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Sessions Did Not Disclose Meetings with Russians

May 24, 2017 at 7:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Attorney General Jeff Sessions “did not disclose meetings he had last year with Russian officials when he applied for his security clearance,” CNN reports.

“The new information from the Justice Department is the latest example of Sessions failing to disclose contacts he had with Russian officials. He has come under withering criticism from Democrats following revelations that he did not disclose the same contacts with Kislyak during his Senate confirmation hearings earlier this year.”

Top Russians Discussed How to Influence Trump Aides

May 24, 2017 at 5:46 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“American spies collected information last summer revealing that senior Russian intelligence and political officials were discussing how to exert influence over Donald Trump through his advisers,” the New York Times reports.

“The conversations focused on Paul Manafort, the Trump campaign chairman at the time, and Michael Flynn, a retired general who was advising Mr. Trump.”

“Details of the conversations, some of which have not been previously reported, add to an increasing understanding of the alarm inside the American government last year about the Russian disruption campaign.”

It Was Never a Health Care Bill

May 24, 2017 at 5:12 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

This chart in the latest CBO report on the impact of Republican health care plan shows that the bill is essentially $874 billion in tax cuts and $119 billion in deficit reduction paid for by a $993 billion reduction in health care spending.

There’s no indication in the report that the bill improves any health care measure at all.

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GOP Health Bill Would Leave 23 Million Uninsured

May 24, 2017 at 4:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The CBO finds that the health-care bill that passed the House would leave 23 million more Americans uninsured by 2026, the Washington Post reports.

“The new estimate, which reflects a series of last-minute revisions Republicans made in order to win over several conservative lawmakers and a handful of moderates, calculates that the American Health Care Act will reduce the federal deficit by $119 billion between 2017 and 2026.”

Bloomberg: “The CBO said in its projection that more people will get insurance but that the coverage under those plans would be less generous. In some cases, people would use tax credits under the law to buy plans that don’t cover major medical risks.”

David Nather: “But CBO is warning Congress that the latest changes — letting states opt out of two of the ACA’s main insurance regulations — could ruin the insurance markets in those states even if they make insurance cheaper for healthy people.”

For members: It Was Never a Health Care Bill

Bonus Quote of the Day

May 24, 2017 at 3:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I think poverty to a large extent is also a state of mind.”

— HUD Secretary Ben Carson, quoted by the Washington Post.

Fake Document May Have Spurred Comey

May 24, 2017 at 3:37 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In the midst of the 2016 presidential primary season, the FBI received a purported Russian intelligence document describing a tacit understanding between the campaign of Hillary Clinton and the Justice Department over the inquiry into whether she intentionally revealed classified information through her use of a private email server,” the Washington Post reports.

“Current and former officials have said that document played a significant role in the July decision by then-FBI Director James Comey to announce on his own, without Justice Department involvement, that the investigation was over. That public announcement… set in motion a chain of other FBI moves that Democrats now say helped Trump win the presidential election.”

“But according to the FBI’s own assessment, the document was bad intelligence… possibly even a fake sent to confuse the bureau.”

Cruz Says Franken is ‘Obnoxious’ for Insulting Him

May 24, 2017 at 3:32 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) called Sen. Al Franken (D-MN) “obnoxious and insulting” for devoting an entire chapter to the Texas GOP senator in Franken’s new book titled Giant of the Senate, according to Politico.

Said Cruz: “Al is trying to sell books and apparently he’s decided that being obnoxious and insulting me is good for causing liberals to buy his books. I wish him all the best.”

What Special Elections Are Telling Us

May 24, 2017 at 2:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Wasserman: “The results of individual special elections… can’t always foretell what will happen in the next high-stakes midterm. Each district presents its own unique set of variables, like flawed candidates or dreadfully unpopular governors.”

“But taken collectively, the margins in specials can tell us a good deal about the political environment — and it’s looking really bad for Republicans.”

“So far, between KS-04 and GA-06, Democrats are outperforming their ‘generic’ mark by an average of 9.5 points. That’s really, really bad for Republicans.”

Spicer Left Out of Vatican Visit

May 24, 2017 at 2:41 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump’s entourage at the Vatican “included his wife, his daughter, and an array of staffers—but not White House press secretary Sean Spicer, a devout Catholic who told reporters earlier this year that he gave up alcohol for Lent,” Politico reports.

“Both sides, according to a White House official, agreed to limit the number of staffers who attended. Two other senior communications aides from the White House were included: Hope Hicks, who like Melania and Ivanka Trump wore a black veil over her hair, and Dan Scavino, the White House director of social media and a longtime Trump loyalist.”

Most Think Trump Is Abusing His Office

May 24, 2017 at 2:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll finds American voters believe that President Trump is abusing the powers of his office by a 54% to 43% margin.

He also has a dismal 37% to 55% approval rating.

Meanwhile, voter opinions of most of Trump’s personal qualities remain negative:

  • 59% say he is not honest;
  • 57% say he does not have good leadership skills;
  • 56% say he does not care about average Americans;
  • 65% say that he is not level-headed;
  • 64% say that he is a strong person;
  • 62% say that he does not share their values.

Trump’s Base Is Shrinking

May 24, 2017 at 2:04 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver: “There’s been a considerable decline in the number of Americans who strongly approve of Trump, from a peak of around 30 percent in February to just 21 or 22 percent of the electorate now. (The decline in Trump’s strong approval ratings is larger than the overall decline in his approval ratings, in fact.) Far from having unconditional love from his base, Trump has already lost almost a third of his strong support.”

“And voters who strongly disapprove of Trump outnumber those who strongly approve of him by about a 2-to-1 ratio, which could presage an ‘enthusiasm gap’ that works against Trump at the midterms. The data suggests, in particular, that the GOP’s initial attempt (and failure) in March to pass its unpopular health care bill may have cost Trump with his core supporters.”

McConnell Still Doesn’t See Path for Obamacare Repeal

May 24, 2017 at 1:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) told Reuters that he “has yet to hit upon a formula for repealing Obamacare and replacing it with a new healthcare program.”

Said McConnell: “I don’t know how we get to 50 votes at the moment. But that’s the goal.”

“He declined to provide any timetable for producing even a draft bill to show to rank-and-file Republican senators and gauge their support.“

Trump Companies Not Tracking Foreign Payments

May 24, 2017 at 12:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Just days before taking office, President Trump promised to donate all profits earned from foreign governments back to the United States Treasury to avoid the appearance of impropriety.”

“But MSNBC has learned the Trump Organization  is not tracking all possible payments it receives from foreign governments, according to new admissions by Trump representatives.  By failing to track all foreign payments it receives, the company will be hard-pressed to meet Trump’s pledge to donate foreign profits, and could even increase its legal exposure.”

We Don’t Need a CBO Score to See Political Suicide

May 24, 2017 at 12:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

While lawmakers on Capitol Hill wait for the CBO score for the revised GOP health care bill that recently passed the House, we know one thing: The new analysis will still find that at least 14 million people will lose their Medicaid coverage.

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19 House Races Shift Towards Democrats

May 24, 2017 at 11:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Roll Call: “We’ve changed our ratings in 19 races, including adding nine GOP-held seats to the list of competitive races and dropping one Democratic seat… after the Republicans’ best potential candidate declined to run.”

“That means Republicans are now defending 39 seats on the list of competitive races compared to just 14 currently held by Democrats. That disparity isn’t as large as prior to the 2010 elections when Democrats were defending 100 competitive seats and Republicans just nine, but just as it’s possible for the Republicans’ electoral prospects to improve, they could also get much worse.”

$17 Million Spent on Montana Special Election

May 24, 2017 at 11:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Campaign spending in Montana’s U.S. House race is surging in the final days with significant amounts placed on getting out the vote,” the Helena Independent Record reports.

“Campaign spending has surged deep into record territory, with at least $17 million flowing into the race from the campaigns and outside groups hoping to influence the nationally watched contest. Republicans are significantly outspending Democrats, according to donation and expenditure reports filed in the last weeks of the campaign.”

GOP Lawmaker Says DNC Hack May Have Been ‘Inside Job’

May 24, 2017 at 11:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Blake Farenthold (R-TX) told CNN that the attack of the Democratic National Committee servers may have been done by Democratic staffers.

Said Farenthold: “There’s still some question as to whether the intrusion at the DNC server was an insider job, or whether or not it was the Russians.”

When pressed on this claim, Farenthold said there is proof “circulating on the Internet.”

Flynn Gets Hit with House Subpoenas Too

May 24, 2017 at 11:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The House of Representatives will join the Senate in slapping subpoenas on Michael Flynn, Politico reports.

Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA) also said the committee was now receiving responses to requests for information from other witnesses. He declined to name those witnesses but said the committee ‘may be sending out subpoenas in tranches.'”

Axios: “Both the House and the Senate committees’ continued efforts to subpoena Flynn suggest that they’re not giving up on this just yet. And that’s further reflected in the Senate Intelligence Committee’s subpoenas from yesterday that targeted Flynn’s businesses, which they believed couldn’t be protected by the Fifth Amendment.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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