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GOP Realizes That Trump Won’t Be Around Forever

November 21, 2025 at 12:10 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Idrees Kahloon: “The reality that Donald Trump’s presidency will end in January 2029 is already making Republicans restless. Normally, Trump angers, exhausts, and eventually prevails over elected Republicans—not vice versa. Just this week, though, rebellious Republicans forced the release of the so-called Epstein files in defiance of Trump, who had spent months trying to suppress them before abruptly reversing course.”

“Plenty of other cracks are showing too: Staunch allies of the president are mouthing critiques that would have been unfathomable a year ago. These disputes are the prelude to an ugly battle over the post-Trump Republican Party.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Trump-Marjorie Taylor Greene Breakup Shakes MAGA

November 20, 2025 at 5:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Greene’s split with Trump, which unfolded over issues ranging from foreign workers to the push to release government files on convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, is testing the president’s command of the ‘America First’ movement he mobilized.”

“Trump recently called Greene a ‘traitor,’ withdrew his endorsement of her reelection and encouraged a primary challenge in 2026. But many Republican leaders and voters in Greene’s deep-red district say they are sticking with her, boosting her bid to carve out a populist MAGA brand independent of the president.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Divided Side Almost Always Loses

November 19, 2025 at 10:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Republican lawmakers appear to have finally absorbed a basic political reality: Donald Trump will never be on a ballot again.

And once that sunk in, everything else followed.

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Filed Under: Members, Republicans, White House

The MAGA Crackup Might Finally Be Here

November 18, 2025 at 12:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michelle Goldberg: “The last wretched decade shows that reports of a MAGA crackup ought to be viewed somewhat skeptically. There have, after all, been many moments when Trump seemed to be losing his grip on the right, only for his hold to grow stronger.”

“But a few things are different now. In his first term, Trump inherited a good economy from Barack Obama, and the establishment Republicans who surrounded him prevented him from tanking it with major trade wars or mass deportations. Much of Trump’s base distrusted these figures, seeing them as part of a deep state cabal trying to thwart his populist agenda. But they shielded the country from at least part of the price of Trump’s erraticism.”

“This time, however, Trump came into office with a much shakier economy, and, unrestrained by Washington technocrats, has proceeded to make it worse, putting the country in a sour mood.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Trump Faces a Splintering GOP

November 18, 2025 at 6:48 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For nearly 10 months this year, President Donald Trump’s every wish was the command of Republicans in Washington as he oversaw a furious reshaping of the federal government and beyond. Few, if any, in his party dared to say ‘no,’” the Washington Post reports.

“But the president now finds himself in a weakened position: polls show his lowest approval ratings since returning to office; some in his political base are calling for more to be done to ease a continued affordability crisis; and now, House Republicans have dared to buck his directives on an issue that advisers say has exasperated him.”

For members: Trump Only Gets Weaker From Here

Filed Under: Republicans, White House

The Trump Era Is One of GOP Decline

November 17, 2025 at 11:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tim Carney: “Here’s one measure of the partisan shift in the Trump era: In 2016, Republicans controlled 31 governorships and 68 legislative chambers. Come January, the GOP will control only 26 governorships and 57 legislative chambers (more than a 15% reduction on both scores).”

“In the Trump era, here’s the rule: Elections in which Trump is on the ballot, the GOP does fine. In elections in which he is not, the GOP does poorly…”

“This is a big problem for Republicans because Trump will never be on a ballot nationwide again. It’s very possible that after Trump is gone, Republicans will experience their darkest hour and lowest point since the New Deal.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Nick Fuentes Spiral

November 17, 2025 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ali Breland: “Republicans are so at odds about how to handle Fuentes’s encroachment into their ranks that many commentators have likened their infighting to a civil war and posed it as a battle for the soul of the conservative movement. The critics of the Groypers themselves tend to downplay the scale of the conflict. They have suggested that the deeply bigoted factions of the right are a vocal but tiny minority that can be excised.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Fault Lines Facing Both Parties

November 12, 2025 at 6:16 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “With the off-year elections out of the way and a seismic government shutdown due to end tonight, we’re about to enter a new phase of the political cycle. And this one is being characterized by a rare phenomenon — the sight of both parties in states of division.”

“This is highly unusual. Typically, if one side is out on the fringes and beset by political infighting, the other looks strong and united — at least at surface level. But not today. Both parties are experiencing major ructions across their activist bases that have serious implications for their future directions, and ultimately for the direction of America.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

The Fracture Is Coming

November 11, 2025 at 1:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Chuck Todd: “For now, it looks like Democrats are the divided party. Their debates are loud, public, and occasionally messy — but they’re mostly tactical. The fights are about how to win, or how to confront Trump — not what they believe, and certainly not whether to confront him. Tactical splits heal quickly when a party is united in opposition. And being in the minority tends to concentrate the mind.”

“So while the ‘Democrats in disarray’ storyline is getting more attention this week, it isn’t fractious enough to derail the party’s midterm strategy. The big ideological debate about the future of the party won’t happen until the 2027–28 Democratic presidential primaries.”

“Republicans, by contrast, are living inside a cult of personality. Their unity isn’t ideological or tactical. It’s gravitational — held together by one man. And the problem with cults of personality is that when the personality loses touch with reality, the whole structure begins to wobble.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Republicans Are Damaged by Their Own Cruelty

November 11, 2025 at 8:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “Like almost all progressives, I was infuriated and disheartened by Senate Democrats’ cave on the shutdown Sunday. The party won stunning election victories Tuesday — and its leaders responded with yet another preemptive surrender? (Chuck Schumer may have voted no, but he didn’t manage, and may not even have tried, to prevent defections.)”

“Yet while the immediate politics displayed Democratic tactical weakness, the larger story highlighted a different kind of weakness on the part of Donald Trump and MAGA as a whole — namely, their innate cruelty. They have a visceral dislike for policies that do anything to help the less fortunate, and can’t even bring themselves to be cynical, to help Americans temporarily while they consolidate power.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Trump ‘Realignment’ Is Over Already

November 7, 2025 at 8:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

G. Elliot Morris: “It is clear now that claims of a fundamental realignment of American politics have been highly exaggerated. The 2024 election is best seen as an anti-incumbent election stemming from economic anxiety, most but not entirely driven by rising inflation during Joe Biden’s presidency.”

“The elections held this week were a continuation of the anti-incumbent sentiment from last year — this time directed toward the new party in charge. The biggest difference between 2024 and 2025 is that Republicans are running the country now, instead of the Democrats.”

“But for the realignment theorists, it’s actually worse than it looks. From 2024 to 2025 Republicans lost the most support — 25 points, on average — among the very voters they theorized would remake the GOP into a vast, multi-racial, working-class coalition.”

Filed Under: Republicans, White House

Bonus Quote of the Day

November 6, 2025 at 9:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sometimes, it’s good to touch the hot stove.”

— A Trump adviser, quoted by Axios, arguing that Republicans across the board need to wake up to political reality.

Filed Under: Republicans

The GOP Civil War Over Nick Fuentes Has Just Begun

November 4, 2025 at 12:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wired: “Nick Fuentes, a white nationalist known for his deeply antisemitic, racist, and misogynist worldview, just might be tearing the Republican party apart.”

“The schism was triggered last Tuesday when former Fox News host Tucker Carlson released an in-depth interview with Fuentes, the leader of the so-called America First movement who has denied the Holocaust, praised Hitler, and shared deeply misogynistic views.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Network Shaping MAGA’s Post Trump Future

November 4, 2025 at 8:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “In 2019, a small group of right-wing donors rented a resort outside the 100-person town of Rockbridge, Ohio, for a summit to secure the future of the MAGA movement. They aimed to turn a singular candidate — President Donald Trump — into an enduring political coalition, with a pipeline of voters, donors and candidates that would cement a radical transformation of the GOP.”

“Convened by Silicon Valley billionaire Peter Thiel and JD Vance, then an investor who had written a best-selling memoir, the meeting included hedge fund heiress Rebekah Mercer, then-Fox News host Tucker Carlson and economist Oren Cass.”

Filed Under: Republicans

GOP Figures Seek Distance From Tucker Carlson

November 3, 2025 at 10:46 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republican lawmakers and influencers continued on Monday to distance themselves from Tucker Carlson after his sympathetic interview with the prominent white supremacist Nick Fuentes, putting on display a widening split on the right about how to address antisemitism within their party,” the New York Times reports.

“The fallout included at least one resignation, as a key aide to the head of a prominent right-wing think tank stepped down after backing his boss’s vigorous defense of Mr. Carlson.”

Filed Under: Republicans

A New GOP Civil War Takes Hold

November 3, 2025 at 2:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As Rep. Randy Fine (R-FL) was laying into Tucker Carlson during a speech to fellow Jewish Republicans on Saturday, a group of students stood in front of the stage holding signs that read ‘TUCKER IS NOT MAGA.'” Punchbowl News reports.

“With the crowd cheering him on at the annual Republican Jewish Coalition summit, Fine called Carlson ‘the most dangerous antisemite in America’ and accused him of leading a ‘modern-day Hitler Youth.'”

“Fine is seen as a provocateur on Capitol Hill, often using incendiary rhetoric on a range of topics, including Gaza. But Fine was channeling the sentiments of an overwhelming majority of Hill Republicans after the Heritage Foundation stood by Carlson following his friendly interview with white nationalist and antisemite Nick Fuentes.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Once Mighty Tea Party Hard to Find in Trump’s GOP

November 2, 2025 at 7:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The movement tore across the country with an energy new to American politics — its activists shouting at lawmakers and holding frenzied rallies to demand balanced budgets, an end to deficit spending, sharp tax cuts, fealty to the Constitution and a reined-in presidency,” the Washington Post reports.

“This was the tea party movement, which punctuated its arrival 15 years ago with the election of 2010, a moment that seemed poised to rewrite the rules of American politics. Yet just a few years later, the Republican Party was captured by the MAGA movement and President Donald Trump, whose agenda, to some tea party pioneers, is the opposite of theirs and which dominates the party today.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Trump Considers Las Vegas for Rare Midterm Convention

October 29, 2025 at 5:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s advisers are considering Las Vegas as the location for the GOP’s midterm political convention next year, as Republicans seek to preserve their narrow majority in Congress,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Trump has told aides that the convention will be a forum to highlight Republican congressional candidates and incumbents, as well as his own record as president, the people said. He first pitched the idea for a midterm political convention earlier this year, and his advisers are drawing up plans for the event.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign, Republicans

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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