Roll Call and the Rothenberg Political Report are collaborating on a new 2014 midterm race ratings map.
Wonk Wire shows how hard it is to predict the economic tides.
Salon: “Conservatives in the Senate have spent weeks and weeks hectoring House Republicans to stand true to GOP principles and make funding for the federal government contingent upon Democrats agreeing to defund Obamacare.”
“It’s about to blow up in their faces, and probably turn several of their more moderate colleagues into collateral damage.”
“You have never in the history of the United States seen the threat of
not raising the debt ceiling to extort a president or a governing
— President Obama, quoted by MSNBC.
A Texas Court of Appeals has overturned the conviction of former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-TX), KHOU reports.
“DeLay was convicted in 2010 for his alleged role in a scheme to influence Texas elections. He was found guilty of money laundering and conspiracy to commit money laundering after he was accused of helping funnel corporate money to Texas candidates in 2002.”
First Read anticipates the most likely scenario to end the budget standoff:
“If Boehner doesn’t have the votes to be the negotiator here, a small group of Senate Republicans (think McCain, Graham, Corker etc.) work with the White House and Senate Dems for a compromise deal, and then Boehner throws in the towel and allows the House Democrats to provide a majority of the votes. It’s how every other showdown has ended so it’s the most likely ending this time. But can Boehner survive doing this again?”
“As readers of my past columns know, I was not exactly optimistic as we
approached crunch time over the debt limit in 2011. But I am far more
pessimistic now. At a dinner I attended Monday night with a host of
those individuals deeply involved in fiscal matters, it became clear
that there are no talks going on now–neither formal nor back channel–to
avoid a series of crises over spending and the debt ceiling. The House
majority is in profound disarray, unable to muster majorities for
anything on the spending front as the new fiscal year approaches.”
He concludes: “We are careening toward economic disruption triggered by
outrageous demands that jeopardize the economy and endanger the most
vulnerable among us. Shameful is the only way to describe it.”
Meanwhile, David Hawkings has a more optimistic view of how the current standoff could end.
“Forget the high-stakes showdown over a spending bill to keep the federal government from shutting down,” USA Today
“When it comes to political dysfunction of this Congress,
Exhibit A is unfolding in the Senate over a modest, bipartisan
energy-efficiency bill. Sponsored by Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH) the
legislation has become entangled in a nasty debate over completely
unrelated issues — including ‘Obamacare’ and prostitution allegations.
The spat has even sparked an ethics complaint raising allegations of
bribery and intimidation.”
“We reached a turning point, and we have to speak for our base that isn’t being heard any more. There isn’t unanimity anymore; you can’t deliver a bloc…. Blind loyalty–I don’t think that’s an option anymore. People are going assert what they think is best for their base, their district, and more importantly, how the Democrats are going to look going into 2014.”
— Rep. Raul Grijalva (D-AZ), quoted by National Journal, on liberal Democrats starting to take on President Obama.
A new Suffolk Poll in Boston shows John Connolly leading the mayoral race with 16%, just head of Martin Walsh and Daniel Conley who are deadlocked at 12%.
Said pollster David Paleologos: “Since the July poll, Councilor-at-large John Connolly has opened up a little distance from the pack. If the undecided voters continue to fall in the same proportion as they have over the past two months, Connolly may be the only candidate who breaks through the magical 20 percent threshold, which would earn him a place on the final ballot for mayor.”
Rep. John Fleming (R-LA) told Politico that “nothing happens” if the debt ceiling is reached.
Said Fleming: “Technically, it’s not possible to default because there’s always enough revenue to cover the interest. If we defaulted it was because the president chose to default, not because we ran out of money.”
Bob Woodward’s notes of his discussions with “Deep Throat” during the Watergate crisis are now posted online.
Karl Rove: “A shutdown now would have much worse fallout than the one in 1995. Back then, seven of the government’s 13 appropriations bills had been signed into law, including the two that funded the military. So most of the government was untouched by the shutdown. Many of the unfunded agencies kept operating at a reduced level for the shutdown’s three weeks by using funds from past fiscal years.”
“But this time, no appropriations bills have been signed into law, so no discretionary spending is in place for any part of the federal government. Washington won’t be able to pay military families or any other federal employee. While conscientious FBI and Border Patrol agents, prison guards, air-traffic controllers and other federal employees may keep showing up for work, they won’t get paychecks, just IOUs.”
“Going down that road would strengthen the president while alienating independents. It is an ill-conceived tactic, and Republicans should reject it.”
Los Angeles Times: “The ambitious U.S.-Russian deal to eliminate Syria’s chemical weapons, hailed as a diplomatic breakthrough just days ago, hit its first delay Wednesday with indications that the Syrian government will not submit an inventory of its toxic stockpiles and facilities to international inspectors by this weekend’s deadline.”
Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) published an op-ed in Pravda taking aim at Russian President Vladimir Putin: “They punish dissent and imprison opponents. They rig your elections. They control your media.”
But it was the wrong Pravda, CNN reports.
“The Pravda McCain had publically said he wanted to be published in is one of the oldest Russian newspapers, founded in 1912… Pravda.ru, the news outlet that actually published McCain’s piece, is an electronic news website founded in 1999. Even though the website also bears the name Pravda, it is not connected to Pravda newspaper. The website has English and Russian editions and covers everything from politics to fashion and celebrities.”