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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Romney Warns of ‘Extraordinary Challenge’ for Democracy

March 15, 2022 · 7:37 am ET · Leave a Comment

Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT) “offered more than 200 Republican donors a stark message on the fragility of American democracy during private remarks on Monday night at a fundraiser in Northern Virginia,” CBS News reports.

Democracy

Where Democracy Is on the Ballot This Year

February 17, 2022 · 11:00 am ET · Leave a Comment

FiveThirtyEight: “This year, 27 secretaries of state and 30 attorneys general will be elected nationwide (other states either elect them in other years or don’t elect them at all). And since the secretaries of state and attorneys general who are elected in 2022 will wield power in 2024, this year’s elections could plunge our democracy into further danger if would-be election subverters win them.”

2022 Campaign, Democracy

Most Think Elections Don’t Reflect Will of the People

February 10, 2022 · 5:05 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new CNN poll finds that 56% of respondents said they have little or no confidence that American elections reflect the will of the people, up from 52% who felt that way in September and 40% in January 2021.

The party breakdown of the skeptical: 74% of Republicans, 59% of independents, and 32% of Democrats.

Democracy

What’s the Point of Elections?

January 25, 2022 · 2:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “We usually think of elections as mainly about the ability of voters — of citizens — to control the government. And that’s surely important! If people think things are bad, they’ll throw out one set of bums and elect the other set of bums, while if things seem good, they’ll keep the current bums in office. That does set up healthy incentives for politicians, but in a limited way, since few citizens pay close attention to politics and public affairs, and those who pay the most attention tend to be strong partisans and therefore least likely to be swing voters.”

“But there’s more. The process of running for office, when it’s working well, should tend to produce presidents who have the proper skills for the job. Those are political skills. Good politicians thoroughly understand the system. They excel at digging out useful information that allows them to deal successfully with those the president must deal with, most of whom represent various groups of citizens. They are good at bargaining, forming and maintaining coalitions, and more.”

Democracy, Governing

Most See Political Instability as Biggest U.S. Threat

January 12, 2022 · 2:20 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll finds 76% of Americans say they think political instability within the country is a bigger danger to the United States compared to the 19 percent who think other countries that are adversaries of the United States are the bigger danger.

Democracy

Laws Alone Won’t Save Democracy

January 10, 2022 · 12:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “Trump wasn’t deterred after the 2020 election by the plain meaning of the law and the Constitution. Had enough Republicans in key positions gone along with him, it’s quite possible he would have successfully remained in office despite losing the election, and that would be even more true in a future scenario in which Trump allies held congressional majorities.”

“Moreover, there’s always a danger of fighting the last war. In 2020, the threat seemed to be in what happened after the votes were counted. Next time, the threat could be in the counting of the ballots, or what happens before the ballots are counted. What this means is that those who support the republic will need to fight for it, and not just through legislative fixes.”

Democracy

Our Democracy Won’t Fix Itself

January 7, 2022 · 11:30 am ET · Leave a Comment

Rick Hasen: “Those who believe the last election was stolen will be more likely to accept a stolen election for their side next time. They are more willing to see violence as a means of resolving election disputes. Political operatives are laying the groundwork for future election sabotage and the federal government has done precious little to minimize the risk.”

“Many people who are not dispirited by such findings are uninterested. Exhausted by four years of the Trump presidency and a lingering pandemic, some Americans appear to have responded to the risks to our democracy by simply tuning out the news and hoping that things will just work out politically by 2024.”

“We must not succumb to despair or indifference. It won’t be easy, but there is a path forward if we begin acting now, together, to shore up our fragile election ecosystem.”

Democracy, Election Administration

Is a Civil War Ahead?

January 7, 2022 · 11:00 am ET · Leave a Comment

David Remnick: “The edifice of American exceptionalism has always wobbled on a shoddy foundation of self-delusion, and yet most Americans have readily accepted the commonplace that the United States is the world’s oldest continuous democracy. That serene assertion has now collapsed.”

Democracy

Civil Disorder More Likely Than Civil War

January 6, 2022 · 3:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Janan Ganesh: “A year on from the US Capitol siege, there is talk, even among unexcitable scholars, of a second civil war. That remains an epic stretch. Red and Blue America do not map on to contiguous geographic blocs, as the Confederacy and the Union did. The central state is unrecognizably stronger than it was in 1861. There is (for now) no single precipitating issue to equal South Carolina’s declaration of secession.”

“In the medical parlance of today, what is more plausible than war is disorder of a chronic and endemic nature. What is plausible is an “acceptable” level of violence.”

Democracy

We Are In a New Civil War

January 6, 2022 · 12:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

John Harris: “Only in recent years have we seen foundation-shaking political conflict — both sides believing the other would turn the United States into something unrecognizable — with no obvious and easily summarized root cause. What is the fundamental question that hangs in the balance between the people who hate Trump and what he stands for and the people who love Trump and hate those who hate him? This is less an ideological conflict than a psychological one.”

Democracy

The Next Insurrection is Coming

January 6, 2022 · 7:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “The fact Republicans are moving ahead with a plan to steal the election in 2024 without fear of consequence is frightening and depressing. The political winds heading into the midterms are at their backs. Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema remain more interested in protecting their centrist credentials than American democracy. Too much of the political media has normalized election theft as a legitimate political strategy in a fruitless attempt to avoid accusations of bias.”

“The time, place, and plan for perhaps the greatest crime in American history have been identified. We have three years to stop it. Yet, our political leaders are either unwilling or unable to intervene.”

2024 Campaign, Democracy

January 6 Is About Donald Trump

January 6, 2022 · 7:29 am ET · Leave a Comment

Playbook: “For those who always despised him, feel betrayed by him, or fear his return to power, today is about remembering — never forgetting — his lowest point as president: the day he incited a mob to attack Congress while it affirmed Joe Biden’s clear victory, the final desperate move in a plot to overthrow an American presidential election.”

“For those who love him, merely tolerate him, or crave his return to the White House, today is a media stunt: a contrived anniversary of an insignificant event boosted by Democrats and the press to punish Republicans and cynically advance Biden’s legislative priorities.”

“Americans often have a shared understanding about big traumatic national events. That is not the case with Jan. 6, which is why the cliché about our politics feeling like a civil war has more and more resonance.”

Democracy

‘I Fear for Our Democracy’

January 6, 2022 · 6:54 am ET · Leave a Comment

Jimmy Carter: “Our great nation now teeters on the brink of a widening abyss. Without immediate action, we are at genuine risk of civil conflict and losing our precious democracy. Americans must set aside differences and work together before it is too late.”

Democracy

Americans Fear a Repeat of January 6

January 5, 2022 · 6:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A majority of Americans expect a repeat in the next few years of something like the deadly Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol — and just half say they now have faith in American democracy,” according to a new Axios-Momentive poll.

Democracy

Most Americans Think U.S. Democracy at Risk

January 3, 2022 · 1:33 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new NPR/Ipsos poll finds 64% of Americans say they think American democracy is “in crisis and at risk of failing.”

Democracy

Five Rudys from the Abyss

January 3, 2022 · 10:00 am ET · Leave a Comment

Philip Rotner: “Substitute Rudy Giuliani—or Sidney Powell or Jim Jordan or any other Trump cultist—for just five people who held state or federal office at the time of the 2020 election and think about what might have happened.”

2020 Campaign, Democracy

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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