“They’ll probably go after me, and I’ll go after them.”
— President Trump, quoted by Time, predicting what will happen if Democrats win control of Congress.
“They’ll probably go after me, and I’ll go after them.”
— President Trump, quoted by Time, predicting what will happen if Democrats win control of Congress.
“Exhausted GOP senators are preparing to fly home mostly empty-handed after staying in D.C. longer than expected,” Axios reports.
“The midterm outlook is getting bleaker by the day, and Republicans have a monster to-do list for the lame-duck session that could be a last chance to capitalize on their trifecta.”
Punchbowl News: “House Majority PAC and House Majority Forward — House Democrats’ chief outside groups — raised a staggering $230 million in Q3 in their best quarter ever…”
“This is a huge boon for Democrats as they strive for the House majority amid an avalanche of spending from GOP groups…”
“Donors are clearly signaling they believe Democrats have a very strong chance of winning the majority come Election Day.”
A new Washington Post-Schar School poll in Virginia’s 1st District finds Shannon Taylor (D) leading Rob Wittman (R) in the U.S. House race, 50% to 46%.
The same poll in Virginia’s 5th District finds John McGuire (R) leading Tom Perriello (D) in the U.S. House race, 51% to 45%.
“Senate Republicans are departing Washington to defend their majority — and many are carrying with them real fear that the party didn’t do enough to address constituents’ economic concerns ahead of the impending election,” Semafor reports.
“Despite passing a huge tax cut law last year, Republicans are fretting they have not demonstrated to voters that they are tackling high gas prices, stubborn inflation, and sky-high interest rates that threaten their House and Senate majorities come November.”
A new PIX11 News/Emerson College Polling poll in New York’s 17th District finds Cait Conley (D) leading Mike Lawler (R) in the U.S. House race, 48% to 46%.
“Republicans made a last-gasp bid Wednesday to answer simmering anger in the electorate, holding a pair of failed show votes on high costs and corruption, then recessing until after the midterms,” the Washington Sun reports.
“Republican leaders had considered leaving sooner so members could campaign, as the House did, but stuck around after GOP senators clamored for votes on items they could use in those campaigns.”
“Immigration — the issue that helped propel Donald Trump to the presidency and rally his supporters over the past decade — has become an afterthought for voters,” Axios reports.
“It’s another ominous sign for Trump and the GOP heading toward November. What was once a rallying cry for the party is losing salience with voters across the spectrum — and harsh crackdowns have even made it a liability among some Republicans.”
A new Fox News poll in Michigan finds Abdul El-Sayed (D) leading Mike Rogers (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 49%.
Jonthan Lemire: “At the risk of understatement, Trump has never been one to think all that many moves ahead. But his impulsive decision to ban media outlets spawned unintended consequences that derailed his own plans. Again. That’s been a real theme for much of this year: Many of Trump’s actions—quite a few impetuous and ill-considered—have only hurt him and his fellow Republicans ahead of November’s midterm elections.”
”He was elected two years ago to drive down prices, but his tariffs have done the opposite, and a recent reignited trade war with Canada has hurt Republican candidates whose state shares a border with our neighbor to the north. His war of choice in Iran continues to sputter along, leaving gas prices elevated as Trump threatens annihilation one day and offers negotiation the next. He insists on championing AI while the public has swiftly turned on it. And he’s obsessed with vanity projects—including, yes, that helipaid that cost at least $5 million—even as polls suggest that many Americans feel that he is out of touch with the Everyman he once claimed to represent.”
“The new Texas PAC spent a staggering $131 million in just 17 days to boost Republican Ken Paxton in his battle for a U.S. Senate seat, new financial reports reveal. And tens of millions more could be on the way,” Axios reports.
“The Senate adjourned Wednesday for the last time before the midterm elections after Democrats blocked Republicans’ last-ditch push to pass more legislation,” the Washington Post reports.
”Several Republicans facing tough races in November took to the Senate floor to make the case for passing bills they could run on. But Democrats blocked them, leaving Republicans to head home to face voters without fresh legislative victories.”
”Republicans are confronting the once-unthinkable prospect that they could lose the Senate as polls show Democrats running competitively in states that President Donald Trump won by double-digit margins in 2024.”
“President Donald Trump’s decision to kick off a month of midterm campaign travel with rallies in red states like Oklahoma and Alabama has confounded some Republicans, but those involved in the plans argue there’s a strategy behind them,” Semafor reports.
“Both rally sites — Durant, Oklahoma, and Mobile, Alabama — ‘hit multiple states and media markets’ because of their proximity to neighboring states, a Republican official familiar with the strategy said.”
“Trump officials hope to turn out low-propensity voters, particularly in close races that Republicans need to win to keep control of Congress.”
“Democrats are feeling newly optimistic about Texas, even in deep-red seats,” Semafor reports.
“Polls shared with Semafor show Democratic candidates running surprisingly competitively in the 9th and the 10th Congressional Districts.”
“Election Day is still a month away, but more than 690,000 Americans have already voted across at least 29 states. There are signs emerging of the advantage Democrats have in motivating their voters – a trend that’s played out in polling all summer long,” CNN reports.
“In several states with key Senate or governor races this fall, Democrats make up a larger share of voters requesting ballots so far than they did at this point in 2024.”
“As polls suggest that Gina Hinojosa, a Democrat, is competitive in her campaign to become the first Latina governor of the usually reliably Republican state of Texas, a growing number of prominent Latino officials are angry that she is not getting more help from the party,” the New York Times reports.
“Now there are veiled threats that if the Democratic Governors Association fails to invest in her bid, some Latino leaders could withhold their support from the group’s chairman, Gov. Andy Beshear of Kentucky, should he, as expected, run for president in 2028.”
“When Trump travels, he hurts people. When he comes to town, that itself helps us. But then he always talks about the wrong things. He talks about things people don’t give a damn about.”
— Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), quoted by Semafor.
“President Donald Trump on Wednesday defended a recent slate of campaign ads that say they were paid for by the U.S. government, arguing the spots are promoting the country rather than his own political interests,” the Washington Sun reports.
Said Trump: “Now, if somebody said that that’s wrong, I’ll gladly pay the money. I’m not promoting myself because I’m not running for office. I’m promoting the country.”

Taegan Goddard
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.
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