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The trepidation Democrats feel about the 2020 presidential race is understandable since many believe the 2016 election was snatched away at the last moment.

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After Rep. John Lewis (D-GA) passed away on July 17, Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R) ordered a special election to fill out the remainder of Lewis’s term for September 29.

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The Trump campaign once argued they would expand the electoral map and compete in three states that Hillary Clinton won in 2016: Minnesota, New Hampshire and New Mexico.

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Last week, the Washington Post published a fantastic interactive scenario builder that allows you to play around with demographics and turnout levels to project whether Donald Trump or Joe Biden will win in 2020.

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Just after I made the case that the presidential race wasn’t tightening, a reader pointed out that I made the exact same argument four years ago on October 26, 2016. Hillary Clinton’s national polling lead had held fairly steady over the previous six weeks.

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Many in the news media are desperate to tell the story of a tightening presidential race. Some reporters and commentators will cherry pick data to build their case.

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Conventional wisdom holds that most Americans don’t pay much attention to politics until after Labor Day. I’m not sure that’s true anymore, but let’s look at where the race stands with exactly eight weeks until Election Day.

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Our first indication that President Trump’s campaign was having money problems was the decision to pull all television ads during the GOP convention. Campaigns typically use television ads to reinforce the convention’s message.