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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 194

What Just Happened?

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 194: What Just Happened?

A More Bitterly Divided Nation

November 8, 2018 · 11:10 am ET · Leave a Comment

Molly Ball: “The President’s party typically loses ground in midterm elections because only the opposition is roused to anger. But these were not typical midterms: turnout surged to levels not seen in decades for a nonpresidential contest. In 2018 it wasn’t only Democrats who were riled up—Republicans, too, came out at high levels, perhaps vindicating Trump’s strategy of ginning up his core supporters with race-based and culture-war appeals. The nation didn’t come together in agreement; it drew further apart. America remains, as Trump revealed it to be two years ago, an angry and divided country whose citizens blame one another for its ills.”

2018 Campaign

Kemp Resigns as Georgia Secretary of State

November 8, 2018 · 10:28 am ET · Leave a Comment

Georgia gubernatorial candidate Brian Kemp (R) says he is resigning as secretary of state, the AP reports.

Kemp declared victory in the governor’s race because he claims it isn’t possible for opponent Stacey Abrams (D) to pick up enough votes to force a runoff. But Abrams says there are still enough uncounted votes to force a Dec. 4 runoff and that they need to pick up about 15,000 votes to do so.

2018 Campaign GA-Gov

McCaskill Blames Fox News for Her Defeat

November 8, 2018 · 10:16 am ET · Leave a Comment

Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) told the New York Times that the impact of Fox News on voters in her state led to her reelection defeat.

Said McCaskill: “It’s time we all quit dancing around what is now a state-owned news channel.”

2018 Campaign, Media Buzz MO-Sen

Democrats Won More House Seats Than In 2006

November 8, 2018 · 9:55 am ET · Leave a Comment

First Read: “It appears that Democrats are on their way to netting more than 35 House seats — a bigger pickup than the some 30 seats the party gained in the 2006 midterms and the most for them since the post-Watergate 1974 midterms.”

2018 Campaign

The Still Uncalled Races

November 8, 2018 · 9:38 am ET · Leave a Comment

There are a handful of races either too close to call or headed to runoff, per First Read:

  • House: CA-10, CA-29, CA-45, CA-48, CA-49, GA-7, ME-2, MN-1, NM-2, NC-9, NJ-3, UT-4
  • Senate: AZ-Sen, FL-Sen, MS-Sen
  • Governor: GA-Gov

Roll Call has more details on the uncalled races.

2018 Campaign

Florida Placed Some Polling Stations In Gated Communities

November 8, 2018 · 9:15 am ET · Leave a Comment

WLRN reports on one voting station that was moved to a building inside a private gated community that was previously housed at a community center.

Said one voter: “To even get in to the gate you needed to show an ID, before you even got to the polling place itself.”

And it wasn’t the only one: “Other sites across the state are seeing issues with access due to polling locations located inside gated communities with private security.”

2018 Campaign, Election Administration Florida

Two Americas Even Wider Apart

November 8, 2018 · 8:01 am ET · Leave a Comment

Ron Brownstein: “With Tuesday’s House wins, Democrats have established a commanding position in diverse, white-collar, information-age suburban seats around the country. Conversely, after the election, the Republican caucus now tilts even more preponderantly toward districts that are more white, less affluent, and less well-educated than the national average.”

“The result is a widening trench between the parties in the House that encapsulates the growing distance between a Democratic coalition centered on minorities, Millennials and college-educated white voters, most of them clustered in urban areas, and a competing GOP coalition that revolves around evangelical, rural and blue-collar whites who often live beyond it.”

2018 Campaign

A ‘Wipeout’ for House Republicans in Northeast

November 8, 2018 · 7:16 am ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “In New Jersey, voters slashed the number of Republicans in Congress from five down to two, and possibly only one.”

“In New York, Democrats declared victory in three congressional races in President Trump’s home state, ejecting the last remaining Republican from New York City.”

“And in the six other states in the Northeast, the lone remaining Republican congressman, Representative Bruce Poliquin of Maine, was clinging to his seat on Wednesday, his fate to be decided by the second choices of third-party voters through ranked-choice voting.”

2018 Campaign

Democrats’ Gain Was More Impressive Than It Appears

November 7, 2018 · 9:22 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “It wasn’t necessarily the night of either party’s dreams. The Democrats are poised to gain around 35 seats after Tuesday’s elections. Republicans seem likely to gain a few seats in the Senate, and they triumphed in some high-profile governor’s races.”

“But Democrats faced formidable structural disadvantages, unlike any in recent memory. Take those into account, and 2018 looks like a wave election, like the ones that last flipped the House in 2010 and 2006.”

2018 Campaign

Tester Wins In Montana

November 7, 2018 · 1:03 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) was re-elected to third term, defeating Matt Rosendale (R), the Associated Press reports.

Vox: “It’s a blow to Trump, who has been furious at Tester for months because of the senator’s role in the defeat of Trump’s scandal-plagued VA secretary nominee Ronny Jackson. Tester, the top Democrat on the Senate Veterans Affairs Committee, went public about allegations that Jackson drank on the job and improperly gave out medication — and Trump was eventually forced to withdraw the nomination.”

2018 Campaign MT-Sen

Trump Trashes GOP Candidates Who Sought Distance

November 7, 2018 · 12:45 pm ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump ripped losing Republican candidates who had distanced themselves from him during the midterms, NBC News reports.

Said Trump: “Mia Love gave me no love, but then she lost. Too bad.”

He listed several other GOP lawmakers he said rejected his “embrace” before falling to Democratic opponents: Reps. Carlos Curbelo in Florida; Mike Coffman in Colorado; Peter Roskam in Illinois and Barbara Comstock in Virginia, among them.

2018 Campaign

Green Party Spoiled Arizona Senate Race

November 7, 2018 · 12:12 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Arizona’s former Green Party Senate candidate Angela Green is defending herself against accusations that she has spoiled the Democrat’s chances of winning the race,” the Washington Post reports.

“While the race is still too close to call, Republican nominee Martha McSally currently leads Democratic nominee Kyrsten Sinema by 15,908 votes (with 99.3 percent of precincts reporting). Green got more than twice that amount, 38,597 votes, despite dropping out of the race less than a week before Election Day — too late for her name to be removed from the ballot.”

2018 Campaign AZ-Sen

Stacey Abrams Still Hoping for a Runoff

November 7, 2018 · 12:10 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Stacey Abrams, the Democratic nominee for governor of Georgia, continued Wednesday to hold out hope for a runoff with Republican Brian Kemp, who saw his lead shrink a bit overnight, but was still ahead with more than 50 percent of the vote,” the Washington Post reports.

“Kemp was just over 15,000 votes above the threshold to avoid a runoff, said Lauren Groh-Wargo, Abrams’s campaign manager, who estimates there are at least that many outstanding mail-in ballots that have yet to be counted in Democratic-leaning counties.”

2018 Campaign GA-Gov

A Triumph Over Gerrymandering

November 7, 2018 · 10:48 am ET · Leave a Comment

Walter Shapiro: “The new Democratic House majority — and the almost certain return of Nancy Pelosi as speaker — represents a triumph over gerrymandering. Not too long ago political orthodoxy decreed that the Republicans would control the House until after the 2020 Census because the district lines were so artfully drawn by the GOP after the Democratic wipeout in the 2010 elections.”

“Instead, the 2018 House elections were a belated vindication of Hillary Clinton’s failed 2016 strategy of pitching herself to college-educated suburban Republican women. These women were Clinton’s target audience when she maladroitly described half of Trump supporters as ‘a basket of deplorables’ because of their ‘racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic’ views.”

“As Trump in the White House fulfills every dire prophecy about his vitriolic fear mongering, affluent suburbs are increasingly becoming part of the permanent Democratic coalition.”

2018 Campaign

Florida Senate Race Headed for a Recount

November 7, 2018 · 10:35 am ET · Leave a Comment

A recount will be conducted in Florida’s hard-fought U.S. Senate race after challenger Rick Scott’s (R) lead over Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) fell below the threshold of half of one percent, the Gainesville Sun reports.

Said Nelson: “We are proceeding to a recount.”

2018 Campaign FL-Sen

GOP Tax Law Authors Take a Beating

November 7, 2018 · 10:27 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Tuesday was a rough night for authors of the GOP tax law,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Four Republican members of the Ways and Means Committee who all touted the law on the campaign trail lost their seats. Mike Bishop of Michigan, Carlos Curbelo of Florida, Erik Paulsen of Minnesota and Peter Roskam of Illinois won’t return to Congress next year.”

2018 Campaign, Budget & Taxes

Democrats Take Control of Maine Government

November 7, 2018 · 10:26 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Maine Democrats have gained control of the state’s Legislature, growing their majority in the House of Representatives and recapturing a decisive majority in the state Senate,” the Portland Press Herald reports.

“The victories for Democrats Tuesday mark the first time in six years that one party has gained control of all three branches of state government, with the historic win by Janet Mills, who became the state’s first woman to be elected governor in a decisive victory over Republican businessman Shawn Moody.”

2018 Campaign ME-Gov

Lamont Wins for Connecticut Governor

November 7, 2018 · 10:20 am ET · Leave a Comment

Ned Lamont (D) will be the next governor of Connecticut, the Hartford Courant reports.

Bob Stefanowski (R) conceded the race for governor Wednesday morning after late returns from the state’s cities pushed Lamont to victory.

2018 Campaign CT-Gov

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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