Here are the latest probabilities of Republicans taking control of the U.S. Senate after the midterm elections:

Election Lab: 96%

FiveThirtyEight: 73%

The Upshot: 68%

Princeton: 63%

Darrell West has updated his U.S. Billionaires Political Power Index to include recent election activism, campaign donations, and influence leading up to the 2014 midterms.

National Journal: “In the game of expectations, it’s typical for parties to remain cautiously optimistic before a major election even when everything looks to be going their way. Republicans, however, are nearly gloating.”

Jonathan Chait: “The legislative dynamics in Washington are very simple. Gridlock exists because Obama and House Republicans cannot agree on legislation. If Obama and the House could agree on legislation, their deal would be approved by a Democratic-controlled Senate or by a Republican-controlled Senate. There are no plausible circumstances in which the Senate would block a deal struck between the House and Obama, because, whichever party controls the Senate, its ideological center will sit comfortably inside in the enormous space between Obama and the House Republicans. Ergo, the party that controls the Senate has no impact on legislative outcomes.”

A new SurveyUSA poll in Georgia finds David Perdue (R) leading Michelle Nunn (D) by three points in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 44%.

In the race for governor, Gov. Nathan Deal (R) has a five point lead over challenger Jason Carter (D), 47% to 42%.

A new InsiderAdvantage poll also shows Perdue leading Nunn by three points, 48% to 45%.

While everyone is focused on the battle for the U.S. Senate, John Oliver shows just how much power state legislatures wield while no one is watching.

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“A wave just doesn’t happen. Waves happen when every single member of a cause or a movement come together. This is our time, we need to crush it and push their heads under over and over and over again until they cannot breathe anymore.”

— New Hampshire GOP Chairman Jennifer Horn, quoted by NH Journal, on defeating Democrats in the midterm elections.

The Hill: “Less than 24 hours before Election Day, Republicans have what they want: a referendum on President Obama. GOP candidates are training their closing arguments on Obama, full of confidence that voter dissatisfaction with the White House will punch their ticket to a Senate majority.”

First Read: “Whatever the concern from the voter is, the GOP handed them Obama. Tired of gridlock? Look at Obama. The economy isn’t coming back in your area, look to Obama and his regulations. Democrats did not exactly present an alternative case. The GOP message was clear, even if it hasn’t hit critical mass with the remaining undecided voters who do seem upset at Obama and skeptical of the GOP’s promises of change.”

A new Quinnipiac poll in Connecticut finds that with independent candidate Joe Visconti out of the race for governor, Gov. Dannel Malloy (D) still leads challenger Tom Foley (R) by three points, 47% to 44%.

A new Quinnipiac poll in Florida finds Charlie Crist (D) edging Gov. Rick Scott (R) in the race for governor, 42% to 41%, with Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie at 7%.

A new Quinnipiac poll in Iowa finds Bruce Braley (D) has closed the gap with Joni Ernst (R), leaving the Iowa U.S. Senate race a 47% to 47% tie.

A new WMUR Granite State poll in New Hampshire shows Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) with a two point lead over challenger Scott Brown (R), 47% to 45%.

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Colorado finds Cory Gardner (R) leads Sen. Mark Udall (D) by three points in the U.S. Senate race, 48% to 45%.

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Alaska finds Dan Sullivan (R) leading Sen. Mark Begich (D) in the U.S. Senate race by just one point, 46% to 45%.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) told the Washington Post that he would “push hard for a Republican-led Senate to be as conservative and confrontational as the Republican-led House.”

Cruz said the first order of business should be a series of hearings on President Obama, “looking at the abuse of power, the executive abuse, the regulatory abuse, the lawlessness that sadly has pervaded this administration.”

“A stealthy coterie of difficult-to-trace outside groups is slipping tens of millions of dollars of attacks ads and negative automated telephone calls into the final days of the midterm campaign, helping fuel an unprecedented surge of last-minute spending,” the New York Times reports.

“Much of the advertising is being timed to ensure that no voter will know who is paying for it until after the election on Tuesday. Some of the groups are ‘super PACs’ that did not exist before Labor Day but have since spent heavily on political advertising, adding to the volatility of close Senate and House races.”

“Others formed earlier in the year but remained dormant until recently, reporting few or no contributions in recent filings with the Federal Election Commission, only to unleash six- and seven-figure advertising campaigns as Election Day draws near. Yet more spending is coming from nonprofit organizations with bland names that have popped up in recent weeks but appear to have no life beyond being a conduit for the ads.”

Just days before Tuesday’s election in the tight race for San Diego’s 52nd Congressional District seat, a second former staffer for candidate Carl DeMaio (R) is accusing him of sexual harassment, KPBS reports.

Said former intern Justin Harper: “I was at the urinal, and (DeMaio) came from the stall that was closest to the urinal and was kind of just standing there hovering. I turned around and realized that it was Carl. He had his pants up, but his fly was undone, and he had his hand grasping his genitals. I just walked out. I didn’t say anything to him, I just left.”

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds Republicans “hold a narrow edge on the question of which party likely voters want to control Congress signaling that the GOP heads into Tuesday’s balloting with a breeze, but not a strong wind, at its back.”

“The survey found plentiful evidence that Election Day will draw an electorate that thinks the nation is on the wrong track and dislikes the direction in which President Obama has led the country. With eight or more Senate races considered close, even a slight advantage for Republicans could produce enough victories to give the party the six seats it needs to gain control of the chamber.”