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Sherrod Brown Has Edge in Ohio Senate Race

October 1, 2026 · 1:17 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new InsiderAdvantage poll in Ohio finds Sherrod Brown (D) leading Jon Husted (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 44% to 43%, with William B. Redpath (L) at 4% and Greg Levy (I) at 2%.

Ohio Senate Race
Sherrod Brown (D) 44%
 
Jon Husted (R) 43%
 
InsiderAdvantage poll · likely voters · ±2.83%

2026 Campaign

Trump Refuses to Rule Out Insurrection Act for Midterms

October 1, 2026 · 1:16 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Trump said in an interview published Thursday that he has not ruled out invoking the Insurrection Act or declaring a national emergency around the midterm elections in November,” The Hill reports.

Said Trump: “I’m not committing to anything. We’re going to see how it plays out in court.”

2026 Campaign, Democracy, White House

Republican Makes the Case for Voting for Democrats

October 1, 2026 · 1:04 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Matt Lewis: “I’ve never voted for Donald Trump, but I’ve also never voted for any of his opponents in a general election. My voting history is complicated, kind of like my feelings — as a Never Trumper — about the Republican Party… Suffice it to say, as a lifelong Republican, I’m not in the habit of voting for Democrats.”

“This year, however, is my breaking point: I’m voting for Democrats in the midterms.”

“Besides, what bad, un-conservative things could Democrats do? I mean, are they going to start another forever war in the Middle East? Start socializing industries? Raise the national debt to $40 trillion? Cause abortion rates to rise? Increase the cost of groceries and gas? Pal around with socialists (like Zohran Mamdani)? Suck up to communists (like Chinese President Xi Jinping)? Nominate a bunch of weirdos, drunks and inexperienced hacks to the Cabinet? Pursue self-enrichment? Start building monuments to themselves? Threaten to use the power of government on their opponents?”

“Why, heck, you’d have to be some sort of left-wing nut to do all that stuff, right?”

2026 Campaign, Republicans

Dan Osborn Responds to Leaked Audio Comment

October 1, 2026 · 12:59 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Dan Osborn, an independent candidate running for the Senate in Nebraska, faced criticism last month after the Omaha World Herald released audio of him saying some Trump supporters’ lives ‘probably suck,'” the Washington Post reports.

Said Osborn: “My life sucks too.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

Troy Jackson Has Edge in Maine Senate Race

October 1, 2026 · 12:07 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new AARP Maine poll in Maine finds Troy Jackson (D) leading Susan Collins (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 47%.

Maine Senate Race
Troy Jackson (D) 50%
 
Susan Collins (R) 47%
 
AARP Maine poll · likely voters

The same poll in Maine finds Hannah Pingree (D) leading Bobby Charles (R) in the governor’s race, 52% to 39%.

Maine Governor’s Race
Hannah Pingree (D) 52%
 
Bobby Charles (R) 39%
 
AARP Maine poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

Josh Shapiro Headed for Landslide Re-Election Win

October 1, 2026 · 12:05 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new PennLive/Bravo Group poll in Pennsylvania finds Josh Shapiro (D) leading Stacy Garrity (R) in the governor’s race, 55% to 28%.

Pennsylvania Governor’s Race
Josh Shapiro (D) 55%
 
Stacy Garrity (R) 28%
 
PennLive/Bravo Group poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

Schumer Says He’ll Run Again for Democratic Leader

October 1, 2026 · 11:16 am ET · Leave a Comment

Politico: “There is plenty personally at stake for Schumer, who has been feeling heat from the party base for the better part of two years as they’ve bristled against the limits of Democrats ability to check Trump. As pressure has grown, Schumer has repeatedly touted his campaign recruiting successes as proof of his leadership skill.”

“He downplayed any divisions Wednesday, saying his caucus is ‘totally unified’ going into the midterms and that he would seek to continue in the top spot regardless of the outcome.”

Said Schumer: “I am running for reelection for leader. Period.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

Trump Approval at Just 31%

October 1, 2026 · 8:34 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new Associated Press/NORC poll finds Donald Trump’s approval at 31%, while 69% disapprove.

Trump Approval
Approve 31%
 
Disapprove 69%
 
Associated Press/NORC poll · adults · ±2.9%

2026 Campaign, White House

Bonus Quote of the Day

October 1, 2026 · 7:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

“They’ll probably go after me, and I’ll go after them.”

— President Trump, quoted by Time, predicting what will happen if Democrats win control of Congress.

2026 Campaign

GOP Senators Endure Painful Week with Little to Show

October 1, 2026 · 7:22 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Exhausted GOP senators are preparing to fly home mostly empty-handed after staying in D.C. longer than expected,” Axios reports.

“The midterm outlook is getting bleaker by the day, and Republicans have a monster to-do list for the lame-duck session that could be a last chance to capitalize on their trifecta.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

House Democrats Rake in $230 Million

October 1, 2026 · 7:19 am ET · Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “House Majority PAC and House Majority Forward — House Democrats’ chief outside groups — raised a staggering $230 million in Q3 in their best quarter ever…”

“This is a huge boon for Democrats as they strive for the House majority amid an avalanche of spending from GOP groups…”

“Donors are clearly signaling they believe Democrats have a very strong chance of winning the majority come Election Day.”

2026 Campaign, Campaign Finance

Two Virginia Districts Shift Left

October 1, 2026 · 7:01 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new Washington Post-Schar School poll in Virginia’s 1st District finds Shannon Taylor (D) leading Rob Wittman (R) in the U.S. House race, 50% to 46%.

Virginia 1st District House Race
Shannon Taylor (D) 50%
 
Rob Wittman (R) 46%
 
Washington Post-Schar School poll · likely voters · ±4.5%

The same poll in Virginia’s 5th District finds John McGuire (R) leading Tom Perriello (D) in the U.S. House race, 51% to 45%.

Virginia 5th District House Race
John McGuire (R) 51%
 
Tom Perriello (D) 45%
 
Washington Post-Schar School poll · likely voters · ±4.5%

2026 Campaign

Republicans Agonize Over Their Economic Inaction

October 1, 2026 · 6:50 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Senate Republicans are departing Washington to defend their majority — and many are carrying with them real fear that the party didn’t do enough to address constituents’ economic concerns ahead of the impending election,” Semafor reports.

“Despite passing a huge tax cut law last year, Republicans are fretting they have not demonstrated to voters that they are tackling high gas prices, stubborn inflation, and sky-high interest rates that threaten their House and Senate majorities come November.”

2026 Campaign, Economy, Senate

Conley Leads Lawler in New York 17th District House Race

October 1, 2026 · 6:49 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new PIX11 News/Emerson College Polling poll in New York’s 17th District finds Cait Conley (D) leading Mike Lawler (R) in the U.S. House race, 48% to 46%.

New York 17th District House Race
Cait Conley (D) 48%
 
Mike Lawler (R) 46%
 
PIX11 News/Emerson College Polling poll · ±4.9%

2026 Campaign

Senate GOP Leaves Town Wondering: Did We Do Enough?

October 1, 2026 · 6:13 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Republicans made a last-gasp bid Wednesday to answer simmering anger in the electorate, holding a pair of failed show votes on high costs and corruption, then recessing until after the midterms,” the Washington Sun reports.

“Republican leaders had considered leaving sooner so members could campaign, as the House did, but stuck around after GOP senators clamored for votes on items they could use in those campaigns.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

Trump’s Signature Issue Loses Potency with Voters

October 1, 2026 · 6:05 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Immigration — the issue that helped propel Donald Trump to the presidency and rally his supporters over the past decade — has become an afterthought for voters,” Axios reports.

“It’s another ominous sign for Trump and the GOP heading toward November. What was once a rallying cry for the party is losing salience with voters across the spectrum — and harsh crackdowns have even made it a liability among some Republicans.”

2026 Campaign, Immigration

El-Sayed Barely Ahead in Michigan’s Senate Race

October 1, 2026 · 6:02 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new Fox News poll in Michigan finds Abdul El-Sayed (D) leading Mike Rogers (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 49%.

Michigan Senate Race
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 50%
 
Mike Rogers (R) 49%
 
Fox News poll · likely voters · ±3%

2026 Campaign

The Flailing President

October 1, 2026 · 5:59 am ET · Leave a Comment

Jonthan Lemire: “At the risk of understatement, Trump has never been one to think all that many moves ahead. But his impulsive decision to ban media outlets spawned unintended consequences that derailed his own plans. Again. That’s been a real theme for much of this year: Many of Trump’s actions—quite a few impetuous and ill-considered—have only hurt him and his fellow Republicans ahead of November’s midterm elections.”

”He was elected two years ago to drive down prices, but his tariffs have done the opposite, and a recent reignited trade war with Canada has hurt Republican candidates whose state shares a border with our neighbor to the north. His war of choice in Iran continues to sputter along, leaving gas prices elevated as Trump threatens annihilation one day and offers negotiation the next. He insists on championing AI while the public has swiftly turned on it. And he’s obsessed with vanity projects—including, yes, that helipaid that cost at least $5 million—even as polls suggest that many Americans feel that he is out of touch with the Everyman he once claimed to represent.”

2026 Campaign, White House

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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