In his closing ad before Mississippi’s U.S. Senate seat run off on November 27, Mike Espy (D) deftly ties Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith’s (R) “public hanging” remarks to potential harm to Mississippi’s state economy.
Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 194
What Just Happened?
Trial Balloon · Ep. 194: What Just Happened?
Five Friends Are Now State Senators
People: “They are longtime friends who have been bridesmaids in each other’s weddings, worked for and with each other for years, and supported one another with daily text chains and phone calls. And on Nov. 6, these five Democratic women candidates each won their state Senate races by double digits in Colorado, with their wins flipping the Senate from red to blue for the first time since 2013.”
Democrats Close to Flipping 40 House Seats
“Democrats are on the cusp of flipping 40 seats in the House, solidifying what many prognosticators had long anticipated: a blue wave,” the Washington Examiner reports.
More than two weeks after Election Day, TJ Cox (D) trails Rep. David Valadao (R) by just 447-votes in California’s 21st congressional district.
Nate Silver: “We’re moving CA-21 to Lean D. Obviously going to be very close, but these late ballot updates keep coming in on pace with what Cox (D) would eventually need to win by a couple tenths of a point.”
David Wasserman: “T.J. Cox (D) now has a better than even chance to defeat Rep. David Valadao (R) in #CA21 and give Dems a 40 seat gain.”
Control of Alaska House Hinges on Tied Race
“It could come down to a coin toss: A race that may decide control of the Alaska House of Representatives is now tied,” the Anchorage Daily News reports.
“According to complete pre-recount figures released by the Alaska Division of Elections on Wednesday afternoon, Republican candidate Bart LeBon and Democratic candidate Kathryn Dodge have each earned 2,161 votes in the race for Alaska House District 1.”
Woodall Hangs On to Win In Georgia
Rep. Rob Woodall (R-GA) barely survived his re-election against Carolyn Bourdeaux (D), prevailing in a recount two weeks after Election Day, Roll Call reports.
Democrats’ Vote Margin Largest Since Watergate
“Not since the Watergate scandal have Democrats run up such a large margin of victory in midterm House races,” NBC News reports.
“With votes continuing to be tallied more than two weeks after Election Day, Democrats hold a lead over Republicans in the House popular vote by more than 8.6 million votes.”
“That’s the largest total victory in a midterm House election since Democrats defeated Republicans by more than 8.7 million votes in 1974, just months after President Richard Nixon resigned from office in disgrace.”
Indicted Congressman Declares Victory
Rep. Chris Collins (R-NY) declared victory in his bid to hold onto his Buffalo-area district, Roll Call reports.
Buffalo News: “The final tally means that barring any further action, Collins succeeded in preserving the 27th District for the GOP even after his Aug. 8 indictment on federal charges of insider trading. It also means that the 27th District, the most Republican of any district in New York State, remained in the Republican column by the slimmest of margins.”
Challenger Nate McMurray (D) tweeted to supporters: “Enough condolences guys. Cheer up! You’d think I was indicted and going to jail or something.”
Mississippi Senate Race Comes Down to Turnout
Cook Political Report: “Republicans are fairly confident they will win, though they acknowledge that the race has closed and Hyde-Smith is ahead by just five points… There hasn’t been a public poll released in the race since the middle of October.”
“The biggest unknown in this race is the degree to which voters are engaged enough to head to the polls. They are certainly being bombarded with ads across all media platforms, but they are also thinking about Thanksgiving, college football, Black Friday bargains and holiday decorating. Where does going to the polls on the Tuesday after Thanksgiving fit on that list of priorities?”
“The odds of Hyde-Smith winning this contest are far greater than of Democrats pulling an upset, but observers might be surprised by how close the margin ends up being. The race will remain in the Lean Republican column.”
Hyde-Smith Apologizes for ‘Public Hanging’ Remark
Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) “apologized on Tuesday for making a comment about public hangings, but accused her black Democratic opponent in a special election runoff of twisting her words for political gain,” Reuters reports.
“The comment set off a furor in Mississippi, a state scarred by a history of racism and violence against blacks, including lynching. Until Tuesday, Hyde-Smith had refused to apologize or explain the remarks.”
Democrats Lead In House Popular Vote by Nearly 8 Points
According to David Wasserman, Democrats now have a 7.8 percentage point lead in the House popular vote, 53% to 45.2%.
First Read: “What were the national House vote margins in the midterm wave years of 1994, 2006 and 2010? Try R+7 points, D+6.4 points and R+6.6 points, respectively.”
Nate Silver: “There shouldn’t be much question about whether 2018 was a wave election. Of course it was a wave.”
Democrats Flip House Seat In New York
The race for New York’s 22nd congressional district “appears to be over,” with Anthony Brindisi (D) widening his lead over Rep. Claudia Tenney (R), the Utica Observer Dispatch reports.
Brindisi’s lead is now more than remaining votes to be counted in Oneida County.
Hyde-Smith Insisted No Audience or Press at Debate
Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) “demanded there be no audience or outside press allowed at tonight’s U.S. Senate debate and requested other restrictions, the Jackson Free Press reports.
“When she faces off against Democratic challenger Mike Espy at 7 p.m., only the debate moderator, panelists and the production team will be allowed in the auditorium—a requirement the Hyde-Smith campaign pushed for and the Espy team argued against.”
Democrat Requests Recount In Close Georgia Race
“The Democrat challenging Rep. Rob Woodall (R-GA) has filed an official request for a recount with state election officials after certified results show her trailing by only a few hundred votes,” the AP reports.
“Carolyn Bourdeaux (D) submitted the request to the Georgia secretary of state’s office Tuesday, saying the razor-thin margin in the race for the Atlanta-area 7th District seat deserves a second count.”
Hyde-Smith Posted Photo of Herself In Confederate Hat
Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) posed for a photo wearing a Confederate soldier’s hat and holding a rifle in a Facebook post that surfaced Tuesday, Politico reports.
“Hyde-Smith took the photo during a 2014 visit to the Jefferson Davis Home and Presidential Library… Davis was the president of the Confederacy during the Civil War, and his former estate now includes a library and museum in his honor.”
Walmart Wants It Campaign Contribution Back
Walmart asked Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) to return its campaign donation after the retail giant was criticized for supporting the lawmaker after she made controversial comments about attending a hypothetical “public hanging,” CNBC reports.
Democrats Flip House Seat In New Mexico
Xochitl Torres Small (D) is the apparent winner of a hotly contested House race for New Mexico’s 2nd House District, according to NBC News, defeating Yvette Herrell (R) and flipping the previously Republican-held district blue.
McAdams Declares Victory In Utah
Ben McAdams (D) declared victory in his race against Rep. Mia Love (R-UT) — after he gained a 739-vote lead in ballot updates from Utah and Salt Lake counties, the Salt Lake Tribune reports.
“Love did not yet concede, and a few votes still remain uncounted in the two big counties before their vote canvasses Tuesday formally conclude two weeks of tallying ballots. But McAdams said even his small lead is insurmountable with the few ballots remaining to be counted.”
Mississippi Senate Race Devolves Into Racial Melee
“Republicans hoped to spend the final days of the special election in Mississippi coronating Cindy Hyde-Smith as the first woman to represent the state in the Senate. Instead, the race has become a bare-knuckle brawl infused with ugly racial politics,” Politico reports.
“Hyde-Smith’s comments about attending a public hanging and suppressing liberal votes — remarks she maintained were made in jest — have upended a contest that a week ago was seen as a mere formality for the GOP.”
New York Times: “Facing an uproar in a state divided by race and deeply scarred by a history of lynchings carried out against African-Americans, Ms. Hyde-Smith has since retreated from the campaign trail, ducking reporters’ questions and declining to apologize.”
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Taegan Goddard
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.
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