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Archives for November 2015

Early States Flooded with TV Ads

November 25, 2015 at 8:57 am EST By Taegan Goddard 17 Comments

“For residents of the four early voting states seeking respite this holiday weekend from the political rantings of a charged relative, the traditional comfort of television might not provide much of an escape,” the New York Times reports.

“Presidential campaigns and the groups supporting them have booked almost $5 million in advertising time during Thanksgiving week in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, according to an analysis by Kantar Media’s CMAG, which tracks political advertising.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Kentucky Restores Voting Rights to 180K Felons

November 24, 2015 at 11:44 am EST By Taegan Goddard 47 Comments

Outgoing Kentucky Gov. Steve Beshear (D) “has signed an executive order to restore the right to vote and hold public office to thousands of non-violent felons who’ve served out their sentences,” the Lexington Herald Leader reports.

“Kentucky was one of four states that did not automatically restore voting rights to felons once they completed all the terms of their sentences. Around 180,000 in Kentucky have served their sentences yet remain banned from casting ballots.”

Filed Under: Election Administration Tagged With: Kentucky, Steve Beshear

Why Trump Will Be Very Hard to Take Down

November 24, 2015 at 11:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard 82 Comments

Rick Klein: “He’s gone from thousands of cheering Muslims in New Jersey to hundreds of people now tell him he’s right. He had his chief rival say he saw the same thing on TV, only to say a few hours later that he actually didn’t. Donald Trump’s latest addition to his campaign highlight reel has the hallmarks of his political style. This was a tall tale with a purpose, calibrated to a moment of jitters and anti-Muslim fears and sentiments. Trump, naturally, isn’t apologizing or acknowledging that what he said he saw did not in fact occur as he describes it.”

“It now appears unlikely that any one comment or set of comments will unravel Trump. Even in this instance, his supporters grant him a general sense of being honest if not entirely truthful… As the anti-Trump forces gather, that’s a more formidable opponent than the mogul himself. Voters view him as speaking truth to power – and that means skepticism of anyone or anything seeking to stand in his way, even when he’s telling stories that are simply not accurate.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

The Latest on Wonk Wire

November 24, 2015 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here’s what’s trending today on Wonk Wire:

  • The Painkiller Epidemic Grows
  • Despite Glitches, Obamacare is Still a Success
  • The Political Correctness Mantra: The Domain of the Republicans
  • Who Takes More: Law Enforcement or Burglars?
  • Americans Hate Government But They Like What it Does
  • A Failing Grade for GOP Candidates’ Climate Science Knowledge

Filed Under: Wonk Wire

Carson Blames Media for His 9/11 Mistake

November 24, 2015 at 10:31 am EST By Taegan Goddard 49 Comments

“Ben Carson continued to walk back his assertion on Monday night that, like Donald Trump, he also saw video footage of Muslims in New Jersey celebrating the collapse of the World Trade Center on 9/11, blaming the media in the process for having ‘an agenda,'” Politico reports.

Said Carson: “They asked me: Did I see the film? I did see the film. I don’t know where they were, but I did see a film of Muslims celebrating. And I was making the point that it was inappropriate.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Ben Carson

Quote of the Day

November 24, 2015 at 10:09 am EST By Taegan Goddard 19 Comments

“None of our members have put their foot in their mouth but never underestimate us to screw it up because we have before.”

— NRSC executive director Ward Baker, quoted by the Associated Press, on the battle for control of the U.S. Senate.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Putin Calls Downed Warplane a ‘Stab in the Back’

November 24, 2015 at 8:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard 59 Comments

“Turkish fighter jets shot down a Russian warplane after Turkey said it violated its airspace, a long-feared escalation that could further strain relations between Russia and the West,” the New York Times reports.

According to The Guardian, Russian President Vladimir Putin called the incident a “a stab in the back, carried out by the accomplices of terrorists.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Sanders Has Highest Approval Rating of Any Senator

November 24, 2015 at 8:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard 14 Comments

A new Morning Consult survey shows Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) has the highest approval rating of any United States senator among his own constituents, at 83%.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Bernie Sanders

Donald Trump Says He Has the ‘World’s Greatest Memory’

November 24, 2015 at 8:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard 36 Comments

“The front-runner is now acting invincible — he even told NBC News in a phone call that he has ‘the world’s greatest memory’ — despite intense push back on his latest claims, including that ‘thousands and thousands’ of U.S. Muslims were cheering in Jersey City, N.J., after the Twin Towers came down on 9/11.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Trump Quote of the Day

November 24, 2015 at 8:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard 38 Comments

“If it doesn’t work, they deserve it anyway.”

— Donald Trump, quoted by the Washington Post, on his plans to bring back waterboarding.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Rubio’s First Ad Is Tribute to His Father

November 24, 2015 at 8:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard 22 Comments

Sen. Marco Rubio’s “first early-state broadcast ad — a tribute to his father and a strategic move to highlight his biographical story — will begin airing Thursday in Iowa,” NBC News has learned.

“The 60-second spot is the first in a $20 million ad buy that begins Thursday and extends through February in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada, according to a campaign aide.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Marco Rubio

Trump Regains Lead in Iowa as Cruz Surges

November 24, 2015 at 7:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard 55 Comments

A new Quinnipiac poll in Iowa finds Donald Trump leading with 25%, followed by Ted Cruz at 23%, Ben Carson at 18% and Marco Rubio at 11%.

Said pollster Peter Brown: “The Iowa Republican Caucus has become a two-tiered contest: Businessman Donald Trump and neurosurgeon Ben Carson lead on the outsider track, and Sens. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio lead among party insiders. The other candidates will need miraculous comebacks to crack the top tier with slightly more than two months before the voting begins.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Iowa

The Climate Cliff

November 24, 2015 at 7:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard 14 Comments

Politico: “On Dec. 11, Obama administration diplomats will be in Paris working to clinch a global climate deal that will hinge on whether they can back up a pledge to provide billions of dollars to help poor countries deal with climate change. That same day, Republicans back in Washington will be trying to hold that money hostage with a government shutdown hanging in the balance.”

“Congress must pass a new spending bill by Dec. 11, when a stopgap measure expires. The simultaneous deadlines on each side of the Atlantic Ocean give Republicans a tool to derail a legacy-defining pact for the president and score a rare victory on climate policy. They also significantly raise the stakes in this year’s game of shutdown chicken.”

Wonk Wire: Republican candidates receive failing grade on climate change

Filed Under: Budget & Taxes, Energy

Trump Won’t Be Pinned Down

November 24, 2015 at 7:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

New York Times: “No one ever expected Mr. Trump to turn himself into the issues expert of the Republican presidential field. Yet the verbal shortcuts and salesmanlike stretches that he has relied on for months — generalities used to dodge questions, and questionable recollections — are tripping him up as the tenor of the campaign has grown more serious.”

“Mr. Trump’s avoidance of specifics is seen by some of his admirers as a refreshing contrast to musty politicians who play by the rules. And he has a knack for muddying the waters with catchall phrases that allow his supporters and detractors to read whatever they want into his statements.”

“But his refusal to be pinned down on the details of his positions has repeatedly prompted reporters and interviewers to engage in a guessing game as to what he means. And he tends to choose all of the above.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Paris Attacks Bring New Life to Christie Campaign

November 24, 2015 at 7:21 am EST By Taegan Goddard 19 Comments

“In the course of a two-hour campaign stop here, Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey brought a handful of men and women to tears describing the deathbed wishes of his cancer-ridden mother, cracked them up with the declaration that his presidency would be golf-free and riveted them with his remembrances of the family friends he lost on Sept. 11, 2001,” the New York Times reports.

“Afterward, a stream of voters walked up to him, pledging their votes to an unexpected vessel for their newly heightened anxieties about security and terrorism.”

“It is too early to tell how the Paris attacks will ultimately reshape the topsy-turvy Republican presidential race. But this much is clear: It has brought sudden intensity, attention and focus to the once-moribund candidacy of Mr. Christie.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Chris Christie

Obama Approval Slips on Terror Fears

November 24, 2015 at 7:16 am EST By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

A new Washington Post/ABC News poll shows that Presidential Obama’s approval rating has slipped to 46%, with 50% disapproving.

The fall has been driven almost entirely by concerns about terrorism and refugees.

Filed Under: National Security, White House

Trump Rivals Get Equal Time

November 24, 2015 at 7:12 am EST By Taegan Goddard 5 Comments

NBC will give four Republican presidential candidates — John Kasich, Mike Huckabee, James Gilmore and Lindsey Graham — free advertising time next week to compensate them for the 12 minutes given to Donald Trump on “Saturday Night Live,” CNN reports.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Donald Trump Is the GOP’s Own Creation

November 23, 2015 at 6:40 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 83 Comments

“Republican elites are panicky about the durable dominance of Trump (and to a lesser extent Ben Carson) in the presidential race. They are right to worry, but I don’t feel much sympathy. Trump is a problem of their own creation,” Dana Millbank writes.

“Trump gets ever more base in his bigotry — and yet, with few and intermittent exceptions, rival candidates, party leaders and GOP lawmakers decline to call him out. So he continues to rise, benefiting from tacit acceptance of his intolerance.”

“For months — years, really — Republicans have averted their gaze from Trump’s attacks on women, Hispanics and immigrants. Now the racism becomes more overt — and still, he goes unchallenged.”

Gerald Seib: “A quick look back at American history also shows the phenomenon is neither unprecedented nor inexplicable.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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