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Archives for November 2015

GOP Campaigns Already Planning for Super Tuesday

November 23, 2015 at 6:38 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 7 Comments

Washington Post: “Alabama has become an unusual magnet for Republican presidential candidates because it is one of 11 mostly southern states holding a primary or caucus on March 1 — the delegate bonanza known as Super Tuesday.”

“While the February states — Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada — are expected to set the tone and winnow the field, Super Tuesday will arrive like a thunder clap, likely determining which pairings will survive for what could be a protracted battle for the nomination.”

“For centrist Republicans such as Kasich, the aim may not be so much sweeping Super Tuesday as surviving it. After March 1, the calendar turns more to their liking, with a number of winner-take-all states in less conservative regions where suburban, business-friendly Republicans may matter more than evangelicals and tea-party activists.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Kasich Tries to Take Down Trump

November 23, 2015 at 6:33 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 21 Comments

Gov. John Kasich “launched an all-out offensive against fellow Republican Donald Trump. On the day that Trump is holding a rally in Kasich’s state, the Ohio governor is hosting two conference calls challenging Trump and his electability,” NBC News reports.

“The conference calls are just one component of a larger effort over the past several days to damage the Republican front-runner’s credibility among voters. Kasich is attacking Trump more fiercely than any other Republican in the field.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump, John Kasich

The Perfect Republican Stump Speech

November 23, 2015 at 6:18 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 9 Comments

Former GOP speechwriter Barton Swaim wrote a ​totally pandering stump speech for an imaginary GOP presidential candidate — one who ​espouses only positions that a majority of Republicans agree with.

Filed Under: Republicans, Speechwriting

Trump Says It’s Unlikely He Would Nuke Anyone

November 23, 2015 at 1:35 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 69 Comments

Donald Trump told GQ that it is extremely unlikely he would use nuclear weapons as president.

Said Trump: “I wouldn’t be nuking anybody. I will have a military that’s so strong and powerful, and so respected, we’re not gonna have to nuke anybody.”

He added: “It is highly, highly, highly, highly unlikely that I would ever be using them.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Quote of the Day

November 23, 2015 at 1:32 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 74 Comments

“Obama’s new domestic terrorism plan probably requires Americans to memorize Koran verses.”

— Mike Huckabee, writing for Fox News.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Mike Huckabee

Visual Political Histories

November 23, 2015 at 1:04 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

As we head into the holiday season, here’s an interesting political gift: Death and Taxes 2016 is a poster that looks at how the federal budget has grown over the years.

These are also definitely worth a look:

  • A Visual History of the U.S. Senate
  • A Visual History of the U.S. House
  • A Visual History of the Republican Party
  • A Visual History of the Democratic Party
  • A Visual History of the Presidency

Filed Under: Political History

Clinton No Longer Focused on Sanders

November 23, 2015 at 1:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 18 Comments

New York Times: “At rallies these days, Mrs. Clinton criticizes the Republican presidential candidates for their economic policies (‘Our economy does better with a Democrat in the White House’); she knocks their foreign policy approaches and says their positions on immigration and women’s issues would set the country ‘backwards instead of forwards.'”

“What she does not do is mention her main Democratic primary opponent, Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont…. She is now acting as if she were no longer running against one rival, Mr. Sanders, but 14: the Republicans who are still preoccupied with cutting down one another.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

The Latest on Wonk Wire

November 23, 2015 at 12:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here’s what’s trending today on Wonk Wire:

  • What Accounts for Our Shrinking Blue State Map?
  • The Case for Killing the Penny
  • John Bel Edwards Victory is Victory for Medicaid Expansion
  • Most Americans Say Government Should Ensure Healthcare Coverage
  • The Case for High Gas Prices: Safety

Filed Under: Wonk Wire

Is Donald Trump the Best Politician in the Race?

November 23, 2015 at 9:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard 94 Comments

Rick Klein: “At this point, it’s not simply a matter of Donald Trump defying political gravity. Even his opponents have to marvel at how good a politician he is, in his ability to adapt to moments and channel the (often unspoken) passions of his supporters. With the establishment turning up the heat – and the cash – on Trump, there’s a real possibility that he can’t be brought down in a substantial way. (What new information about Trump will do what all the reams of information haven’t done before?) His rivals have to count on Trump supporters not being serious about supporting Trump – or not being serious about caucusing or voting at all. That would count as hope, not strategy. But it may be hard to beat.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Trump Attacks Clinton’s Stamina

November 23, 2015 at 9:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard 93 Comments

Donald Trump “has, over the last few days, been road-testing a new criticism of Hillary Clinton — that she is too low-energy to be president,” the New York Times reports.

Said Trump: “Somebody like Jeb, and others that are running against me — and by the way, Hillary is another one. I mean, Hillary is a person who doesn’t have the strength or the stamina, in my opinion, to be president. She doesn’t have strength or stamina. She’s not a strong enough person to be president.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

The Post-Truth Candidate

November 23, 2015 at 9:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard 62 Comments

First Read: “We’ve been around the political block long enough to know that almost all presidential candidates exaggerate, dissemble, take statements out of context and, yes, lie. But from the start of Donald Trump’s presidential campaign (remember Mexican rapists?), he has taken this to a level we haven’t seen before in American politics.”

“Consider just these two examples from the weekend. First, Trump said on Saturday in Alabama: ‘I watched when the World Trade Center came tumbling down. And I watched in Jersey City New Jersey, where thousands and thousands of people were cheering.’ In fact, as the New York Times writes, ‘No news reports exist of people cheering in the streets, and both police officials and the mayor of Jersey City have said that it did not happen.’ But when ABC pressed Trump on his statement, he stood his ground. ‘It did happen. I saw it… It was on television. I saw it.’ Second, Trump retweeted a graphic claiming — falsely — that African American are responsible for the killing of most blacks and whites in America. ‘That is not true,’ the Washington Post notes.”

Benjy Sarlin: “Let’s not sugarcoat what’s going on. The GOP frontrunner is spreading hateful falsehoods about blacks and Muslims.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Louisiana Proves that Candidates Matter

November 23, 2015 at 8:43 am EST By Taegan Goddard 14 Comments

Washington Post: “Political scientists love to talk about fundamentals and concoct formulas to predict how races will turn out. But a bad candidate undermines that. Vitter was a bad candidate. Massachusetts is as blue as Louisiana is red, but Democrat Martha Coakley lost a Senate race to Scott Brown in 2010 and a governor’s race to Charlie Baker in 2014 because she is a terrible retail politician. In Kentucky, Jack Conway started as the frontrunner and blew totally winnable races against Rand Paul in 2010 and Matt Bevin in 2015. In both cases, the attorney general tried to make the race about his opponent’s flaws, and it backfired.”

Filed Under: 2015 Campaign Tagged With: LA-Gov

Most Think Obama Has No Plan to Defeat ISIS

November 23, 2015 at 8:40 am EST By Taegan Goddard 43 Comments

A new CBS News poll finds that only 23% of Americans think President Obama has a clear plan for dealing with ISIS, the lowest number yet recorded. Sixty-six percent do not think he has a clear plan – a new high.

“Large majorities of Republicans and independents say the President doesn’t have a clear plan, and almost half of Democrats (40%) agree. More Democrats (45%) say he doesn’t have a plan than say he does.”

Filed Under: National Security

Cruz Says He’s the Most Electable Conservative

November 23, 2015 at 8:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard 30 Comments

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-IA) “is among the most hated men in Washington, reviled by leaders of both parties as an ideological hard-liner loyal only to the far-right of the conservative movement,” the AP reports.

“But racing down an Iowa highway on a snowy weekend morning, a solemn Cruz suggested some of his Republican rivals for president have amped up their rhetoric too much — especially on policy toward people who are in the U.S. illegally.”

Said Cruz: “I cannot help the language that others use… I can only help the words that come out of my own mouth.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Republicans Find a New Enemy

November 23, 2015 at 7:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard 17 Comments

Politico: “During the past century, the GOP focused on the internal subversive threat of communism and often depicted liberals as traitors. Now many on the right have seamlessly moved on to hunt for Muslim traitors as part of a third World War against a foreign enemy. They’ve been identifying domestic traitors and declaring a broader war against Islam for years, but have been, for the most part, speaking to deaf ears… Now after Paris, the radical right is grabbing the opportunity to push their case to a wider audience.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Republicans Are Much Angrier Than Democrats

November 23, 2015 at 7:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard 29 Comments

A new Pew Research poll finds that Republicans “are nearly three times as likely as Democrats to say they are angry with the government. And among politically engaged Republicans and Democrats – those who vote frequently and follow politics on a regular basis – the gap is nearly four-to-one (42% to 11%).”

“In Barack Obama’s six years as president, 13% of Republicans, on average, have said they can trust the government always or most of the time – the lowest level of average trust among either party during any administration dating back 40 years. During George W. Bush’s presidency, an average of 47% of Republicans said they could trust the government. By contrast, the share of Democrats saying they can trust the government has been virtually unchanged over the two administrations (28% Bush, 29% Obama).”

Filed Under: Trends

Voters Trust Clinton More on Terrorism

November 23, 2015 at 7:01 am EST By Taegan Goddard 13 Comments

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds Hillary Clinton is better-trusted on dealing with the terrorism threat, with her biggest edge over Donald Trump.

“By 50% to 42%, more Americans say they trust Clinton to handle the threat of terrorism than Trump, who leads the Republican field and responded to the Paris terrorist attacks by calling for heightened surveillance of mosques and redoubling his opposition to allowing Syrian refugees to settle in the U.S.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, National Security Tagged With: Hillary Clinton

Sanders Steps Up Spending in Iowa

November 23, 2015 at 7:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Bernie Sanders “more than quadrupled his spending in Iowa during the third quarter, pouring almost a half-million dollars into the state,” the Des Moines Register reports.

“He still falls short of U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, a Texas Republican, and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in terms of total spending this cycle, but Sanders’ third-quarter spending represents a surge for him as he continues to challenge Clinton for front-runner status in the race for the Democratic nomination.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Bernie Sanders

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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