against members of the GOP who are, for now, blocking the redistricting plan.”

“The lawmaker I spoke with asked that I not publish his name. He isn’t worried about Trump’s political wrath; he doesn’t plan to run for reelection. His fear of speaking out is much more personal: ‘I’d rather my house not get firebombed,’ he told me by phone.”

Redistricting

Wisconsin to Review Congressional Maps

November 26, 2025 · 7:13 am ET · Leave a Comment

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: “The state Supreme Court on Nov. 25 appointed two three-judge panels to hear lawsuits from liberal groups challenging Wisconsin’s congressional lines before the 2026 elections, sparking outrage from conservative justices who noted the court has rejected earlier cases.”

Redistricting

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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