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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 193

The Magnificent Seven

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 193: The Magnificent Seven

Vance Deletes Post Recognizing Armenian Genocide

February 10, 2026 · 4:18 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Vice President JD Vance’s X account posted and then deleted a recognition of the Armenian genocide after he paid his respects at a memorial in the country on Tuesday,” CNN reports.

Political History

Clinton Didn’t Win Because He Moved to the Center

February 10, 2026 · 10:00 am ET · Leave a Comment

G. Elliot Morris: “An alternative theory of the 1992 election is that Bill Clinton won because the economy was terrible and voters blamed the incumbent, not because he moved to the right on crime, welfare, and race.”

“If that’s true, then almost any Democrat could have won in 1992. Perhaps the Democrats could do more for their constituents if they stop looking in the rear mirror.”

Political History

Member feature

Why Trump Failed the Reagan Test

January 28, 2026 · 10:21 am ET · Leave a Comment

At the start of Donald Trump’s second term, something remarkable was happening beneath the surface of American politics.

Democrats, long defensive on immigration, were finally conceding reality. Party leaders were acknowledging the failures at the border and drifting toward the center.

Read the rest of this column

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Members, Political History, Talking Points, White House

Democratic Fundraiser Honored Nazi Grandfather

January 27, 2026 · 11:29 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Kelly Neumann, a prominent Michigan Democratic fundraiser who is supporting several major Democratic candidates in the state, shared a social media post on Veterans Day in 2024 honoring her grandfather, who served in the Nazi regime’s army in World War II,” Jewish Insider reports.

Political History

Skeletal Remains of Former Mayor Washed Up on Beach

January 14, 2026 · 11:34 am ET · Leave a Comment

The remains of a former Oregon mayor Edwin Asher have been identified two decades after his disappearance, according to the forensics laboratory that helped confirm the ID, CBS News reports.

Political History

Labor Department Post Echos Nazi Slogan

January 13, 2026 · 4:57 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A social media post from the Department of Labor appears to echo a Nazi-era slogan from the early 20th century, USA Today reports.

The post: “One Homeland. One People. One Heritage. Remember who you are, American.”

It was an alarming echo of one of the central slogans used by Adolf Hitler and the Nazi Party: “One People, One Realm, One Leader.”

Political History

Quote of the Day

January 8, 2026 · 1:13 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“It  would probably be the biggest mistake any president has made in the history of this country. For us to threaten them, especially with force, that we’re just gonna take your stuff; we’re gonna take your territory—is that who we’ve become? That’s Russia. We are not that kind of a nation.” 

— Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ), in an interview with The Atlantic, on President Trump threatening to take over Greenland.

Foreign Affairs, Political History

Capture of Maduro Draws Comparison to Noriega

January 3, 2026 · 10:10 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in an overnight raid bears resemblance to Manuel Antonio Noriega’s capture, in which the elite U.S. Delta Force seized the Panamanian strongman in 1990 and flew him to Florida to face drug trafficking charges, 36 years ago to the day,” the Washington Post reports.

Political History

Member feature

Arguing With Voters About the Economy Never Works

December 22, 2025 · 9:48 am ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump is engaged in a familiar and usually futile exercise: trying to persuade voters that the economy is better than they think it is.

That argument never works.

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Talking Points is my analysis of the political landscape, written only for Political Wire members.

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Economy, Members, Political History, Talking Points

Member feature

Trump’s ‘Malaise’ Moment

December 18, 2025 · 7:38 am ET · Leave a Comment

Jimmy Carter’s presidency is often remembered for a single speech.

In 1979, facing an energy crisis, Carter went on national television to talk about more than gas lines and oil prices. He warned of a deeper malaise — a country consumed by self-indulgence, fractured by cynicism, and adrift without a shared sense of purpose.

Read the rest of this column

Talking Points is my analysis of the political landscape, written only for Political Wire members.

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Members, Political History, Talking Points

History Is Against Republicans in the Midterms

December 14, 2025 · 9:21 am ET · Leave a Comment

Charles Franklin: “In the House, the president’s party has lost seats in all but four midterms since 1862, and one of those, 1902, was a year the House expanded so the Republican gains fell short of Democratic gains that year. After 1934 it wasn’t until 1998 that the president’s party gained seats, then the rare event repeated in 2002. Not since.”

“This regularity over 160 years is hard to attribute to the circumstances of the moment. Likewise the hope that ‘this year will be different’ has been a forlorn one. The size of the seat loss, on the other hand, has varied considerably and is correlated with presidential approval (Clinton in 1998 and Bush in 2002 were unusually popular, as was Roosevelt in 1934) and the state of the economy. Popular presidents lose fewer seats, unpopular ones more. Good times go with smaller losses, bad times with greater losses.”

2026 Campaign, Political History

Echoes of a 1930s Supreme Court Battle

December 7, 2025 · 6:18 am ET · Leave a Comment

“A new president with a bold agenda, determined to exert control over government agencies to carry it out. An agency head who refused to quit, rejecting the president’s demand that he resign and insisting Congress had protected his job to keep it independent from politics,” the New York Times reports.

“Long before President Trump declared he had the power to fire independent agency leaders, the United States experienced a nearly identical test of presidential power.”

“The president then was Franklin D. Roosevelt, who wanted to oust a member of the Federal Trade Commission he believed was an obstacle to his sweeping plan to pull the nation out of the Great Depression.”

Political History

The Fate of the Day

November 26, 2025 · 11:10 am ET · Leave a Comment

A must-read: The Fate of the Day by Rick Atkinson.

New York Times: “This book — the second in his planned trilogy about the American Revolution — offers an exceptional chronicle of the middle years of that multifront war. It is so compulsively readable that despite its length — around 800 pages — it’s difficult to put down.”

The first book is also incredible.

The Fate of the Day
The War for America, Fort Ticonderoga to Charleston, 1777-1780 (Revolution Trilogy, 2)
by Rick Atkinson · Crown · 2025
Buy on Amazon
Hardcover·Kindle

Political Books, Political History

Black Moses

November 25, 2025 · 2:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A must-read: Black Moses by Caleb Gayle. 

New York Times: “The gripping story of Edward McCabe — a businessman, politician and big-dream idealist who, in the wake of the Civil War and the disappointments of Reconstruction, tried to create an all-Black state in the newly opened territory of Oklahoma.” 

Black Moses
A Saga of Ambition and the Fight for a Black State
by Caleb Gayle · Riverhead Books · 2025
Buy on Amazon
Hardcover·Kindle

Political Books, Political History

Quote of the Day

November 23, 2025 · 4:22 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“I think it would go down, frankly, as a historically bad deal, rivaling Neville Chamberlain giving in to Hitler before World War II.”

— Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA), on Fox News, on President Trump’s proposed peace deal for Ukraine.

Foreign Affairs, Political History

Reminders of an Earlier Era

November 21, 2025 · 2:30 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Richard Haass: “I am just back from the nation’s capital, where I went to attend the memorial service for Dick Cheney at the National Cathedral. It was good to hear the tributes to an individual committed to public service, and the image of two former presidents (Bush and Biden) along with three former vice presidents (Gore, Pence, and Harris) sitting together comfortably made for a welcome reminder of another Washington.”

“The absence of anyone from the Trump administration underscored that the principal divide in today’s Washington is less between Republicans and Democrats than it is between traditionalists prepared to work within the existing political system and radicals who favor breaking long-standing norms and policies.”

Political History

How Trump Gets Away With It

November 17, 2025 · 12:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Clark Hoyt: “Recall how Watergate unfolded. Burglars paid by the Nixon reelection campaign bugged telephones at the Democratic National Committee headquarters in Washington’s Watergate complex. They were caught in the act after a night watchman discovered tape over a door latch and called the police. The scandal broadened and climbed, revelation by revelation—much of it through the reporting of journalists, The Washington Post’s Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein.”

“A bipartisan Senate Watergate Committee was formed and held hearings, trying to find the truth. It was a Republican senator, Howard Baker of Tennessee, who kept asking two key questions: ‘What did the president know, and when did he know it?’ A witness revealed that there was an Oval Office taping system that recorded the conversations there. A unanimous Supreme Court ordered Nixon to turn over the tapes to a special prosecutor appointed by his own Justice Department.”

“The president, having previously refused, then complied. A ‘smoking gun’ tape revealed that Nixon had plotted to block investigators as he campaigned for reelection. The leaders of his own party in Congress went to the White House to tell him that he was almost certainly going to be impeached and convicted. And Nixon was soon on that helicopter leaving office.”

“It’s hard to imagine any of this happening today. The checks on the presidency have all grown weaker.”

Political History

Trump Scoffs at France Celebrating ‘Victory Day’

November 11, 2025 · 1:36 pm ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump was recently thrown off by France and other countries celebrating “Victory Day” to commemorate the end of World War II, saying it was ridiculous they had such a special day but the U.S. didn’t, considering America won the war for them, Mediaite reports.

He added: “And I said, from now on, we’re going to say Victory Day for World War I and World War II, and we could do it for plenty of other wars. But we’ll start with those two.”

Political History

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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