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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Sanders Maintains Wide Lead In New Hampshire

February 4, 2016 · 6:00 pm ET · 22 Comments

A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll finds Bernie Sanders with a big lead over Hillary Clinton, 58% to 38%.

A new American Research Group poll finds Sanders leading Clinton, 54% to 38%.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Trump Still Up Big In New Hampshire

February 3, 2016 · 12:32 pm ET · 65 Comments

A new Harper Polling survey in New Hampshire finds Donald Trump maintains a strong lead with 31%, followed by Jeb Bush at 14%, John Kasich at 12%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Ted Cruz at 9% and Chris Christie at 6%.

Interesting: “The results from night two of our survey were largely unchanged from pre-Iowa Caucus results on Monday night.”

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Will New Hampshire Actually Winnow the GOP Field?

February 3, 2016 · 8:50 am ET · 12 Comments

Rick Klein: “There may be no more fertile ground for dumping Trump than in the Granite State, where famously independent-minded primary voters like to zag after Iowa’s zig and reward those who have sweated out the New England winter. Yet, as often occurred in Iowa, sniping lower down the ballot – particularly among the two leading senators and three governors still in the race – could frustrate efforts to have New Hampshire send an anti-Trump message.”

“Republicans look to the New Hampshire primary to winnow the field. But it’s the de facto winnowing that may or may not take place before Tuesday that could deliver the strongest message so far as it impacts Trump.”

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Clinton Sends HQ Staff to New Hampshire

February 3, 2016 · 7:08 am ET · 3 Comments

“Hillary Clinton is dispatching at least 150 people from her campaign headquarters in Brooklyn Heights to New Hampshire for an all-hands-on-deck effort here in advance of the Democratic primary on Tuesday,” BuzzFeed reports.

Politico: “The feeling at Clinton’s Brooklyn headquarters these days isn’t about pulling off an upset — it’s about closing the gap, and halting Sanders’ momentum by denying him an easy win in a state that should be a cakewalk. In some respects New Hampshire is the only state where Team Clinton can flip the inevitability script — with Sanders positioned as the favorite with lots to lose.”

2016 Campaign Hillary Clinton, New Hampshire

Member feature

Looking Ahead to New Hampshire

February 2, 2016 · 9:42 am ET · 2 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Here’s what’s likely to happen over the next week in New Hampshire:

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2016 Campaign, Members New Hampshire

Trump and Sanders Way Ahead in New Hampshire

January 31, 2016 · 4:20 pm ET · 8 Comments

A new Franklin Pierce University-Boston Herald poll finds Donald Trump with a massive 25-point lead over Ted Cruz, 38% to 13%. They are followed by Marco Rubio at 10%, Jeb Bush at 10%, John Kasich at 8%, Chris Christie at 5%, Rand Paul at 5% and Carly Fiorina at 5%.

On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders has grown his lead over Hillary Clinton to 20 points, 57% to 37%.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Trump Remains Comfortably Ahead in New Hampshire

January 28, 2016 · 11:19 am ET · 7 Comments

A new Suffolk University poll in New Hampshire finds Donald Trump holds a comfortable lead over his opponents with 27% support, followed by Ted Cruz at 12%, John Kasich at 12%, Jeb Bush at 11%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Chris Christie at 6% and Ben Carson at 5%.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Trump and Sanders Way Ahead in New Hampshire

January 28, 2016 · 5:59 am ET · 7 Comments

A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll in Iowa finds Donald Trump with a double-digit lead over Ted Cruz, 31% to 12%, followed by Marco Rubio at 11%, John Kasich at 11%, Jeb Bush at 8% and Chris Christie at 7%.

In the Democratic race, Bernie Sanders has expanded his lead to 19 points over Hillary Clinton, 57% to 38%.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Kasich Racks Up New Hampshire Endorsements

January 26, 2016 · 5:14 am ET · 7 Comments

Gov. John Kasich was endorsed in the New Hampshire primary by the Boston Globe and the Concord Monitor, according to Politico.

Kasich has already been endorsed by the Nashua Telegraph, Foster’s Daily Democrat and the Portsmouth Herald.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Trump and Sanders Way Ahead in New Hampshire

January 25, 2016 · 6:43 pm ET · 24 Comments

A new Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce poll in New Hampshire finds Donald Trump leading the GOP field with 33%, followed by Ted Cruz at 14% and John Kasich at 12%, Jeb Bush at 9%, Marco Rubio at 8% and Chris Christie at 7%.

In the Democratic race, Bernie Sanders leads Hillary Clinton 55% to 39%.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Trump Way Ahead in New Hampshire

January 24, 2016 · 11:12 am ET · 6 Comments

A new Fox News poll in  New Hampshire finds Donald Trump is way ahead of the GOP field with 31%, followed by Ted Cruz at 14%, and Marco Rubio at 13%.

A new CBS News/YouGov poll finds Trump leading with 34%, followed by Cruz at 16%, Rubio at 14% and Kasich at 10%.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Sanders Maintains Lead in New Hampshire

January 22, 2016 · 12:36 pm ET · 65 Comments

A new Suffolk University poll in New Hampshire finds Sen. Bernie Sanders leads Hillary Clinton by 9 points, 50% to 41%.

Also interesting: “Sanders fares better when it comes to the issue of trust. Asked which of the three major Democratic candidates is the most trustworthy, respondents chose Sanders by a 15-point margin: 51% to Clinton’s 36%. And while 26% of likely Democratic voters said they were bothered by Clinton’s use of private email as secretary of state, 71% said that it is not of concern.”

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Trump Leads By 20 Points in New Hampshire

January 20, 2016 · 7:44 pm ET · 13 Comments

A new CNN/WMUR poll in New Hampshire finds Donald Trump way ahead of the GOP presidential field with 34%, followed by Ted Cruz at 14%, Jeb Bush at 10%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Chris Christie at 6%, John Kasich at 6% and Rand Paul at 6%.

A new Gravis Marketing survey finds Trump leading at 35%, followed by Kasich at 15%, Cruz at 10%, Rubio at 9%, Christie at 8% and Bush at 7%.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Sanders Trouncing Clinton in New Hampshire

January 19, 2016 · 5:05 pm ET · 56 Comments

A new CNN/WMUR poll in New Hampshire finds Bernie Sanders leading Hillary Clinton by a stunning 27 points, 60% to 33%.

“Sanders’ huge lead in his neighboring state is fueled by his remarkable popularity and broad appeal. He is viewed favorably by 91% of likely Democratic primary voters and unfavorably by 7%. His support is strong among both men and women, among all age groups and in all geographic areas of the state.”

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Kasich Surges Into Second in New Hampshire

January 19, 2016 · 11:39 am ET · 49 Comments

A new American Research Group poll in New Hampshire finds Donald Trump continues to lead the GOP field with 27%, followed by John Kasich who surged to 20%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Ted Cruz at 9%, Chris Christie at 9% and Jeb Bush at 8%,.

In the Democratic race, Bernie Sanders leads Hillary Clinton 48% to 45%.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Christie Fine with 2nd in New Hampshire

January 13, 2016 · 3:31 pm ET · 6 Comments

Gov. Chris Christie told Morning Joe that he’s come along way since he was running 9th in the polls.

Said Christie: “If I came in second place in New Hampshire, I think that would be a real good result for us.”

2016 Campaign Chris Christie, New Hampshire

Sanders Opens Up Big Lead in New Hampshire

January 12, 2016 · 11:06 am ET · 102 Comments

A new Monmouth University poll in New Hampshire shows Bernie Sanders has opened up a 14 point lead over Hillary Clinton, 53% to 39%.

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

Candidates Try to Mobilize Religious in New Hampshire

January 12, 2016 · 7:06 am ET · 12 Comments

“Republicans are trying to inject religion into New Hampshire, making a new push to mobilize churchgoing voters in one of the least religious states in the country,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“If it works, the move could provide a boost in the state’s Feb. 9 GOP primary to Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who has been courting pastors and evangelical Christians in Iowa and Southern states, while creating a disadvantage for front-runner Donald Trump, who doesn’t do as well among these groups.”

2016 Campaign New Hampshire

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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