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Most Counties Have Seen Increased Democratic Support

March 5, 2019 · 5:05 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Brookings study finds that 83% of the voting population lived in counties where support for Democrats has improved since 2016.

“This increased Democratic support was not confined to traditional Democratic base counties. It occurred in suburbs, smaller metropolitan and rural counties, and most noticeably, in counties with concentrations of older, native-born and white residents without college degrees. Moreover, at the state level, enough states flipped from Republican majorities in the 2016 presidential election to Democratic majorities in the 2018 House elections to project a 2020 Democratic Electoral College win.”

“Trump won more than 270 Electoral College votes, based on winning support from states such as Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. All of those states registered Democratic advantages in their 2018 House elections.”

2018 Campaign

Bonus Quote of the Day

March 3, 2019 · 11:29 am ET · Leave a Comment

“There’s no one that could factually say there’s not plenty of evidence of collaboration or communications between Trump Organization and Russians.”

— Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA), in an interview with NBC News.

2018 Campaign

Cruz Says Lack of Border Wall Cost GOP the House

March 1, 2019 · 11:41 am ET · Leave a Comment

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) claimed that Republicans wouldn’t have lost the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections had Congress more aggressively pushed border wall funding earlier, adding that Democrats are only opposed to a barrier along the southern border because they “hate” President Trump, Politico reports.

Said Cruz: “If they had taken that advice, if we had had that fight, and you had seen Elizabeth Warren screaming on the Senate floor to stop it, Bernie Sanders pulling what little hair he has out of his head. In September, October, and it culminated with Republicans standing together funding and building the wall. I don’t think we would have lost the House of Representatives.”

2018 Campaign, Immigration

GOP Operative Charged In North Carolina

February 27, 2019 · 11:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

McCrae Dowless, the political operative who emerged as a central figure in the investigation into irregularities in North Carolina’s 9th congressional district, was arrested and charged with a series of charges related to his handling of absentee ballots in the 2016 general election and 2018 primary, WRAL reports.

2018 Campaign NC-9

Hawley Used State-Owned Car for Campaign Travel

February 26, 2019 · 3:46 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“An employee of the Missouri attorney general’s office occasionally drove Josh Hawley to campaign-related events in a state-owned car, an arrangement that raises new questions about Hawley’s use of taxpayer-funded resources in the run up to his successful bid for U.S. Senate,” McClatchy reports.

“Hawley’s use of a state-owned car stands in contrast to how Missouri’s other statewide elected officials say they utilize such vehicles.”

2018 Campaign Josh Hawley, MO-Sen

McCready Will Run Again In North Carolina

February 22, 2019 · 2:27 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Dan McCready (D) kicked off his campaign for a new 9th congressional district election in North Carolina, saying the people of the district need representation, the Charlotte Observer reports.

Asked whether opponent Mark Harris (R) had disqualified himself from the election during the fraud investigation, McCready said, “That’s a question for the people to decide. I think he’s going to need a few days.”

2018 Campaign NC-9

Harris Calls for New Election In North Carolina

February 21, 2019 · 2:55 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Mark Harris (R) called for a new election in North Carolina’s disputed 9th congressional district race, the Washington Post reports.

The North Carolina State Board of Elections is hearing evidence this week to decide whether a suspected ballot-tampering scheme tainted the outcome where Harris leads Dan McCready (D) by 905 votes in unofficial returns.

2018 Campaign NC-9

Candidate’s Son Warned Father About Operative

February 20, 2019 · 7:47 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The son of Republican congressional candidate Mark Harris testified Wednesday that he warned his father repeatedly that he believed a political operative now at the center of an election-fraud investigation had previously used illegal tactics to win votes,” the Washington Post reports.

“John Harris, now an assistant U.S. attorney in Raleigh, said he advised his father in conversations and emails that he believed Leslie McCrae Dowless was ‘shady’ and appeared to have illegally collected absentee ballots in 2016 while working for a different Republican candidate in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District.”

2018 Campaign NC-9

Investigators Find Fraud In North Carolina Election

February 18, 2019 · 6:43 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“State election officials in North Carolina said that a political operative for Republican Mark Harris orchestrated a ‘coordinated, unlawful, and substantially resourced absentee ballot scheme’ in the 9th Congressional District last year, hiding evidence of the operation as it unfolded and obstructing the state’s investigation after the election,” the Washington Post reports.

“Those explosive charges opened an evidentiary hearing in Raleigh Monday, where the North Carolina State Board of Elections began listening to witness testimony to decide whether enough ballots were tampered with to taint the outcome of the 9th District race.”

The Charlotte Observer has more on the hearing.

2018 Campaign NC-9

Officials to Decide Fate of Disputed House District

February 18, 2019 · 9:35 am ET · Leave a Comment

“North Carolina’s board of elections will dig into fraud allegations in the state’s disputed 9th Congressional District on Monday, kicking off hearings that could prompt a new election this year,” Politico reports.

“The district has gone without a congressman this year after the board declined to certify the 2018 election results amid accusations that McCrae Dowless, an operative hired by Republican Mark Harris’ campaign consultants, organized an illegal scheme to collect and mark absentee ballots. Harris led Democrat Dan McCready by 905 votes on election night, but both candidates spent the next three months in political limbo.”

2018 Campaign

North Carolina Officials Will Consider Fate of House Seat

February 16, 2019 · 7:33 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Investigators on Monday will begin revealing the breadth of an alleged ballot-tampering scheme in North Carolina, launching a potentially bitter and partisan battle over how to fill a congressional seat that has remained vacant since January,” the Washington Post reports.

“The election has been in limbo since November, when evidence surfaced that a political operative paid by Republican candidate Mark Harris had assembled a crew of election workers to collect mail-in ballots from voters, a felony in North Carolina. With Harris leading Democrat Dan McCready by just 905 votes, the board declined to certify the results and launched a wide-reaching investigation instead.”

2018 Campaign NC-9

Harris Says Background Check Failed to Find Felonies

February 11, 2019 · 5:01 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Mark Harris (R), in the nation’s last undecided congressional election, told the AP that “he recruited a political operative now at the center of a ballot fraud investigation because he produced election results in his rural North Carolina county and other Republicans vouched for him.”

“Harris said he didn’t know before November’s election that state elections board investigators found evidence that operative Leslie McCrae Dowless Jr. may have illegally handled ballots in 2016. Harris said he didn’t know that that evidence was referred to federal prosecutors. A background check by Harris’ political consultants missed Dowless’ previous felony convictions for insurance fraud and perjury.”

2018 Campaign NC-9

Trump Says Heller Lost Because He Was ‘Hostile’

February 7, 2019 · 2:26 pm ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump said that former Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) lost his re-election bid last fall because the Nevada Republican had been “extraordinarily hostile” to him during the 2016 election and the conservative base “wouldn’t go for him,” the Las Vegas Review Journal reports.

When told of Trump’s comments, Heller said: “This president called me that day before the election and said I was going to win by five points. Now all of sudden he has a different spin on that. Not surprising. I think America’s used to that.”

2018 Campaign NV-Sen

Schultz Has Much Higher Unfavorability Other Candidates

February 1, 2019 · 8:06 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Change Research (D) survey finds former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz is less known to the electorate than other declared and potential presidential candidates  with 56% having never heard of him or don’t have an opinion. Among those who have an opinion, just 4% view him favorably compared to 40% unfavorably — a 10:1 unfavorable to favorable ratio, far higher than any other candidate tested.

Schultz is viewed unfavorably by Democrats (50% unfavorable  to  4% favorable), Republicans (43% unfavorable  to  4% favorable), and Independents (31% unfavorable  to 4% favorable).

In hypothetical matchups, with and without Schultz in the race, of Donald Trump running against different Democrats — Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Beto O’Rourke, and Bernie Sanders — Schultz takes an average of four points away from what the Democratic candidate receives in a two-way race, while taking just 1% away from Trump.

2018 Campaign

Fraud Investigation In North Carolina May End Soon

February 1, 2019 · 12:01 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The investigation into North Carolina’s alleged election fraud moved closer to a possible February resolution when Gov. Roy Cooper (D) named a new state elections board to oversee the probe of the last undecided congressional race in the nation,” the Charlotte Observer reports.

“The chairman of the new State Board of Elections said a vote could come next month on whether to certify the election of Republican Mark Harris or order a new election in the 9th Congressional District.”

2018 Campaign NC-9

Democrats Received More ‘Dark Money’ In 2018

January 25, 2019 · 9:14 am ET · Leave a Comment

“As Democratic presidential hopefuls promise not to boost their candidacies through spending by outside groups with cash from wealthy donors, sometimes given secretly, a new report says the party received most of the so-called ‘dark money’ spent on political ads in the 2018 midterms,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

2018 Campaign, Campaign Finance

Biden Under Scrutiny for Michigan Speech

January 23, 2019 · 10:54 am ET · Leave a Comment

Joe Biden “swept into Benton Harbor, Mich., three weeks before the November elections, in the midst of his quest to reclaim the Midwest for Democrats. He took the stage at Lake Michigan College as Rep. Fred Upton (R-MI) faced the toughest race of his career,” the New York Times reports.

“But Mr. Biden was not there to denounce Mr. Upton. Instead, he was collecting $200,000 from the Economic Club of Southwestern Michigan to address a Republican-leaning audience… The group, a business-minded civic organization, is supported in part by an Upton family foundation.”

“Mr. Biden stunned Democrats and elated Republicans by praising Mr. Upton while the lawmaker looked on from the audience… The remarks quickly appeared in Republican advertising. The local Democratic Party pleaded with Mr. Biden to repair what it saw as a damaging error, to no avail. On Nov. 6, Mr. Upton defeated his Democratic challenger by four and a half percentage points.”

2018 Campaign Joe Biden

Judge Declines Request to Certify North Carolina Race

January 22, 2019 · 3:49 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A judge ruled that North Carolina’s investigation into election fraud by the Mark Harris (R) congressional campaign will continue, the Charlotte Observer reports.

“Harris is the Republican candidate who appeared to narrowly win an election for North Carolina’s 9th District seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2018 elections. But the state has not officially certified his victory, due to an ongoing investigation into alleged fraud related to mail-in absentee ballots.”

2018 Campaign NC-9

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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