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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 191

Blue Wave Update

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 191: Blue Wave Update

What Graham Platner Did Wrong

June 2, 2026 · 11:49 am ET · Leave a Comment

Maine U.S. Senate candidate Graham Platner (D) had pulled off something almost unheard of.

The oysterman-turned-politician had effectively pushed a sitting Democratic governor out of the race before a single vote had been cast.

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2026 Campaign, Members, Talking Points

Trump Is Making the Midterms About Himself

June 1, 2026 · 1:35 pm ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump said recently he “doesn’t care about the midterms.”

The remarkable thing is that he’s governing as if he really means it.

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Members, Talking Points

A Few Thoughts on Graham Platner’s Latest Controversy

May 31, 2026 · 8:57 pm ET · Leave a Comment

The latest controversy surrounding Maine U.S. Senate candidate Graham Platner (D) — sexually explicit texts sent to a woman who was not his wife — is exactly the sort of story Democrats hoped to avoid in a race they must win.

But with Gov. Janet Mills (D) already ending her campaign before next week’s primary, Democrats may not have much choice but to make their peace with Platner.

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2026 Campaign, Members, Talking Points

One Party Has a Boss

May 28, 2026 · 9:28 am ET · Leave a Comment

The best way to understand politics in this era may still be Will Rogers’ famous line: “I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Democrat.”

As David Weigel points out, the 2026 primaries in Texas and California show why.

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Members, Talking Points

The Leftward Lurch That Wasn’t

May 26, 2026 · 8:46 am ET · Leave a Comment

The conventional wisdom about Democrats in the Trump era is that the party has lurched hard to the left — and, in the process, pushed away the more moderate voters it needs to win.

But the data doesn’t really support that story.

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Members, Talking Points

Trump’s Grip Starts to Slip

May 22, 2026 · 8:34 am ET · Leave a Comment

Donald Trump’s biggest problem right now may not be Democrats.

It may be Senate Republicans.

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Members, Talking Points

Republicans Learned What Democrats Forgot

May 21, 2026 · 10:19 am ET · Leave a Comment

The leaked DNC autopsy report includes plenty of brutal findings about why Democrats lost the 2024 election.

But the most devastating conclusion is also the simplest: Republicans are just better at politics.

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Members, Talking Points

Trump Picks Winners, Then Losers

May 20, 2026 · 2:06 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Two things are true at the same time.

Donald Trump can end a Republican political career with a simple Truth Social post.

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Members, Talking Points

Should Democrats Impeach Trump Again?

May 20, 2026 · 11:54 am ET · Leave a Comment

If Democrats win the House in the midterms, finding grounds to impeach Donald Trump won’t be difficult.

The harder task may be deciding where to stop.

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Members, Talking Points

A Brazen Trump Windfall

May 20, 2026 · 9:52 am ET · Leave a Comment

It’s easy to become numb to the conflicts of interest and casual corruption that have defined the Trump administration.

But even by those standards, this is breathtaking.

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Corruption, Members, Talking Points

The AI Backlash Arrives

May 20, 2026 · 8:50 am ET · Leave a Comment

An extraordinary finding from the latest Gallup poll: Americans don’t just dislike the idea of AI data centers in their communities — they overwhelmingly reject it.

Gallup finds 70% of Americans oppose building AI data centers in their local area, including 48% who are “strongly opposed.” Just 25% are in favor.

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Members, Talking Points, Technology

Primaries in Five States Today

May 19, 2026 · 12:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Five states hold primaries today, with several races worth watching.

The marquee contest is in Kentucky’s 4th congressional district, where Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) is trying to survive a Trump-backed challenge from retired Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein.

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Members, Talking Points

When ‘Safe’ Seats Are No Longer Safe

May 18, 2026 · 1:58 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new New York Times/Siena College poll finds President Trump’s approval rating has fallen to just 37%.

But that may not be the most important number in the survey.

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Members, Talking Points

The Republican Collapse Has Begun

May 18, 2026 · 11:33 am ET · Leave a Comment

Today’s New York Times/Siena College poll underscores the problem Donald Trump poses for Republicans heading into November.

His overall approval rating is just 37% — right in line with other recent surveys showing a president badly underwater.

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Members, Talking Points

How Democrats Can Reverse Trumpism

May 14, 2026 · 3:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Assuming Democrats can win back Congress and the White House by 2028, they will face an immediate question: How much of Donald Trump’s damage can actually be undone?

Democrats must begin planning a sweeping pro-democracy agenda.

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Democracy, Members, Talking Points

Nebraska Democrats Play It Smart

May 13, 2026 · 7:14 am ET · Leave a Comment

Republicans may still have the upper hand in the redistricting wars, but Democrats got a hardball win in Nebraska last night.

Instead of wasting energy on a long-shot Democratic Senate bid, party leaders effectively cleared the lane for Dan Osborn, the independent who appears to have the best chance of giving Sen. Pete Ricketts (R-NE) a serious race in November.

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2026 Campaign, Members, Talking Points

A Complete and Total Defeat

May 11, 2026 · 2:17 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Robert Kagan has written one of the most bracing assessments yet of the Iran War, arguing that the United States has already “suffered a total defeat.”

His argues the predicament facing Washington has no real precedent in American history and can “neither be repaired nor ignored.”

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Members, Talking Points

The Map Wars Turn Against Democrats

May 7, 2026 · 8:07 am ET · Leave a Comment

Two weeks ago, Democrats had reason to think the redistricting wars were finally breaking their way.

Virginia voters had approved a referendum that could allow Democrats to redraw the state’s congressional map — with the possibility of flipping as many as four House seats.

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Members, Redistricting, Talking Points

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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