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Freedom Caucus May Force Vote on Repeal-Only Bill

July 19, 2017 at 5:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Leaders of the hard-line House Freedom Caucus on Wednesday evening will jump-start a process intended to force the measure — a mirror of the 2015 repeal proposal that President Obama vetoed — to the floor as early as September.”

“Their effort is unlikely to result in a bill landing on Donald Trump’s desk — many Republicans have rejected calls to eliminate the core of Obamacare without having a comprehensive replacement plan ready. But if the group garners enough signatures to trigger the floor vote, it would force many mainstream and moderate Republican lawmakers into the uncomfortable position of rejecting a repeal measure they backed just two years ago.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

July 19, 2017 at 5:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I don’t think there are 40 votes to repeal and say to the American people, ‘Well, trust us to come up with something in the next couple of years.’ I don’t think that’s a good idea.”

— Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-TN), quoted by CNN., on the proposed “clean” repeal of the Affordable Care Act.

Lawmakers Still Don’t Know What They’re Voting On

July 19, 2017 at 5:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Caitlin Owens: “It’s up in the air what Senate Republicans will vote on next week, following their meeting with President Trump on Wednesday. The goal seems to be to get something passed, regardless of whether it just repeals parts of the Affordable Care Act or tries to replace them.”

“It can’t be overstated how wild it is that Senate Republicans are planning to vote on a massive restructuring of the health insurance system next week, without knowing what it will look like. And though passage of anything seems unlikely, if they do manage to pass a replacement bill, it’ll be a patchwork of last-minute compromises on top of a bill that is already massively unpopular and hasn’t been thoroughly analyzed. And Republicans will then own whatever happens under their bill.”


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Hastert Booking Photo Released

July 19, 2017 at 5:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

WGN has obtained the booking photo of former House Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-IL) who served 13 of his 15 month prison sentence and checked in today for electronic monitoring.

“Hastert was convicted on banking charges related to a scheme to pay hush money to a man who said Hastert molested him as a boy decades ago. The case led several men to come forward to say they too were sexually abused by Hastert when he was their wrestling coach at Yorkville High School.”

GOP Health Bill Holdouts Will Meet Tonight

July 19, 2017 at 4:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Axios: “All of the Republican senators who oppose the Senate health care bill are meeting tonight to work out their differences — after being told by President Trump this afternoon that they need to work late into the night to get a deal. The holdouts, including moderates and conservatives, are scheduled to meet in Sen. John Barrasso’s office at 7:30 pm Eastern with the goal of getting a deal to revive the shelved Affordable Care Act repeal and replacement bill.”

However, one senior GOP aide dismissed the chances for actual progress: “This is just the death rattle.”

Midterm Wave Watch

July 19, 2017 at 4:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

With several news polls out in recent days, FiveThirtyEight’s generic congressional ballot polling average shows Democrats leading Republicans by a little more than 10 points, 48.3% to 38.1%.

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White House Scales Back Ambitions for Business Tax Cut

July 19, 2017 at 4:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“With President Trump’s promise to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act nearly dead, administration officials are scaling back their ambitions to cut the corporate tax rate sharply, apparently taking a more pragmatic approach as they scramble to secure a major legislative victory this year,” the New York Times reports.

“One crucial point of discussions in the coming days, the person said, will be the proposed business tax rate. In April, a White House policy paper pegged it at 15% for corporations and small businesses alike. The current rate is 35%. But now the proposed business tax rate is “drifting higher,” this person said, and may end up in the low 20 percent range.”

Postal Service Broke Law in Effort to Help Clinton

July 19, 2017 at 4:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. Postal Service engaged in ‘systemic’ violations of federal law by pressuring managers to approve letter carriers taking time off last fall to campaign for Hillary Clinton and other union-backed Democrats,” the Washington Post reports.

“High-level postal officials had for years developed a practice of granting the employees’ requests for unpaid leave, leading last year to an ‘institutional bias’ in favor of Clinton and other Democrats endorsed by the National Association of Letter Carriers, one of the largest postal unions.”

Trump Ends Covert Program to Arm Syrian Rebels

July 19, 2017 at 4:03 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump has decided to end the CIA’s covert program to arm and train moderate Syrian rebels battling the government of Bashar al-Assad, a move long sought by Russia,” the Washington Post reports.

“Officials said the phasing out of the secret program reflects Trump’s interest in finding ways to work with Russia, which saw the anti-Assad program as an assault on its interests. The shuttering of the program is also an acknowledgment of Washington’s limited leverage and desire to remove Assad from power.”

U.S. Lawmakers Seek to Outlaw Support of Israeli Boycott

July 19, 2017 at 3:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Intercept: “A group of 43 Senators – 29 Republicans and 14 Democrats – want to implement a law that would make it a felony for Americans to support the international boycott against Israel, which was launched in protest of that country’s decades-old occupation of Palestine. The two primary sponsors of the bill are Democrat Ben Cardin of Maryland and Republican Rob Portman of Ohio.”

“Perhaps the most shocking aspect is the punishment: anyone guilty of violating its prohibitions will face a minimum civil penalty of $250,000, and a maximum criminal penalty of $1 million and 20 years in prison.”

The Perfect Political Gift

July 19, 2017 at 2:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Now available for order: Trump Family Russian Wooden Nesting Dolls.

RNC Insider Suggests Guadagno Is Being Punished

July 19, 2017 at 1:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An insider within the RNC’s top leadership — who declined to speak for attribution because such appointees serve at the pleasure of the president — said the New Jersey Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno’s (R) dire national fundraising situation stems as much from her double digit lag in recent polls as her public criticism of both the president and the governor,” according to the Newark Star Ledger.

Said the RNC insider: “The president is unhappy with anyone who neglected him in his hour of need,” referring to Guadagno’s public disavowal of Donald Trump after a 2005 Access Hollywood video of Trump surfaced showing him making crude, sexually aggressive statements.

Quote of the Day

July 19, 2017 at 12:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If any state doesn’t want to share this information, one has to wonder: What are they worried about? There’s something. There always is.”

— President Trump, quoted by the Daily Mail, making a surprise appearance at a meeting of his “voter fraud” commission.

Trump Calls Lee to Revive Health Care Bill

July 19, 2017 at 12:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump has reached out to Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT), the conservative who helped deal what appeared to be a fatal blow to the Senate healthcare bill, as part of a last ditch effort to revive the legislation,” the Washington Examiner reports.

“Lee reiterated his position that he wanted to free the market from Obamacare’s regulations in an effort to drive down premiums and provide more choices. Trump, according to the spokesman, seemed receptive.”

David Nather: “This anecdote suggests that Trump will try to convince Republican senators to revive the broader Senate health care bill when they meet for lunch at the White House today. It suggests that Trump still hasn’t grasped the big reason why Senate Republicans are stuck: They want different things, and every time GOP leaders try something to please one wing of the party, it pushes away the other.”

Have You Joined?

July 19, 2017 at 11:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

From another happy reader:

I’ve been a subscriber for a couple of months now and am really glad I did.  The two things I like best about Political Wire are the wide, wide research you do in covering politics and the concise interpretive pieces.  I have followed many of your links to sources I would never have read or would have skimmed and missed info.  I get up in the morning, Pacific time, and read Political Wire first and then the other sites I read daily.  I often check PW during the day.

Thank you for the work you do.  You must keep long hours and work over the weekends.

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Third of Trump Voters Don’t Think Meeting Took Place

July 19, 2017 at 11:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds that 32% of Americans who voted for President Trump said they don’t believe that Trump’s eldest son met with a Russian lawyer last year — even though he admitted that he did.

Why Trump Can’t Convince Anyone on Health Care

July 19, 2017 at 11:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ezra Klein: “The core problem is Trump has no idea what he’s talking about on health care and never bothered to learn. ‘Nobody knew health care could be so complicated,’ he famously, and absurdly, said. His inability to navigate its complexities meant he couldn’t make persuasive arguments on behalf of the bills he supported, and he routinely made statements that undercut the legislative process and forced Republicans to defend the indefensible.”

“Because Trump doesn’t understand the legislation or the trade-offs it made, he can’t make persuasive arguments on its behalf in public or private, and so he mostly doesn’t try. Trump and his team are not frequent presences in the public debate trying to sell the legislation they’re so keen to sign. That’s one reason the various bills routinely polled around 20 percent — without Trump using the bully pulpit to argue on behalf of the legislation, critics, terrible Congressional Budget Office reports, and news of congressional infighting filled the void.”

“When Trump does weigh in, it’s often a disaster.”

Trump’s Electoral Coalition Isn’t a Governing Coalition

July 19, 2017 at 9:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Amy Walter makes the observation that Donald Trump’s “Blue Wall” busting coalition that helped him win Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, hasn’t translated to governing success.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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