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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 194

What Just Happened?

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 194: What Just Happened?

The Flaw In Trump’s Latest Plan

August 24, 2016 · 8:06 am ET · Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “The main difficulty Trump faces in dispelling the impression that he is a racist is that Trump is, in fact, a gigantic racist.”

2016 Campaign, Race Donald Trump

Trump’s Campaign Prefers Trump Brands

August 23, 2016 · 11:02 am ET · Leave a Comment

Through July, Donald Trump’s campaign has spent just shy of $7.7 million on Trump-branded products, including reimbursements to Trump-named surrogates, the Washington Post reports.

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Trump Insists He’s Not Waffling on Immigration

August 23, 2016 · 8:18 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Despite signs that Donald Trump may be softening his rhetoric on the issue that catapulted him to political prominence—cracking down on illegal immigrants—the Republican presidential nominee said Monday that he wasn’t waffling and reiterated his commitment to strict anti-immigration measures,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Said Trump: “I’m not flip flopping.”

He added at a rally last night: “We’re going to build a wall folks, don’t worry, we’re going to build a wall. That wall will go up so fast your head will spin.”

2016 Campaign, Immigration Donald Trump

Trump Wants to ‘Monetize’ His New ‘Audience’

August 22, 2016 · 4:24 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Vanity Fair media writer Sarah Ellison tells The Takeaway that Donald Trump has had private discussions with his inner circle about “how to monetize” the new audience he’s built up.

2016 Campaign, Media Buzz Donald Trump

Trump Has Abandoned Every Network Except Fox News

August 22, 2016 · 3:46 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Since his disastrous ABC News interview about the Khan family days after the Republican convention, Donald Trump has only appeared on Fox News, the Huffington Post reports.

“His retreat to Fox News is a remarkable change in strategic focus, having earlier pledged to win the election based on his skill at generating free media coverage… But it appears that he’s now calculated that the risk of venturing too far from the conservative-leaning network is too great. In June, 18 of Trump’s 29 interviews across six networks were on Fox News, according to additional research provided by Media Matters. In July, he did nine interviews on Fox News and just six combined across ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN and MSNBC. None of these networks have had him on in August.”

2016 Campaign, Media Buzz Donald Trump

Trump Staffers Spread Racist Views

August 22, 2016 · 2:30 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump’s paid campaign staffers have declared on their personal social media accounts that Muslims are unfit to be U.S. citizens, ridiculed Mexican accents, called for Secretary of State John Kerry to be hanged and stated their readiness for a possible civil war,” according to an Associated Press review of their postings.

“The campaign has employed a mix of veteran political operatives and outsiders. Most come across as dedicated, enthusiastic partisans, but at least seven expressed views that were overtly racially charged, supportive of violent actions or broadly hostile to Muslims.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Trump’s Best Week Yet?

August 22, 2016 · 1:24 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Rick Klein: “If that was the best week of Donald Trump’s campaign, as his new campaign manager contends, even his closest allies are grading him on a serious curve. Trump just fired his previous campaign chief, of course, after a series of damaging revelations about his ties to Russia. He also disclosed a campaign-finance report that revealed his operation to be ‘more concert tour than presidential campaign,’ in the judgment of The New York Times. His new and overt efforts to reach out to black and Hispanic voters were clumsy and contradictory; even know it’s not clear if he would go ahead with his plan for mass deportations of undocumented immigrants.”

“But he did go a week without seeming to offend a new ethnic group, and made his first move in the direction of apologizing for his past insults. Most importantly to the legions of Republicans who would rather support the GOP nominee than not, he showed that he’s trying to win. He may not be capable of long-term discipline. For now, though, Trump appears to be listening to advice of those around him.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

The Trump Spin Cycle

August 22, 2016 · 12:19 pm ET · Leave a Comment

From Ben Pershing of National Journal:

  1. Trump blurts something out on TV
  2. Media analyzes strategic “shift”
  3. There is no “shift” (and therefore no strategy).

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Trump Begins Preparing for Debates

August 22, 2016 · 6:33 am ET · Leave a Comment

Donald Trump “began preparing on Sunday for his first general election debate against Hillary Clinton, with a meeting at his golf club in Bedminster, N.J.,” the New York Times reports.

“Roger Ailes, the former Fox News chairman who helped prepare George Bush to debate Michael Dukakis in the 1988 presidential race, is advising Mr. Trump as he begins to focus on the debate, scheduled for Sept. 26 at Hofstra University on Long Island.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Trump Is Out of Time to Build a Modern Campaign

August 21, 2016 · 9:45 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Donald Trump “is leaning heavily on Republican Party organizations to provide crucial campaign functions like getting out the vote, digital outreach and fund-raising, at a time when some leading Republicans have called for party officials to cut off Mr. Trump and focus instead on maintaining control of Congress,” the New York Times reports.

“Despite an influx of campaign cash from small donors in July, Mr. Trump’s operation still largely resembles the bare-bones outfit that he rode to victory during the primary season, more concert tour than presidential campaign, according to interviews and documents filed with the Federal Election Commission through Saturday night. And some Republicans believe he is effectively out of time to invest in the kind of large-scale infrastructure that the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton, will bring to the polls in November.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Trump Goes for Broke and Brings the GOP With Him

August 19, 2016 · 8:41 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Until this week, it had been possible for party elders to convince themselves that Trump might prove to be a passing storm in their ranks rather than a portent of climate change. But to their dismay, the party standard-bearer has now signaled that he intends to go for broke in the final stretch of the campaign.”

“Trump’s decision to ditch his establishment-bred campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, in favor of Breitbart News executive Stephen Bannon, who shares Trump’s scorched-earth approach to politics and his worldview, is perhaps the most overt example of the mogul’s closing strategy.”

“Theirs is an amorphous alternative to traditional conservatism — often associated with the ‘alt right’ movement — that is leery of liberal immigration, multiculturalism, military involvement overseas and free trade. Its critics also accuse the alt right of flirting with white supremacism, anti-Semitism and other forms of intolerance.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Trump Releases His First Campaign Ad

August 19, 2016 · 10:22 am ET · Leave a Comment

Greg Sargent: “Last night, Donald Trump delivered a speech in which he spoke in soothing tones about the need to unify the country and expressed ‘regret’ about any remarks that have caused ‘personal pain,’ though he didn’t specify which particular remarks he regrets. This led some commentators to suggest that another ‘pivot‘ is underway.”

“This morning, Trump released his first general election ad, an ugly and dishonest production which shows he isn’t changing a thing.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Trump Again Questions Clinton’s Stamina

August 17, 2016 · 10:19 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump stepped up his effort to sow doubts about Hillary Clinton’s physical capacity to be president, questioning her work ethic on the campaign trail during an interview recorded Tuesday and aired on Wednesday,” Politico reports.

Said Trump: “”She doesn’t really do that much. She’ll give a speech on a teleprompter and then she’ll disappear. I don’t know if she goes home and goes to sleep. I think she sleeps. I guess she takes a lot of weekends off. She takes a lot of time off. And you know that’s, frankly — frankly, it’s really not fair.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton

Trump Knows He’s Losing

August 17, 2016 · 10:32 am ET · Leave a Comment

First Read: “These kind of shake-ups don’t happen when a presidential campaign is winning. The last time we remember when such an overhaul took place so late in the game was back in 2004, when John Kerry made significant changes to his campaign team. And here’s the current reality for Trump: He’s trailing in national polls by an average of about seven points, per RealClearPolitics; he’s behind in almost every battleground-state poll we’ve seen, including our NBC/WSJ/Marist polls from last week; and he’s losing to Clinton in the NBC battleground map.”

Politico: Trump’s Shrinking electoral map.

For members: How Clinton Is Crushing Trump In One Chart

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

August 16, 2016 · 10:08 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Well, possibly I do, but, you know, I am who I am. It’s me. I don’t wanna change. Everybody talks about, ‘Oh, well you’re gonna pivot, you’re gonna’ — I don’t wanna pivot. I mean, you have to be you. If you start pivoting, you’re not being honest with people.”

— Donald Trump, in an interview with WKBT-TV, on whether he needs to change after facing an onslaught of bad polls.

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

Member feature

Trump Already Laying the Groundwork for a Loss

August 14, 2016 · 9:31 am ET · Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

After an absolutely brutal three weeks of unforced errors, the presidential race seems to be moving out of Donald Trump’s reach. And he seems to know it by blaming others for his predicament.

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2016 Campaign, Members Donald Trump

A Deliberate Remix of the Southern Strategy

August 14, 2016 · 8:28 am ET · Leave a Comment

The Atlantic: “But, particularly over the past two months, Trump’s campaign seems less like a haphazard effort, and more like a deliberate and conscious attempt to resurrect these discarded GOP tactics, recasting them for the current moment.”

“One glaring, underreported clue about the method behind the post-primary Trump madness is his selection of Paul Manafort as chair of his national campaign. Manafort’s appointment, followed by the ousting of Corey Lewandowski in June, was widely seen as a move to professionalize Trump’s disorganized campaign staff just ahead of the convention. But along with credentials earned from working with top GOP politicians… Manafort also brought decades of experience as an overseer of the Southern Strategy. Since the 1980s, Manafort’s business partners have included Charles Black, who helped launch the Senate career of outspoken segregationist Jessie Helms, and Lee Atwater, who was behind the infamously racist Willie Horton ads run by the George H. W. Bush campaign.”

“And it was Manafort who arranged for Ronald Reagan to kick off his post-convention presidential campaign at the Neshoba County Fair just outside of Philadelphia, Mississippi, where three young civil rights workers were brutally murdered in 1964.”

2016 Campaign Donald Trump, Paul Manafort

Quote of the Day

August 14, 2016 · 8:16 am ET · Leave a Comment

“It may be that he may make more insensitive statements because he’s not a polished politician.”

— Rudy Giulini, quoted by The Hill, defending Donald Trump.

2016 Campaign Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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