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Democratic Governors Could Be Party’s Future

December 9, 2024 at 5:17 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democrats are still reeling and reflecting on what went so wrong for their party this year,” NBC News reports.

“But at the Democratic governors’ annual gathering in California, they were in full agreement that something has to change in order for their party — and, in their eyes, hopefully one of them — to have a real shot at the White House in 2028.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

How Old Is Too Old to Be President?

December 9, 2024 at 2:33 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “As the nation’s Democratic governors gathered for a winter meeting in Beverly Hills, Calif., this weekend, they lamented their party’s messaging challenges and grappled with the widespread defeats. But in interviews with roughly 10 Democratic governors and candidates for governor, no one offered an explicit age limit for the next nominee.”

“And some said that age was irrelevant altogether if a candidate appeared to be in strong shape and was connecting with voters.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

Democrats Can’t Just Be About Opposing Trump

December 4, 2024 at 7:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “Donald Trump is never running for President again. Trump has dominated American politics for nearly a decade. He ran for President three consecutive times and was the central figure in every intervening midterm election. Most discourse revolved around him, and he single-handedly drove discussion. Republicans emulated him and Democrats were disgusted by him. I have been writing, podcasting, and posting about him for so long that I hardly remember what it’s like to focus on Republicans who aren’t Trump.”

“But how do we really know he’s not running for President again? Never say never to anything involving Trump. If he could actually force his way onto the ballot again, we have bigger problems than my messaging advice. And in general, it’s a bad idea to orient your strategy around the least likely, worst-case outcomes.”

“Opposing Trump is crucial. Still, we have to stand for something bigger than opposition. Our messaging cannot be so Trump-centric. We must discuss the Republican Party writ large. Trump spent the last eight years attacking Democrats for being out-of-touch elitists who are soft on crime and immigration. We were talking about Trump. He was talking about Democrats. We paid the price.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign, Democrats


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Will Kamala Harris Run Again?

November 26, 2024 at 12:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “Of course normal people want nothing to do with the 2028 election, and won’t until a long time from now. Even most primary voters, who are already a fairly small subset of the electorate as a whole, are unlikely to really engage until the weeks just before their state votes in winter or spring of the election year.”

“But the even smaller group of party actors — the politicians, campaign and governing professionals, formal party officials and staff, volunteers and donors, and party-aligned interest groups and the partisan media who together are the party network?They’re already thinking about it. Not only do many of them care very much who wins the nomination, but they also take part in the even more important re-definition of the party that it goes through when it makes nominations. That includes potential changes in policy positions and priorities; it also includes questions about other ways that various party groups will be represented, and how central they all are to the party as a whole.”

“I do urge people to focus on those questions more than on which candidate winds up as the nominee. But I also know that people naturally do care about the nominee. And for a while now the biggest questions will be about Vice President Kamala Harris. Will she run? If so, how strong a nomination candidate will she be?”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

The Big Decision Facing Kamala Harris

November 25, 2024 at 6:33 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “Her tropical interlude hasn’t been entirely about R&R. Harris has spent a lot of time on the phone since her loss to Donald Trump three weeks ago tomorrow. And she has given all of the allies she has spoken to the same message: ‘I am staying in the fight.’”

“The question she faces is: In what capacity does she plan to do her fighting?”

“Put simply, Harris has two possible tracks should she wish to stake a place at the highest level of Democratic politics: (1) position herself for a 2028 presidential run or (2) pursue a run for California governor in 2026.”

NPR: After Harris’ loss, black female political organizers are unsure what to do next.

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign, 2028 Campaign

Democrats Look to Revamp 2028 Calendar

November 16, 2024 at 10:36 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“With President Joe Biden soon leaving the White House after having dictated the order of states in 2024, Democratic National Committee members are already readying for a fight to reorder the primary contests in the next presidential election,” NBC News reports.

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

Democrats Already Jockeying for 2028

November 16, 2024 at 10:08 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As the dust settles from Vice President Kamala Harris’ defeat at the hands of President-elect Donald Trump, Democrats are already jockeying to emerge as the party’s next leader — looking to shape the opposition response to Trump’s second term and position themselves in the party’s 2028 presidential primary,” NBC News reports.

“In particular, the deep bench of Democratic governors elected in 2018 and 2022 has the benefit of distance from President Joe Biden’s administration and the ability to take on Trump with state executive authority in the coming years — a step several potential contenders are already taking in special legislative sessions, the launch of new advocacy groups and chest-beating statements.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

How Democrats Can Retool Their Message

November 13, 2024 at 11:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Martin: “It sounds odd, but the scale of Vice President Kamala Harris’ defeat may double as a silver lining. By losing all seven battleground states, suffering their first popular vote loss in two decades and, most importantly, watching President-elect Donald Trump prevail with a working-class coalition that was once their own, Democrats have an opportunity to turn despair into action.”

“Unlike 2016, when they won the popular vote while losing by a sliver in the swing states, or 2020, when they rebounded and won both, Democrats now have a mandate for change. And not just on tactics or points of emphasis: the breadth of their defeat, and the number of voters who abandoned them, present the party an opening to rethink their orientation around affinity group politics.”

“The question is whether they’ll be emboldened or cower when one of ‘the groups,’ as identity-based organizations are invariably called, speaks up. But the reward is alluring. Whoever can retain the party’s traditional commitments to the most vulnerable and appeal to those voters who just rejected Harris will emerge as the Democrats’ strongest 2028 nominee and perhaps the next president.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

The 2028 Shadow Primary Is Umderway

November 11, 2024 at 6:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Josh Shapiro is already fielding calls from Democratic Party leaders in Pennsylvania urging him to run for president. Gavin Newsom held a Friday call with about 50,000 people in his small-donor network and called a special legislative session designed to Trump-proof California. And Pete Buttigieg is set to tout his Cabinet accomplishments in a series of events as he winds down his official role,” Politico reports.

“Democrats are only a few days into recriminations over why they blew the presidential race. But conversations and moves by ambitious Democrats focused on 2028 have already begun.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

Far-Right Trump Supporters Celebrate

November 6, 2024 at 2:38 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump will be the next president of the United States, and the same far-right extremists emboldened by his first administration are celebrating his win with violent memes and threats,” Wired reports.

“Many of the social media posts reviewed by Wired reveled in fantasies of Trump locking up and even executing his political opponents in revenge.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

Vance Mostly Helped Himself Last Night

October 2, 2024 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Last: “Vance had mostly nice things to say about Tim Walz. He wasn’t mean at all. When Walz talked about his son being near a school shooting, Vance expressed his sympathy and said, ‘Christ have mercy’ while shaking his head.”

“He didn’t say MAGA once. He implied that Obamacare was good, while Trump’s official policy still seems to be that it should be repealed. He accepted the reality of climate change and acknowledged that some unnamed Republicans needed to ‘earn back; the trust of Americans on the subject of abortion.”

“He was young and svelte and perfectly deferential to Trump. So perfectly that it felt a little cloyingly. Almost like he was putting the shine on the old man.”

“I doubt Vance did anything meaningful to help Trump’s electoral prospects. But he absolutely helped his own prospects for 2028, or 2032, or whenever Trump leaves the scene.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

DeSantis to Meet With Iowa Republicans

July 15, 2024 at 12:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is expected to speak at an Iowa Republican Party event during the GOP convention in Milwaukee on Wednesday,” Bloomberg reports.

“DeSantis’ presence at the lunch event is seen as a key sign of his interest in running for president in 2028… Historically, presidential candidates have wooed Iowans during the GOP conventions in advance of their White House bids.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

Andy Beshear Quietly Eyes 2028

June 22, 2024 at 11:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Beshear’s talent for projecting compassion, including to Republicans, helps explain how the Democrat pulled off 2023’s most impressive political feat. Last November, Beshear was resoundingly re-elected in his deep-red Southern state, despite facing a strong opponent amid a sour national mood. Kentucky went for Trump by 26 points in 2020 and will likely post similar numbers in this year’s vote. Yet the 46-year-old Beshear, whose mild-mannered demeanor belies his political cunning, has only gotten more popular: In the latest Morning Consult rankings, his 65% approval rating made him the most popular Democratic governor in the country.”

“That record has drawn the attention of national Democrats, who widely see Beshear as a potential contender for the 2028 presidential nomination. Beshear has quietly begun making contact with national donors, and some have made pilgrimages to the state to size him up.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

Brian Kemp Plots His Next Steps

May 29, 2024 at 7:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Gov. Brian Kemp is no die-hard Donald Trump supporter after clashing with the former president for much of the past three years. And he’s steered clear of increasingly MAGA-fied Georgia GOP events since 2022,” the Atlanta Journal Constitution reports.

“So why is he headed to the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee in July?”

“The second-term governor doesn’t have a formal speaking slot during the four-day event, and he may not get one. But he aims to continue to build his influence, both within and without MAGA world, as he contemplates whether to challenge Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff in 2026 or run for president in 2028.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign, 2028 Campaign

Brian Kemp Builds Up Political Operation

May 28, 2024 at 6:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp sat out the 2024 presidential primary as other ambitious Republicans tried to topple Donald Trump. Now, the popular swing-state governor is building up his political operation, not only helping a handful of candidates in tight across the country, but cultivating influence ahead of his own possible future run,” Politico reports.

“And he will attend the Republican nominating convention in Milwaukee this summer.”

“The Georgia Republican, a rare GOP politician who stood up to Trump and emerged from the tangle unscathed, has maintained that he would support the Republican nominee for president, but had not disclosed any plans to attend the party’s convention this July. Kemp has been particularly selective about his political activities over the last several years, and hasn’t attended a Trump rally since 2020.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

Jared Polis Won’t Rule Out 2028 Presidential Bid

February 22, 2024 at 2:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Colorado Gov. Jared Polis (D) “did not rule out a 2028 presidential bid when pressed about his future plans,” Politico reports.

Said Polis: “This is a job a little different than a senator in Congress, where you kind of have a little more time to think about things. You’re really running things day to day in your states. There’s very little time, nor should people in those kinds of positions, to be thinking about three, four years out.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

Trump Plans to Make Ron DeSantis a ‘Political Eunuch’

February 8, 2024 at 10:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“After a year of getting roundly humiliated by Donald Trump and failing to unseat him as the leader of the Republican Party, Ron DeSantis finally dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump’s bid to reclaim the White House. But while the former president publicly retired his ‘DeSanctimonious’ nickname, Trump has privately made clear over the past two weeks that he’s not ready to let go of his grudge against the Florida governor and former ally,” Rolling Stone reports.

“According to two sources with knowledge of the matter and another person briefed on it, the former president and 2024 GOP frontrunner has continued to ridicule DeSantis in conversations with close associates, saying that the governor doesn’t have what it takes to be the party’s ‘future.'”

“One of the sources, who has spoken to the ex-president about this topic recently, bluntly characterizes Trump’s attitude on DeSantis’ future as wanting to turn ‘Ron into a political eunuch’ who never gets to be president, much less lead his party. In months past… Trump privately insisted that if DeSantis truly wishes to earn his forgiveness, the Florida governor would have to ‘kiss my ass, a lot.'”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign, 2028 Campaign

Kamala Harris Lays Groundwork for 2028

February 3, 2024 at 11:04 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Ms. Harris’s trip, as well as her college tour last year and an ongoing circuit to defend abortion rights and promote the Democratic agenda, also served two larger purposes: working to shore up Mr. Biden’s lingering vulnerabilities with Black voters and young voters, and keeping the first woman and first woman of color to serve as vice president at the forefront for the next presidential contest in 2028.”

Filed Under: 2028 Campaign

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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