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Kari Lake Runs New Ad Featuring Homophobic Pastor

October 25, 2022 at 10:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Corn looks at a new ad from Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake (R).

“It covers the Republican basics: A seemingly conscientious and decent owner of a small business—and his family—is dealing with economic hardship and feels endangered by those liberal Democrats. But the ad leaves out important information: Erickson is not merely a local business owner concerned with inflation; he is a homophobic and Islamophobic pastor.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Political Advertising Tagged With: AZ-Sen

Why Am I Seeing That Political Ad?

October 23, 2022 at 8:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Voter-profiling systems like the Covid-19 scores may be invisible to most people. But they provide a glimpse into a vast voter data-mining ecosystem in the United States involving dozens of political consulting, analytics, media, marketing and advertising software companies.”

“In the run-up to the midterm elections next month, campaigns are tapping a host of different scores and using them to create castes of their most desirable voters. There are ‘gun owner,’ ‘pro-choice’ and ‘Trump 2024’ scores, which cover everyday politics. There are also voter rankings on hot-button issues — a ‘racial resentment’ score, for example, and a ‘trans athletes should not participate’ score. There’s even a ‘U.F.O.s distrust government’ score.”

“Campaign and media consultants say such political-issue scores make it easier for candidates to surgically target messages to, and mobilize, the most receptive voters.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

Ad Spending Likely to Be Double from Four Years Ago

October 21, 2022 at 9:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As the midterm campaign heads into its final weeks, political ad spending for the current two-year election cycle is on pace to more than double from the 2018 midterms,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Political Advertising


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Attack Ads Are Darkening the Skin of Black Candidates

October 19, 2022 at 8:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Bulwark: “It’s working. Once ahead in the polls, Democrat Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, is now trailing Republican incumbent Ron Johnson in the state’s race for U.S. Senate, a shift also seen recently in other important races. One factor is an onslaught of negative messaging that seeks to paint Barnes as a crime-loving radical. A key word here is ‘paint.'”

“One of the ads, from the National Republican Senate Committee, ends with a shot that brands Barnes, who is black, as “different” and “dangerous” as it pictures him alongside three congresswomen of color who are members of “The Squad,” none of whom has campaigned with him. For good measure, the state Republican party sent out a mailer in which the color of Barnes’s skin has clearly been darkened.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising, Race

Sticker Shock Costs Republicans in TV Ad War

October 13, 2022 at 4:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Republican super PACs are paying a steep premium to compete on the airwaves with Democratic candidates, a trend that is playing out nationwide with cascading financial consequences for the House and Senate battlefield. Hour after hour in state after state, Republicans are paying double, triple, quadruple and sometimes even 10 times more than Democrats for ads on the exact same programs.”

“One reason is legal and beyond Republicans’ control. But the other is linked to the weak fund-raising of Republican candidates this year and the party’s heavy dependence on billionaire-funded super PACs.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

Midterm Ads Ignore Trump’s Legal Drama

October 9, 2022 at 6:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Out of more than 5,800 distinct TV and digital ads since the Aug. 8 search of the former president’s Florida property, fewer than 20 mentioned Mar-a-Lago or the Justice Department… Abortion and the economy-related ads are dominating in swing districts, according to the advertising data.”

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Political Advertising

Kari Lake Used Stock Footage of Russian Soldiers in Ad

October 6, 2022 at 2:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake (R) used stock footage of Russian soldiers marching in her campaign ad, falsely claiming they were the Arizona National Guard.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Political Advertising Tagged With: AZ-Gov

Do Political Ads Even Work?

October 6, 2022 at 12:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Walter Shapiro: “There are a few lessons from political science for campaign donors and ordinary voters. No matter how much a campaign hypes a particular ad in a fundraising email, the spot, at best, is only going to have a minuscule effect at the margins. And if you care about the effectiveness of your donation, ignore the high-profile Senate races that are dominating the news. You will get far more bang for your buck by investing in House races and down-ballot statewide contests for attorney general and secretary of state.”

“And most of all, don’t assume that campaign ad decisions are based on impeccable research. In truth, campaigns are flying blind just like the rest of us.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

‘Proud to Be Annoying’

October 4, 2022 at 5:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand (D) is out with a new ad which points out that he’s annoying.

Filed Under: Political Advertising

One Way to Get Attention

October 4, 2022 at 6:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Longshot House candidate Katie Darling (D) is out with a new ad in Louisiana that shows her giving birth.

Filed Under: Political Advertising

2022 Campaigns Spend $6.4 Billion on Ads

September 26, 2022 at 3:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The 2022 midterm elections are on track to be the most expensive ever as more than $6.4 billion is poured into TV, radio and digital ads for U.S. House, Senate, gubernatorial and local races,” CNBC reports.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Political Advertising

Trump Threatens to Sue Fox News Over Lincoln Project Ads

September 8, 2022 at 10:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump threatened Fox News with a lawsuit for running political ads produced by “the perverts and lowlifes” of the Lincoln Project.

Said Trump: “I thought they ran away to the asylum after their last catastrophic campaign, with charges made against them that were big time sleaze, and me getting many millions more votes in 2020 than I got in 2016. The Paul Ryun (sic) run Fox only has high standards for ‘Trump’ ads, but not for anyone else. The Perverts should not be allowed to ‘false advertise,’ and Fox News should not allow it to happen. See you all in Court!!!”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

Democrats Find Accidental GOP Data Mine

September 7, 2022 at 9:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A slip-up by social media giant Snap allowed leading Democratic campaigns and party committees to unwittingly tap into a vast repository of Republican voter data to hone their midterm ads,” Axios reports.

“There’s no indication Snap was aware of or facilitated that data sharing, and the company said it’s taking steps to rectify the oversight. But the blunder underscores the sensitivities surrounding reams of voter data that have become a highly valuable political commodity.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

Some Lawmakers Using Office Budgets for Facebook Ads

September 6, 2022 at 4:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Five House Democrats in battleground districts have spent at least five figures from their office accounts on Facebook ads over the last week,” Politico reports.

“The spending comes from each office’s ‘franking’ budget, which each House office receives for communication with constituents. The five members who spent at least $10,000 — Democratic Reps. Matt Cartwright, Josh Gottheimer, Andy Kim, Dina Titus and Henry Cuellar — are all in at least nominally competitive districts, and are the only members to crack five figures in that same time period.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

Democrats Hold the Edge in Political Ad Bookings

September 6, 2022 at 2:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The return from the Labor Day holiday marks the unofficial final sprint to Election Day, and this year is slated to be no exception — there’s already been $1.4 billion in political ad bookings placed between Tuesday and Election Day, with that number expected to swell in the coming weeks,” NBC News reports.

“Right now, Democrats have the edge overall — more than $658 million in bookings compared to the GOP’s $554 million, per ad-tracking firm AdImpact.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

Henry Cuellar Running Ad Paid for by Taxpayers

September 6, 2022 at 7:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-TX) is running an ad talking about how he’s keeping his district safe.

Punchbowl News: “The interesting thing is that he paid for this spot with government money, not campaign funds. The ad isn’t explicitly political – but it’s awfully close.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

Ron DeSantis Channels Mike Dukakis

August 24, 2022 at 8:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Clearly, what Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis was going for was a comparison to Tom Cruise,” the Washington Post reports.

“Hence the ‘Top Gov’ label at the beginning of his latest political ad, which resembles that of Cruise’s Top Gun movies, and the slo-mo shots of the Republican governor zipping up a flight suit over an energetic guitar music track. DeSantis ‘briefs’ an out-of-view team — presumably Florida voters — about the ‘rules of engagement’ for ‘dogfighting’ with the ‘corporate media.’ At one point, he sits in the cockpit of what appears to be a fighter jet, flight helmet on, and says, ‘Alright, ladies and gentlemen.'”

“What are DeSantis and his team getting instead? Comparisons to Michael Dukakis, the Massachusetts governor who made one of the most-mocked campaign photo ops in modern political history while running for president in 1988.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

Republicans Fall Behind on Digital Ad Spending

August 19, 2022 at 10:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

FWIW: “With less than 12 weeks (!) to go until Election Day, we’ve noticed a pretty consistent trend in our digital ad tracking. Week after week, Democratic candidates in competitive Senate, House and Gubernatorial contests are outspending — sometimes dramatically — their Republican opponents.”

Filed Under: Political Advertising

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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