A new Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/UF Graham Center poll in Florida shows Gov. Rick Scott (R) and Charlie Crist (D) tied, 36% to 36%.

An unusually high 13% refused to say whom they support and 7% were undecided.

A new Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina finds Sen. Kay Hagan (D) leading challenger Thom Tillis (R) by one point in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 46%.

A new Rasmussen survey has Hagan leading by the same result, 47% to 46%.

A new USA Today poll finds that two-thirds of Americans say the nation “faces more challenging problems than usual; one in four call them the biggest problems of their lifetimes. And many lack confidence in the government to address them.”

“By significant margins, those surveyed prefer congressional Republicans when it comes to dealing with the economy and ISIS militants in Iraq and Syria. By double-digits, they say congressional Democrats would do a better job in handling income inequality and social issues such as abortion and same-sex marriage… But the bottom line seems to be that the downbeat mood of the electorate is favoring the GOP, whose backers are more enthusiastic about voting and animated by their opposition to Obama.”

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Colorado finds Sen. Mark Udall (D) and Cory Gardner (R) tied in their U.S. Senate race, 48% to 48%.

In the race for governor, Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) and challenger Bob Beauprez (R) are also tied, 47% to 47%.

A new American Research Group poll in New Hampshire finds Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Scott Brown (R) are tied at 49% each in the U.S. Senate race.

Arizona Republic: “Democrats are mailing campaign fliers featuring a Libertarian candidate to conservative voters in a competitive Phoenix congressional race. The effort could help U.S. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) stay in office.”

Wesleyan Media Project: “Spending on television ads in federal and gubernatorial races in the 2013-14 election cycle has now topped $1 billion, with an estimated $1.19 billion spent from January 1, 2013 to October 23, 2014. That spending paid for over 2.2 million ad airings.”

A new University of Arkansas poll finds Tom Cotton (R) leading Sen. Mark Pryor (D) in the U.S. Senate race by a wide margin, 49% to 36%.

Staten Island Advance: “On one side is the sometimes hot-headed Republican incumbent who is facing a 20-count federal indictment. On the other is a career Brooklyn Democratic pol, who, term-limited out of his high-ranking post in the City Council, thought about other city offices before he settled on the idea of the job representing in Congress a borough he knows little about, his claims of deep ties here notwithstanding.”

“That’s the choice voters have. And that’s the choice we have in making an endorsement in a race that could not be much uglier.”

“That choice for us is Michael Grimm. Surprisingly, if a choice is to be made, Mr. Grimm should be that choice, even under these circumstances.”

Wonk Wire: Narrow edge in partisanship Is bad election sign for Democrats

A new Quinnipiac poll in Colorado finds Cory Gardner (R) leading Sen. Mark Udall (D) by seven points in the U.S. Senate race, 46% to 39%.

New York Times: “Washington’s bad habit these days is nail-biting as the two parties nervously execute their midterm endgames and try to navigate the path to power. But political players and election watchers might want to take a moment to savor the uncertainty.”

“Five days before the 2014 election and after $4 billion in spending, we still don’t know for certain what’s going to happen next Tuesday – or beyond… At least six states in the struggle for control of the Senate – Alaska, Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, North Carolina and New Hampshire – remain truly up for grabs with runoffs likely in Georgia and Louisiana. Nearly a dozen governor’s races are within the polling margin of error.”

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), who is toying with the idea of a presidential bid, joked in a private gathering this month that “white men who are in male-only clubs are going to do great in my presidency,” according to an audio recording of his comments provided to CNN.

Graham also cracked wise about Baptists, saying “they’re the ones who drink and don’t admit it.”

Nate Cohn: “Polls show that the Republicans have an advantage in the fight for control of the Senate. They lead in enough states to win control, and they have additional opportunities in North Carolina and New Hampshire to make up for potential upsets. As Election Day nears, Democratic hopes increasingly hinge on the possibility that the polls will simply prove wrong.”

“But that possibility is not far-fetched. The polls have generally underestimated Democrats in recent years, and there are reasons to think it could happen again.”

A new Elon University Poll finds Sen. Kay Hagan (D) with an edge over challenger Thom Tillis (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 45% to 41%.

A new EPIC-MRA poll in Michigan finds Gary Peters (D) opening a wide lead over Terri Lynn Land (R), 50% to 35%.

“It is Peters’ best margin in any EPIC-MRA poll to date and, significantly, it shows him not only with a 20-point lead among women voters but a 10-point lead among men, who had been trending toward Land in earlier polls.”

A new Quinnipiac University poll in Florida finds Charlie Crist (D) inching in front of his Gov. Rick Scott (R) in the gubernatorial race, 43% to 40%.

“It’s not so much about what could be passed but setting the agenda and debate for the next presidential race.”

— Rep. Steve King (R-IA), quoted by the Daily Beast, on the advantage of the GOP taking control of the U.S. Senate.