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Trump ‘Stands By’ Allegations About Obama

March 16, 2017 at 5:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

White House press secretary Sean Spicer said that President Trump “stands by” his allegation that former President Obama “ordered wiretapping surveillance of Trump Tower last fall,” the Washington Post reports.

“Earlier Thursday, the Republican and Democratic leaders of the Senate Intelligence Committee said their investigation into the matter so far has turned up no evidence that the U.S. government had conducted surveillance on Trump Tower in New York, either before or after the election on Nov. 8.”

GOP Lawmakers Push Back on Trump Budget

March 16, 2017 at 5:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Defense hawks, rural conservatives and even some of Donald Trump’s most vocal supporters in Congress sharply criticized the president’s first budget proposal on Thursday, pushing back on the huge potential hike in defense spending as insufficient and decrying some other cuts to federal agencies and programs.”

“Capitol Hill Republicans, however, did not seem terribly worried about the prospect of such a budget being enacted, stating matter-of-factly that it is Congress, after all, that controls the purse strings.”

Sean Hannity Once Pulled a Gun on Juan Williams

March 16, 2017 at 5:32 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN: “Last year, after ending one of his many spirited on-air arguments with liberal contributor Juan Williams, Hannity pulled out a gun and pointed it directly at Williams, according to three sources with knowledge of the incident. He even turned on the laser sight, causing a red dot to bob around on Williams’ body. (Hannity was just showing off, the sources said, but the unforeseen off-camera antic clearly disturbed Williams and others on set.)”

“For the record: Hannity’s colleagues brought the Williams incident to the attention of Fox News executives, though it’s not clear whether anything came of it. The sources said it went to Bill Shine, the longtime Fox News executive who handles sensitive personnel issues at the network, who is Hannity’s longtime friend and a former producer. Shine now serves as the network’s co-president.”

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Trump Appointees Finding It Hard to Divest Assets

March 16, 2017 at 2:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Members of Donald Trump’s cabinet are obliged to sell more than $1 billion worth of assets to prevent conflicts of interest, a process that is proving difficult and time-consuming. A Wall Street Journal review of those needed sales shows almost three-quarters of the total is held in illiquid assets such as real estate, closely held companies and stakes in private-equity funds, likely extending the time necessary to unwind the positions.”

“The process is leaving some Trump administration officials facing potential restrictions on the work they can do until the sales are completed, under rules requiring them to recuse themselves from issues that might benefit them financially. Some of the assets being sold involve investments in industries that cabinet members are now charged with overseeing.”

Nationalism vs. Libertarianism Defines Internal GOP Fight

March 16, 2017 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ron Brownstein: “The Trump administration’s early weeks have been a delicate minuet between these contrasting perspectives, which can be simplified as nationalism and libertarianism. Trump has emphasized nationalism in his own actions, including executive orders withdrawing from the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement, escalating efforts to deport undocumented immigrants, and restricting immigration from initially seven—now six—Muslim-majority nations. During the campaign, Ryan criticized all of those ideas. But since Trump’s victory, the speaker has defended them.”

“But as the health-care debate shows, the seams are more visible on questions related to federal spending. Trump struck the first blow in late February when he previewed his three-pronged guidance for the federal budget. Trump aligned with Ryan and other congressional Republicans by promising to increase defense spending and severely cut domestic discretionary programs… But Trump decisively departed from libertarian Republicans by reaffirming his campaign pledge to block cuts to Medicare and Social Security.”

Democrats Have a Path to Retake the House

March 16, 2017 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Democrats have a path to winning a House majority next year, but that possibility is highly dependent on variables over which they have effectively no control. That’s the takeaway from our initial ratings of 2018’s House races, a list that is heavy on Republicans who start this cycle only mildly endangered.”

“Historically, the president’s party loses ground in a midterm: That’s what happened in 36 of the 39 midterms since the Civil War. American political history is dotted with elections where the president’s party suffered big losses because of a bad economy (1930, 1938, 1958, and 2010 are all examples), unpopular wars (1950, 1966, and 2006), scandal (1974), or other factors.”

“If a wave is developing, we may be able to track it through President Trump’s approval rating (particularly if it falls into the 30s) and/or the House generic ballot. Watch to see if the latter metric, which measures national opinions on how voters intend to vote in their local House race, starts to show a significant Democratic lead approaching double digits in polling averages. Those are the kinds of numbers it’s probably going to take for Democrats to crack the GOP’s House majority, which is protected both by the power of incumbency and by favorable district lines in many key states.”

Debt Ceiling Creates New Headache for Republicans

March 16, 2017 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The legal limit on how much the United States government can borrow returns on Thursday, potentially setting up an intense political battle in Congress,” The Hill reports.

“Lawmakers will have until sometime this autumn to raise the debt ceiling before the Treasury runs out of ways to make essential payments, putting the nation at risk of its first-ever debt default.”

“The debt limit is a major test for the Trump administration and Republican congressional leaders who’ve sought major spending cuts before previous increases in the debt ceiling.”

Some Republicans Skeptical of Building Border Wall

March 16, 2017 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans are showing increasing reluctance to build a wall on the U.S.-Mexico border, even as President Trump prepares to ask Congress to include billions for one of his signature campaign promises in his first budget proposal since taking office,” the Washington Post reports.

“Key GOP senators expressed concerns this week about who would foot the bill for the wall, with some bluntly voicing doubts that Mexico will cover it, as Trump has vowed. Even among those open to the idea of a wall, many spoke about it in less than enthusiastic tones.”

Trump’s Agenda May Ride on Health Care Bill

March 16, 2017 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “This will all come toe a head next week. That’s when Republican leadership expects to put the health-care replacement bill to a vote.”

“Remember: they have little room for error. More than 20 defections will kill this bill, and they are getting close to that number. AND… If the White House takes its foot off the gas here, legislating over the next few years will become nearly impossible. Trump needs this victory to show that, when his White House is engaged, it can win.”

Trump Says His White House Is Most Productive Ever

March 16, 2017 at 9:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump “touted his first two months in office as the most productive ever for a president and compared himself to President Andrew Jackson during a raucous rally Wednesday in Nashville that resembled the campaign that catapulted him into office,” the Tennessean reports.

“Drawing roars from the thousands in attendance, Trump slammed a Hawaii federal judge’s decision from earlier in the day that temporarily halted the administration’s new attempt to ban much travel from six majority Muslim countries…Trump vowed to fight for his travel ban, appealing the ruling to the U.S. Supreme Court if necessary while floating the idea of reissuing the original ban…”

“Leading up to Trump’s speech, health care had been expected to be the focus, but he didn’t approach the issue until nearly a half-hour into his remarks.”

Quote of the Day

March 16, 2017 at 8:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Let’s see whether or not I proved it. You looked at some proof. I mean, let’s see whether or not I prove it. I just don’t choose to do it right now.”

— President Trump, in a Fox News interview, on allegations he made that President Obama ordered wiretaps of Trump Tower during the presidential campaign.

Trump’s Budget Stuck In the Mud

March 16, 2017 at 8:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “The budget that President Trump sent to Congress Thursday sums up his first eight weeks in office. It’s bold, brash, boisterous — and not going anywhere.”

“The problem? ‘It’s dead on arrival,’ Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said last month, objecting to the cuts in State Department funding. What’s more, Republicans will need 60 votes to erase the budget caps in military spending put in place by sequestration. And while all it takes are simple majorities to pass a budget resolution bill, the White House and the GOP Congress will need 60 votes to eventually spend/cut money through the appropriations process. Oh, and you could argue that this Trump budget outline might make it harder for Congress to pass ANY budget resolution — which will be needed to get the reconciliation protection to pass the tax cuts that Trump and congressional Republicans want.”

GOP Senators Hoping Health Care Bill Fails in House

March 16, 2017 at 8:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A growing number of GOP senators are hoping the House fails to pass its bill to repeal and replace ­Obamacare so they won’t be blamed for killing it in the upper chamber,” The Hill reports.

“Support for the House legislation has ‘disintegrated’ in the Senate, according one Republican senator who requested anonymity to discuss internal conference politics. It will require substantial revisions to win the support of moderate Republicans in the upper chamber — something that will likely make it unacceptable to conservatives.”

David Nather: “The White House and House Republican leaders have one urgent mission in the coming days: get those Republican holdouts back on board the Obamacare repeal train. They’re trying to do it by making concessions to the conservatives — though they don’t seem to be in sync on which ones they’re willing to make. And some of the changes could hurt them in the Senate, but the top priority right now is to just get it through the House.”

Playbook: “The only play right now is to get this bill through the House. The Senate is going to drastically change the legislation — some think it will never get through the other chamber. So Ryan and the White House’s focus at this point is how to get it through the House.”

Trump Misses Again on Travel Ban

March 16, 2017 at 8:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rick Klein and Shushannah Walshe: “It feels like deja vu. President Trump’s revised travel ban was blocked once again, this time by a federal judge in Hawaii who Wednesday issued a nationwide temporary restraining order on one of the president’s signature initiatives.”

“This version was, no doubt, harder to challenge in court, but because the plaintiffs came back to the fact they believe this was a discriminatory Muslim ban, thanks to not just Miller’s comments, but the president himself while on the campaign trail last year, it’s going to expose any version of this policy, watered down or not, to a court challenge. And it’s not just Hawaii, early Thursday morning, a Maryland judge blocked the executive order’s 90-day pause on the issuance of visas to citizens of six Muslim majority countries. The question now is what does the administration do? We should get more of those answers today.”

Perez Begins Overhaul of DNC

March 16, 2017 at 7:52 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News: “To guide his transition process, Perez on Wednesday tapped a wide range of Democrats for a transition advisory committee that will work over the next month or so to provide advice and recommendations. The 30 members of the committee were selected to represent and highlight the party’s broad coalition, from former Alaska Sen. Mark Begich to Black Lives Matters activist Deray McKesson to former South Carolina Gov. and DNC Chair Don Fowler to undocumented immigrant activist Astrid Silva.”

“And in a nod to Bernie Sanders allies, the committee includes freshman Rep. Pramila Jayapal, who won an election last year in Washington state with the backing of the Vermont senator.”

Clinton Ally Sees No Sign of Trump-Russia Collusion

March 16, 2017 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Former Acting CIA Director Michael Morell, who endorsed Hillary Clinton and called Donald Trump a dupe of Russia, cast doubt Wednesday night on allegations that members of the Trump campaign colluded with Russia,” NBC News reports.

“Morell, who was in line to become CIA director if Clinton won, said he had seen no evidence that Trump associates cooperated with Russians. He also raised questions about the dossier written by a former British intelligence officer, which alleged a conspiracy between the Trump campaign and Russia.”

Nunes Says No Evidence to Support Trump’s Claims

March 15, 2017 at 8:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA), the Republican chairman of the House Intelligence Committee who has been one of the few defenders of Trump’s claims, made clear that there is zero evidence to suggest Trump Tower was wiretapped, the Washington Post reports.

Said Nunes: “I don’t think there was an actual tap of Trump Tower.”

He added that if you are taking Trump’s tweets literally — which he said you shouldn’t do — then “clearly the president was wrong.”

Dutch Liberals Projected to Beat Wilders’s Party in Election

March 15, 2017 at 8:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte’s Liberals easily beat the anti-Islam Freedom Party of Geert Wilders in Wednesday’s election, an exit poll showed, as voters responded to Rutte’s plea to send a signal on halting the spread of populism,” Bloomberg reports.

“The Liberal Party is projected to take 31 seats in the 150-seat lower house of parliament compared with 19 seats for the Freedom Party… Wilders’s party has to share second place with the Christian Democrats and centrist D66, both of which are also forecast to get 19 seats.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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