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An Early Test of a Midterm Wave

December 1, 2025 · 12:34 pm ET · Leave a Comment

At the end of Donald Trump’s first year in office, Republicans were stunned to find themselves fighting — and ultimately losing — a U.S. Senate special election in deep-red Alabama.

Eight years later, the GOP is reliving that same uneasy feeling.

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2025 Campaign, Members, Talking Points

How Far Can Democrats Ride the Affordability Argument?

November 29, 2025 · 2:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Aftyn Behn, the Democratic nominee for next week’s special election in a heavily Republican Tennessee congressional district, has made affordability concerns a centerpiece of her campaign messaging – mirroring the playbook of the party’s victorious candidates for governor in Virginia and New Jersey earlier this month,” CNN reports.

“Tuesday’s contest is poised to test just how far Democrats can ride that argument in a district that President Donald Trump carried by 22 points last November.”

2025 Campaign

Trump to Hold Tele-Rally for Tennessee Special Election

November 28, 2025 · 1:52 pm ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson plan to hold a Monday evening tele-rally to boost a Republican candidate in a high-stakes Tennessee special congressional election, Axios reports.

2025 Campaign

New York’s Blue Wave

November 28, 2025 · 10:31 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Zohran Mamdani’s decisive win in New York City — along with key victories in New Jersey and Virginia — suggested Democrats are headed into the midterms from a position of strength. But they didn’t capture how deep that strength ran,” Politico reports.

“Across suburbs, rural counties and small towns in New York, Democrats posted electoral gains that rival — and in many cases surpass — the party’s 2017 ‘Blue Wave.’ In a state with enough competitive House races to decide control of the chamber, the outcome amounts to a wakeup call for already-wary Republicans.”

And just in time for the holidays, the Blue Wave T-Shirt is back.
Taegan

2025 Campaign

Democrats Drop $1 Million Into Tennessee Special Election

November 26, 2025 · 11:28 am ET · Leave a Comment

“House Democrats are jumping into an upcoming special election in Tennessee, dumping $1 million on an increasingly nationalized battle for a deep-red congressional seat as President Donald Trump gets involved in the race,” Politico reports.

“The spending represents a dramatic escalation for national Democrats, who have so far not spent significant cash on the long-shot race.”

2025 Campaign TN-7

Tennessee Special Election Is Close

November 26, 2025 · 6:07 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new Emerson/The Hill survey of the special election for US Congress in Tennessee’s 7th district finds 48% of voters support Matt Van Epps (R) and 46% support Aftyn Behn (D).

2025 Campaign

Democrats Dream of the Unlikeliest of Upsets

November 20, 2025 · 5:52 am ET · Leave a Comment

“A special election for a heavily Republican House seat in Tennessee that was on virtually no one’s political radar a few months ago has surfaced as the unlikely new front in the fight for control of Congress,” the New York Times reports.

“President Trump recently held a telephone rally for the Republican candidate, Matt Van Epps. Former Vice President Kamala Harris appeared at a canvassing event on Tuesday for the Democrat, State Representative Aftyn Behn. And super PACs on both sides are blitzing the airwaves before the Dec. 2 special election for a seat that was drawn with the intention of never being competitive.”

2025 Campaign

Kamala Harris Returns to the Campaign Trail

November 18, 2025 · 4:18 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Former Vice President Kamala Harris plans to make a surprise appearance on Tuesday with the Democratic candidate in a closely watched Tennessee special election for Congress, marking the first time since she left office that she has returned to the campaign trail for another candidate,” the New York Times reports.

2025 Campaign

Why Curtis Sliwa Stayed in the Race

November 17, 2025 · 12:10 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Time: “In the final stretch of the New York City mayoral campaign, Curtis Sliwa says he was offered $10 million by a group of unnamed billionaires to drop out of the race and clear the way for Andrew Cuomo—so great was their fear of a Zohran Mamdani victory.”

“What the people allegedly offering that sum couldn’t have known about Sliwa—a veteran of the cutthroat world of this city’s politics—was that he disliked Cuomo far more than he wanted to be a multimillionaire.”

2025 Campaign

Democrats Could Take the Wrong Lessons from Mamdani

November 14, 2025 · 4:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Charlie Cook: “Without a doubt, Mamdani is a bright, talented, and charismatic young man. If I were a member of the American Association of Political Consultants, I would vote his operation as the ‘Campaign of the Year’ and his manager ‘Campaign Manager of the Year.’ Political operatives should use the Mamdani campaign as a case study in social media and creative marketing.”

“But as interesting as Mamdani is, his victory is hardly important in the grand sweep of national politics. No mayoral race has ever been a harbinger of the direction of American politics or an indication of what would happen in any other election anywhere else. Municipal races, even those in New York City, are fought over totally distinct and highly localized issues, often with idiosyncrasies that non-residents of that city do not appreciate.”

2025 Campaign, Democrats

Special Election Could Test Whether Blue Wave Is Coming

November 14, 2025 · 7:16 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Just about everyone agrees Republicans will win a special House election in a deep-red Tennessee district next month. Both parties are watching the race closely anyway,” NOTUS reports.

“Less than a month after Democrats swept to big victories in November’s races, a special election in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District will offer another chance to gauge the national political climate, testing whether Democrats can continue their political momentum in a federal contest dominated by conservative voters.”

2025 Campaign

Democrats Eye Trump Country for Special Election Surprise

November 13, 2025 · 10:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrats’ sweeping victories last week have the party eyeing gains in even Trumpier territory, where voters in a deep-red Tennessee House seat will soon pick their next member of Congress in a special election,” Politico reports.

“Early voting started Wednesday in Tennessee’s 7th District, a geographically expansive seat that reaches the state’s borders with Kentucky and Alabama and includes swaths of Nashville, to replace retired Rep. Mark Green (R-TN). And Democrats are projecting some optimism in a district President Trump carried by more than 20 points last November.”

2025 Campaign TN-7

Progressive Likely to Be Next Seattle Mayor

November 12, 2025 · 6:32 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Katie Wilson, a staple of Seattle’s progressive politics, who for years toiled behind the scenes of City Hall in pursuit of higher taxes on Amazon and stronger regulations for renters, is likely to be the city’s 58th mayor,” the Seattle Times reports.

Politico: “Wilson, who like New York’s Zohran Mamdani is a self-described socialist, focused her campaign on affordability — highlighting her own struggles to afford life in Seattle.”

2025 Campaign

Bessent Blames Biden for Last Week’s Election Results

November 11, 2025 · 2:49 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told MSNBC today that Democrats are to blame for the affordability crisis that punctuated last week’s elections.

Said Bessent: “We inherited a mess.”

He noted the Trump administration is working to bring prices down and boost working-class wages: “That’s when Americans are going to be feeling good again, and that’s what next November’s election’s going to be fought on.”

2025 Campaign, Economy

Americans See a Government Not Working

November 9, 2025 · 6:16 am ET · Leave a Comment

“U.S. elections are sending a consistent message: Americans are deeply frustrated with their government’s inability to solve problems,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The latest example arrived Tuesday in a rebuke of President Trump, as voters rallied to Democrats in hopes they can better address affordability and other major challenges. That pushback was delivered just 12 months after the president swept all seven of the top battleground states in a show of Republican dominance.”

“The rapid-fire swing in fortunes for both parties is the result of a narrowly divided nation quick to throw out elected officials seen as slow to improve their lives. To many Americans, government is literally not working, as evidenced by a federal shutdown that has now stretched into the longest in U.S. history.”

2025 Campaign

Quote of the Day

November 8, 2025 · 9:53 am ET · Leave a Comment

“I watched that election, which I was not much involved in. I didn’t support Virginia, the candidate. I didn’t do a lot of support for the other candidate. They asked me about Cuomo, and I said, well, it’s a question – do you want a thug or do you want a communist? So I wasn’t involved in that stuff too much.”

— President Trump, quoted by CNN.

2025 Campaign

Democrats’ Election Sweep Goes Far Beyond Big Races

November 8, 2025 · 7:22 am ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Much of the attention Tuesday night focused on the Democrats’ big wins in the Virginia and New Jersey governor’s races, as well as in the New York mayor’s contest.”

“But the party also won hundreds of lower-profile state and local contests — often swamping Republican incumbents with overwhelming turnout, suggesting that voters’ desire to send an a message opposing President Donald Trump was deep and wide.”

2025 Campaign

Quote of the Day

November 7, 2025 · 7:39 am ET · Leave a Comment

“We’re getting calls about polls being closed. They are closed because we do not have elections today. Kentucky votes next year. You cannot vote today in Kentucky for the mayor of New York City or the Governor of Virginia. Sorry.”

— Kentucky Secretary of State Michael Adams (R), quoted by Newsweek, in a note to voters.

2025 Campaign, Election Administration

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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