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Democrats Take Cues from Activist Base

February 11, 2017 at 10:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “After previous defeats, the modern Democratic Party typically plunged into a discussion between a moderate wing and a liberal wing. George McGovern’s 1972 loss led to an internal party battle against the New Left. After Walter Mondale’s 1984 defeat, a group of moderate strategists formed the Democratic Leadership Council. After the 2004 defeat of John F. Kerry, a new generation of like-minded strategists launched Third Way, with a focus on lost moderate voters.”

“There is nothing like that in 2017. Democrats, taking cues from their base, have given Trump’s key Cabinet nominees the smallest level of support from an opposition party in history. They have joined and sometimes led protests, organizing more than 70 rallies against the repeal of the Affordable Care Act and joining activists at airports to help travelers affected by Trump’s executive orders on immigration and refugees. The scale has even impressed some Republicans.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Trump Told Democrats ‘Pocahontas’ Is Face of the Party

February 10, 2017 at 10:17 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump taunted Democrats by telling them “Pocahontas is now the face of your party” — his insult of choice for Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) — during a meeting with senators earlier this week, sources told CNN.

“The sources said the Warren moment came up in the context of the Trump’s impromptu analysis of the state of the Democratic Party. Trump made his comments in what appeared to be a reference to Warren’s criticism of Attorney General Jeff Sessions during his confirmation process. Her comments prompted Republicans to invoke an arcane rule to cut her off.”

Filed Under: Democrats Tagged With: Elizabeth Warren

Obama’s Party Building Legacy Splits Democrats

February 9, 2017 at 8:21 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “A painful Democratic rift over Barack Obama’s political legacy is finally bursting into the open. For years, the former president’s popularity among Democrats stifled any public critiques of his stewardship of the party — a period in which the party suffered tremendous losses at the state and local levels.”

“But now that Obama and the political operation that succeeded his campaign, Organizing For Action, have expressed interest in playing a role in the task of rebuilding, it’s sparking pitched debates over how much blame he deserves for the gradual hollowing out of a party that now has less control of state elected positions than at any other time in nearly a century.”

Jonathan Swan: “After eight years of Obama, Democrats are learning how to be in the opposition. And they’ve now got powerful new tools, lessons from the Tea Party movement, and authentic national rage to be tapped.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Democrats Want Their Leaders to Block Trump

February 8, 2017 at 6:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Politico/Morning Consult poll shows that just 34% of Democratic voters want their party’s elected officials to find ways to work with the new president. A 56% majority say Democrats in Congress should stick to their principles, even “if that means blocking all legislation or nominees for government posts.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Democrats Should Build a Coalition of Educated Voters

February 2, 2017 at 2:32 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

In the aftermath of the 2016 presidential election, Democrats have generally looked at two paths back to the White House:

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Filed Under: Democrats, Members

Democrats Live In the Wrong Places

January 31, 2017 at 4:27 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Although the 2016 presidential race was decided by roughly 77,000 votes across three states — Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania — the reason Hillary Clinton lost the electoral vote while overwhelmingly winning the popular is that Democrats tend to be heavily clustered in just a few states.

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Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Democrats, Members

Democrats Are Awake Now

January 31, 2017 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rick Klein: “President Obama is off the bench. Members of Congress are chanting with the protestors. The party has found its cause –blocking the Trump agenda. Just a week ago, talk in Washington was about how Chuck Schumer could be a closer partner to the president than Mitch McConnell. Now, the president is making fun of Schumer’s tears when he appeared alongside people impacted by the travel ban. Add that to the late-night firing of an acting attorney general over an entirely political disagreement and you have a base plus elected officials who are losing any incentive to work with the new president. Democrats can thank the president for showing them the strategy that now seems inevitable for the next four years: stand strong, and stand in his way.”

Filed Under: Democrats

DNC Race Isn’t Helping Democrats Find Way

January 26, 2017 at 7:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Following GOP victories in the 2016 elections, Democrats have descended to their lowest levels of power in Washington, D.C., and capitals across the country since the Hoover administration. And with the Clintons and Obamas exiting the stage, there is no natural leader to take the party forward,” the Boston Globe reports.

“Unfortunately for Democrats, the race for Democratic National Committee chairman — one of the party’s most powerful open posts in D.C. — is unlikely to give much clarity to their conundrum. The DNC chairman’s race features no clear front-runner and, so far, little debate about the soul and direction of the party.”

For members: The Democratic Frontrunner in 2020

Filed Under: Democrats

Parties Flip Flop on States Rights

January 26, 2017 at 10:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Reuters: “Now, as Trump looks to undo Obama’s legacy and begin constructing his own, Pruitt and other administration Republicans are showing little interest in protecting states’ rights. Instead, they are embracing sweeping new environmental, healthcare and immigration policies that are to be imposed on all states.”

“At the same time Democrats, who over the last half-century have zealously defended sacrosanct federal laws – such as the Civil Rights Act of 1964 that tackled segregation – against arguments that states should be allowed to chart their own way, are now making plans to employ some of those very states’ rights positions to fend off Trump administration policies they disagree with.”

“The two parties’ switching of sides is evident across a range of issues, including so-called sanctuary cities, the environment and healthcare.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Democrats Using the Tea Party Playbook

January 24, 2017 at 8:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Party leaders, eyeing the huge protests last weekend and growing worries over the promised repeal of the Affordable Care Act, are hoping to recreate the mass movement that sprang up in 2009 and swept Republicans to power in the House and in governor’s races across the country — a Tea Party equivalent from the left.”

“And they are turning to the same playbook that guided their conservative counterparts in the aftermath of Mr. Obama’s election: creating or expanding a number of groups outside the formal architecture of the party, focusing on often-overlooked state legislative and redistricting campaigns, and bringing together frightened fund-raisers to underwrite it all.”

Filed Under: Democrats

How Trump Is Reshaping Both Parties

January 24, 2017 at 8:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Charlie Cook: “My bet is that Republican elected officials are going to be extremely reluctant to publicly break with Trump, despite his anemic poll numbers. GOP officeholders and party officials will continue to fear the wrath of the Trump backers at the first sign of criticism. With so few Republicans likely to face strong Democratic challenges in 2018, either because few GOP seats are up or because few House incumbents are in competitive districts, primary challenges are their biggest fear, so they are unlikely to do anything to anger the Trump faithful.”

“On the Democratic side, can anyone win the nomination running from the middle? At one time, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York occupied that moderately liberal place, but more recently she’s moved sharply to the left. It would seem that there is no traction anywhere else in the Democratic Party. Gillibrand advertised her leftward move by casting the lone vote against retired Marine General James Mattis’s nomination to be secretary of Defense. Sen. Cory Booker’s testimony against Sen. Jeff Sessions’s nomination to be attorney general gave him an opportunity to strike a similar pose. Until now, Booker seemed to be steering clear of doing things that might pigeonhole him as a left-leaning bomb thrower.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Democrats Have Some Work to Do

January 18, 2017 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News: “When President-elect Donald Trump replaces Barack Obama on January 20, the Democratic Party will find itself more removed from power than at almost any point since the party’s creation. Scorned by the same voters who once embraced the New Deal, built the Great Society, and put their hope in the nation’s first black president, Democrats are now locked out of power in Washington and out of two-thirds of state legislative chambers across the country.”

“Simply put, Democrats’ once vaunted coalition of the ascendant — younger, multiethnic, educated, and urban — failed them in 2016, and in 2014 and 2010 before that. That coalition proved to have major handicaps, part demographic and part geographic, that have been hollowing out the party for years.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Divide Re-Emerges as Democrats Seek New Leader

January 16, 2017 at 4:33 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Democratic fissures exposed in last year’s presidential primary campaign between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders have roared back to life, with party officials wary the split will hamper their ability to fight President-elect Donald Trump,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

An example: “There are few major issues of substance that divide DNC members and party activists, but one key sticking point is Mr. Sanders’s refusal to share his fundraising list with the DNC. Not turning over the list, which raised more than $200 million from two million donors, echoes a complaint party members had with President Barack Obama, who didn’t share his supporter list with state Democratic parties until after he won re-election in 2012.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Democrats Were Not Decimated Under Obama

January 12, 2017 at 12:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ron Brownstein: “Most analyses overstate the Democrats’ down-ballot losses under Obama because they only start counting after he took office in 2009. That denies him credit for the candidates he helped elect during his resounding first win in 2008. As I’ve written before, the fairest way to measure a president’s impact on his party is to compare its electoral position just before he first appeared on the ballot with its position just after the election to succeed him. That gives the president responsibility for any other officials initially swept in with him, the outcomes during his tenure, and the shadow he casts over the election to replace him.”

“Under that approach, we would measure Obama by comparing the Democrats’ standing after the 2006 election—just before his first race—with its position after November’s contest. Using that standard, Democrats will end the Obama era with 39 fewer House seats (233 to 194), three fewer Senate seats (51 to 48), and 12 fewer governorships (28 to 16).”

“Those losses are formidable, but hardly unique. Parties almost always lose ground elsewhere while they hold the White House.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Obama legacy

Both Parties Are Built on Unstable Coalitions

January 12, 2017 at 8:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Amy Walter: “Most important, both parties are built upon unstable coalitions. For Democrats, it is a coalition driven by demographics. The Democratic mantra for the last eight years has been built around the idea that an increasingly diverse and urbanizing electorate was going to build them a permanent Electoral College majority. But, as we saw in 2016 and every midterm election since 2008, the only Democrat who was able to mobilize the ‘Obama coalition’ was Barack Obama himself.”

“Republicans, meanwhile, have a shaky coalition of their own. As we saw throughout the Obama years, the House GOP leadership had very little capacity to rein in its rogue members. Having a GOP controlled Senate and White House will help heal some rifts (winning is the greatest unifying force in the world). However, there’s a new wrinkle for the GOP to grapple with this year: the fact that the Trump coalition and the traditional Republican coalition aren’t necessarily on the same page.”

For members: Does the Republican Party Stand for Anything?

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Where’s the Outrage Over the DNC Hacking?

January 10, 2017 at 6:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Robby Mook: “Imagine the headlines if, in 2015, Russian agents had leapt out of a van at 2 a.m. in Southeast Washington and broken into the Democratic National Committee offices using sophisticated tools and techniques to steal tens of thousands of documents, including the names and Social Security numbers of donors and employees, and confidential memorandums about campaign strategy for the presidential election.”

“The world would have been aghast. It would have been, people would say, worse than Watergate.”

“Something similar did, in fact, happen at the D.N.C. two years ago, and it was worse than Watergate. This wasn’t just one party spying on the other; these were hackers under orders from President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia who were trying to ‘undermine public faith in the U.S. democratic process,’ according to a report released Friday by the office of the director of national intelligence. But the immediate reaction to the break-in was nothing like what followed Watergate.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia

Hackers Tried to Break Into DNC Again

January 6, 2017 at 8:40 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The FBI alerted the Democratic National Committee as recently as New Year’s Eve that hackers were once again trying to break into their computer systems,” BuzzFeed News has learned.

Said one official: “There was activity the day after the president issued sanctions against Russia, looking for ways to get into the servers.”

Filed Under: Democrats Tagged With: Russia

Indiana Mayor Running for DNC Chairman

January 5, 2017 at 1:57 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Warning that beleaguered Democrats cannot afford a replay of their contentious presidential primary in the race to lead the Democratic National Committee, the mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg, entered the contest for party chairman on Thursday, presenting himself as an alternative to the two leading candidates,” the New York Times reports.

Said Buttigieg: “This is not a time to relitigate an old battle. We’ve got to transcend the narrative that this is some kind of proxy fight.”

Filed Under: Democrats

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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