“President Joe Biden resoundingly endorsed Gov. Gavin Newsom against a looming recall vote on Thursday, telegraphing that the White House could come to Newsom’s aid in the race’s critical final weeks,” Politico reports.
Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 193
The Magnificent Seven
Caitlyn Jenner Avoids Talk of Book, TV Deals
Associated Press: “The former Olympian and reality TV personality sidestepped questions about whether she had lined up any lucrative book or TV deals connected to the September recall election that could remove Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom from office.”
Politico: Caitlyn Jenner is back from Australia — and looking for a recall reboot.
Youngkin Regularly Praised Florida’s Pandemic Response
“Virginia’s Republican gubernatorial nominee Glenn Youngkin has repeatedly praised Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in recent months as a model for COVID-19 mitigation efforts, specifically lauding DeSantis’ decision to reopen his state and ban mask-wearing requirements — even in places where large swaths of the population are ineligible for vaccines,” the American Independent reports.
“As recently as Aug. 6, as COVID-19 cases in Florida were surging, Youngkin told right-wing radio host John Fredericks that he supported DeSantis’ continued decision to ban mask wearing requirements in businesses and schools.”
McAuliffe Requires All Staff to be Vaccinated
Former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) has announced his entire campaign team will be required to get vaccinated against Covid-19.
California GOP Won’t Endorse Candidate In Recall
“The California Republican Party voted overwhelmingly Saturday not to endorse any candidate in the looming recall election that could remove Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom from office, sidestepping a potentially nasty fight over a GOP favorite that threatened to divide Republicans and depress turnout in the nationally watched race,” the AP reports.
“The lopsided vote to skip an endorsement — supported by about 90 percent of delegates attending at a virtual party meeting — reflected concerns that an internal feud among candidates and their supporters would cleave party ranks and sour Republicans who wouldn’t bother to vote if their candidate of choice was snubbed.”
Surprise Democrat Leads If Gavin Newsom Recalled
A new SurveyUSA poll gives Kevin Paffrath (D), a YouTuber and real estate broker, 27% of the replacement vote in California’s recall election.
Talk radio host Larry Elder (R) gets 23% of the replacement vote.
Newsom Builds Huge War Chest to Fight Recall
California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) and his allies have raised more than $51 million to fight the attempt to recall him, more than twice as much as every major Republican candidate and pro-recall committee combined, the Los Angeles Times reports.
Youngkin Flamed Out Before Running for Governor
Bloomberg: “After Carlyle’s founders gave him a shot at co-running the firm in 2018, he flamed out. In an industry where leadership teams work together for decades, his co-CEO quickly established dominance, diminishing Youngkin’s clout.”
As Youngkin told Fox News host Tucker Carlson in May: “You know Tucker, this is why I quit my job last summer. I actually could not recognize my home state of Virginia.”
“But at Carlyle the circumstances of his exit aren’t really a secret: He retired after a power struggle that left him in charge of more modest businesses. Current and former employees, asking not to be identified discussing internal business, describe a checkered record at odds with his campaign’s portrayal.”
Quote of the Day
“I am going to work hard to ensure that something like this doesn’t happen to another progressive candidate again. We didn’t lose this race, evil money manipulated and maligned this election.”
— Nina Turner (D), in her concession speech after losing to Shontel Brown (D) in a House special election primary.
Democratic Insider and Trump Republican Win In Ohio
“A Democratic candidate backed by the party establishment and a Republican endorsed by former President Donald J. Trump won two primary races for open House seats in Ohio on Tuesday, an assertion of dominance for the leadership of both political parties as they face questions over unity in their ranks,” the New York Times reports.
“In a Democratic primary in northern Ohio, Shontel Brown, who vowed to be ‘a partner’ with the Biden administration and Speaker Nancy Pelosi, prevailed over Nina Turner, a party outsider who openly rejected the idea that Democrats are more effective through conciliation and compromise.”
“And in a Republican primary near Columbus, Mike Carey, a newcomer to elected office who was largely unknown before being endorsed by Mr. Trump, easily beat out 11 rivals, many of them with much longer records in Ohio politics.”
The Hill: 5 takeaways from Ohio’s special primaries.
Two Special Election Primaries to Watch Tonight
Polls are now closed in two special election primaries in Ohio.
FiveThirtyEight: “Whether you’re a Democrat or a Republican, there’s a major battle over the future of your party taking place today in Ohio. Voters in two Buckeye State congressional districts will go to the polls on Tuesday for a pair of special primary elections that will effectively decide their next congresspeople.”
“In the deep-blue 11th District, Democrats will once again choose between a progressive icon or an establishment stalwart. And in the red 15th District, the power of former President Donald Trump’s endorsement in Republican primaries will be put to the test for the second consecutive week.”
First Read: In Ohio GOP race, local and national politics square off.
Leave your reactions in the comments as results come in.
Newsom Holds Small Lead in Recall Race
A new Core Decision Analytics poll in California finds Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) leading in the recall race 49% to 42% among likely voters.
Among “definite” voters, Newsom leads 50% to 43%.
Quote of the Day
“I’m not even sure what Glenn’s agenda is… but politics is a dirty business, and you’re dealing with a lot of irrational voters.”
— A former colleague of Virginia gubernatorial candidate Glenn Youngkin (R), quoted by the Washington Post.
Two Ohio Primaries Test Direction of Parties
Playbook: “First, the Democrats in the 11th District: Nina Turner began the race to replace now-HUD Secretary Marcia Fudge with a big lead, but Shontel Brown, a local establishment figure, is closing strong. The race boils down to two members of the party’s most loyal demographic, Black women, who offer competing versions of what it means to represent a majority-minority, solid-blue Democratic district: Turner’s combative, pro-Bernie drive to the left, or Brown’s more conventional, work-with-Biden approach.”
“Farther south, Republicans are choosing a new member in the 15th District. Trump made his pick months ago: Mike Carey, a coal lobbyist who’s never run before. But a week after the Trump-endorsed Susan Wright went down in a Republican-vs.-Republican runoff in Texas, the former president’s sway within the GOP is firmly on the line. There are 10 other candidates, including three sitting state lawmakers (one of whom, state Rep. Jeff Lare, is backed by the former incumbent, Steve Stivers).”
“Polls close at 7:30 p.m. Since these are primaries, the winners won’t take office until after the special elections in November. But questions about where the two parties are headed — Democrats’ driving force under Biden, and Trump’s power over the GOP — will be answered tonight.”
Youngkin Says It’s ‘Unclear’ If Trump Will Be Reinstated
Virginia gubernatorial candidate Glenn Youngkin (R) was caught on audio telling a supporter that it’s “unclear” whether Donald Trump will be reinstated by the courts as president.
What Boston’s Mayoral Race Means for Democrats
Axios: “While the Democratic Party is increasingly represented by candidates and elected officials who look more like the places they serve, some are looking to mayoral races in big blue cities like Boston and New York to determine whether the party is looking not just at race but also political philosophy.”
“Several strategists who focus on national mayoral races said that when selecting a mayor, voters typically are looking for a candidate who represents stability, not someone to shake things up.”
Gavin Newsom Crushing Recall Rivals In Ad Spending
First Read: “Newsom & Co. have spent $5.9 million in advertising from July 1 to Aug. 2, while Republicans and recall backers have spent just $27,500 during that same time period.”
“And when you look at future ad buys (from Aug. 3 to Sept. 14), Democrats hold a 150-to-1 advantage, $13.3 million to $86,000.”
“Now we expect those GOP ad numbers to increase over the next six weeks. Still, that’s quite a financial disadvantage in this very expensive state.”
Trump Endorsement Power Faces Another Test in Ohio
“Former President Donald Trump’s power as Republican kingmaker will face another test on Tuesday as a large cast of candidates vie to be the party’s choice for an open congressional seat in Ohio,” Bloomberg reports.
“Trump has endorsed Mike Carey, a coal industry consultant and former lobbyist who’s one of 11 primary hopefuls to replace Representative Steve Stivers in Ohio’s 15th District.”
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