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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 193

The Magnificent Seven

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 193: The Magnificent Seven

Democrats Dominate Political Ad Spending — Except on X

October 7, 2024 · 1:33 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrats are massively outspending Republicans on internet campaign ads but one social network is a notable exception: X, owned by Elon Musk, who has increasingly used the platform to elevate his chosen candidate, former president Donald Trump,” the Washington Post reports.

“Accounts backing Republican candidates spent three times as much on political ads on X than those backing Democrats from March 6 to Oct. 1 — $3 million to $1 million.”

“The biggest political ad buyer on X is the official account for Trump, who has formed a close political alliance with Musk in recent months and was joined by the entrepreneur on stage at a rally Saturday. Vice President Kamala Harris’s campaign has not bought a single ad on the platform.”

2024 Campaign, Political Advertising

Democrats Find Key to Ads That Move People to Vote

October 4, 2024 · 6:34 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Progressives feel like they have finally cracked the code on ads that move voter attitudes: straight-to-camera first-person testimonials,” Politico reports.

“That’s the takeaway from a series of new tests by Way to Win, a progressive donor network.”

From the memo: “Early testing shows the ads drive significant shifts in voter attitudes, boost Kamala Harris’s favorability, reduce Donald Trump’s standing, and increase voter turnout. The campaign reaches key voter groups in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, particularly focusing on Latinos, AAPI communities, young voters, and non-voters from 2020.”

Political Advertising

Short Ads Are More Effective

October 1, 2024 · 10:24 am ET · Leave a Comment

Blueprint: “In our latest ad test, Blueprint examined whether longer ads are worth the added cost by adjusting ad impact for length. For example, since a 60-second ad is four times as long and roughly four times as costly as a 15-second spot, shouldn’t it have four times the impact?”

“The answer is a resounding no: the longer an ad runs, the less efficient it becomes at increasing support for Vice President Harris—suggesting that the best ads are short ones, which hit on broad messages instead of detailed policy plans.”

Political Advertising

Kamala Harris Ads Link to Actual News Articles

August 16, 2024 · 12:18 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“If you’re not looking too closely, some recent Kamala Harris ads may give the false impression that some leading news organizations are taking sides in the campaign for president,” the AP reports.

“The advertisements, which have turned up in some Google search feeds, include links to legitimate news stories but feature — in words that appear to be headlines from the originating news organizations — pro-Harris messages written by the Democrat’s campaign.”

“Google and the campaign defend the practice as legitimate and legal, used in the past by both Democrats and Republicans. But it has raised concern from some of the outlets and others.”

2024 Campaign, Political Advertising

Harris Ads Put News Outlets in a Tough Spot

August 13, 2024 · 3:29 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Harris campaign has been editing news headlines and descriptions within Google search ads that make it appear as if the Guardian, Reuters, CBS News and other major publishers are on her side,” Axios reports.

” It’s a common practice in the commercial advertising world that doesn’t violate Google’s policies, but the ads mimic real news results from Search closely enough that they have news outlets caught off guard.”

2024 Campaign, Political Advertising

Ohio Democrat Shows Off Gymnastics Skills

July 26, 2024 · 9:31 am ET · Leave a Comment

Rep. Emilia Sykes (D-OH) launched an ad campaign to coincide with the opening of the Summer Olympics in Paris that features her making a flip off a balance beam.

2024 Campaign, Political Advertising

Campaigns Can Now See What You Watch on TV

June 13, 2024 · 3:30 pm ET · Leave a Comment

NOTUS: “Streaming television is quickly becoming instrumental to campaigning, promising politicians the ability to reach more voters and target them with highly specific ads.”

“But campaigns’ ability to peer into the television habits of voters alarms privacy advocates, who say voters are not properly informed about what’s on their television… Lawmakers have debated for years how to regulate digital ads but have failed to come to an agreement.”

Political Advertising

Campaigns’ Favorite Game Show Is About to Change

May 29, 2024 · 6:55 am ET · Leave a Comment

“When Pat Sajak retires from hosting Wheel of Fortune next month after 41 seasons at the helm, it could upend one of the surest bets of every election cycle going back more than a decade,” the Bulwark reports.

“That’s because in the world of political advertising, Wheel of Fortune is widely considered to be the best bang for your ad-spend buck. While Wheel doesn’t have the massive viewership of Monday Night Football, Thursday Night Football, or even Regular Old Sunday Daytime Football, its audience is quite large, averaging more than 8 million viewers per night. That audience is also highly demographically concentrated: The median viewer is in Nielsen’s oldest tracked category, 65+, which is to say that the show’s viewers belong to the most dedicated bloc of active voters in the country. Wheel also airs in every market in every corner of America and often leads into the nightly news, which adds to its political value.”

Political Advertising

Nobody Knows Which Political Ads Work and Why

February 15, 2024 · 9:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Some political ads work a lot better than others. But nobody really knows what will reliably make an ad click with voters,” Politico reports.

“That’s one of the major findings of a new study from researchers who analyzed data from Swayable, a platform used by Democrats to test the effectiveness of different messages and advertisements.”

“The study analyzed more than 600 ads produced by more than 50 campaigns and outside groups across the 2018 and 2020 cycles. Some ads are definitely more effective at influencing vote choice than others, the researchers found, but what voters respond to year-over-year is far less clear.”

Political Advertising

RFK Jr. Runs Super Bowl Ad

February 11, 2024 · 8:07 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A super PAC supporting Robert F. Kennedy ran a campaign ad during the Super Bowl which was a remake of his uncle’s famous ad which ran in the 1960 presidential campaign.

2024 Campaign, Political Advertising

Do Political Ads Even Matter Anymore?

January 17, 2024 · 5:41 pm ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Campaign ads are inescapable on the nightly news, ‘Wheel of Fortune’ and YouTube. Even the high-dollar, high-visibility ad blocks of professional and college football games have become increasingly saturated.”

“It’s a deeply entrenched multimillion-dollar industry, and one of the largest expenses of every presidential campaign. But a confluence of political forces and changing media behavior may be testing the efficacy of political advertising in the Trump era.”

Political Advertising

Democrats Plan $140 Million in Voter Testimonial Ads

January 12, 2024 · 6:03 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrats began the search last summer, fanning out through the northern swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania to find the nurses, electricians, farmers and floor installers who could best testify to the danger of Donald Trump returning to power,” the Washington Post reports.

“The previously unreported project by the outside group American Bridge 21st Century developed 732 leads, conducted 472 interviews and then filmed about 50 voters who will anchor a $140 million ad campaign starting this spring, aimed at reminding women and working-class voters why they voted against Trump in 2020, according to the group’s leaders.”

2024 Campaign, Political Advertising

Early State Voters Have Seen $300 Million in Ads

January 12, 2024 · 1:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Almost $300 million has been spent to try to win the Republican presidential nomination so far, two-thirds of it in the first two nominating states, Iowa and New Hampshire,” NPR reports.

“Most of that money is coming from super PACs and outside groups.”

2024 Campaign, Political Advertising

Meta Allows Ads Claiming Rigged 2020 Election

November 15, 2023 · 6:42 am ET · Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Meta made the change last year, but it hasn’t gained wide attention. The company decided to allow political advertisers to say past elections were ‘rigged’ or ‘stolen’ but prevented them from questioning the legitimacy of ongoing and coming elections.”

Political Advertising

Democratic Groups Target GOP Lawmakers Over Shutdown

September 20, 2023 · 7:53 am ET · Leave a Comment

“A trio of Democratic outside groups are launching new TV and digital ads Wednesday targeting House Republicans over the potential government shutdown,” NBC News reports.

Political Advertising

Mike Pence Gets Outplayed by a Gas Pump

August 9, 2023 · 4:05 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Mike Pence has released a new campaign ad attacking President Joe Biden for high gas prices—but it’s gone viral for all the wrong reasons,” the Daily Beast reports.

“As he delivers his spiel to the camera… the gas pump can be heard beeping off camera with increasing urgency, beckoning him, as gas pumps do, to pay and select a kind of fuel. He somehow keeps up the whole charade throughout the incessant beeping, holding the nozzle into his gas tank as if viewers might not notice there’s no gas coming out.”

2024 Campaign, Political Advertising

Lawmakers Bought Ads in Chinese Foreign Agent Paper

August 7, 2023 · 8:30 am ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Examiner: “Campaigns for eight Democratic and Republican politicians have paid over $41,500 combined between 2011 and 2023 for advertisements in Sing Tao U.S… The newspaper is a subsidiary of the Hong Kong-based Sing Tao News Corporation and reported itself as a foreign agent in 2021 that is involved in ‘political activity.'”

Political Advertising

Why Biden’s MTG Ad is So Damn Effective

July 21, 2023 · 12:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “Earlier this week, President Biden tweeted out this video of Greene making an impressively persuasive case for Bidenomics.”

“To say people went bananas for this video would be a huge understatement. It had 10 million views across all platforms within three hours. That number was over 50 million by Thursday. Marjorie Taylor Greene stumbling into a campaign ad for Biden is just too much fun.”

“It’s embarrassing for Greene and highlights her willfully ignorant approach to public life. The video is also a testament to the talented folks doing digital rapid response for Biden and the Democratic National Committee. Strategically, this video bodes well for Team Biden as they prepare for a long and brutal campaign.”

“I love dunking on MTG, but I am in love with this video for another reason — it is the archetype of what political communicators should aim for.”

Political Advertising

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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