A new Gallup poll finds voters trust Democratic Party over Republican Party on the problem they consider most important, 44% to 33%.
Patrick Ruffini: “This measure happens to have an almost perfect track record of predicting election outcomes — more than pre-election horserace polls. It predicted 2016 and 2024. The parties tied in 1980 and the question wasn’t asked in 2000. The last outright miss was 1948.”

